Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[Hydera]

^ Yes, in Louisiana voting is electronic.

Ohio 2004 redux?

I hate this conspiracy theory.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/oh_polls.html


Ohio was a tossup state and if theres a real conspiracy its Osama releasing a threatening tape a week prior to the election to help bush get elected since he knew the US would keep wasting resources on the mid-east if Bush was re-elected.

After the tape was released, it was all but certain that Bush gained enough support that he won Ohio.

Plus the polls a week prior, only one out of nine polls conducted in the state had Kerry leading.

I don't like Bush but he won Ohio in 2004 fair and square because of help from one man.

Electronic voting machines never make mistakes. When Gore got -16,022 votes in one precinct in Florida, it was just a bad precinct for him.

There was a state-wide audit and it was corrected on the night of the election.

[Senator Cris]

When are polls closing?

[Miles]

^ 9 ET.

[windjammer]

^ 9 ET.

9 PM???

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ 9 ET.

9 PM???

Yes

[Hydera]

Could someone give me a quick summary of the two republicans in the AG race?

Jeff Landry - Conservative evangelical Republican. Claimed that Obama gave TSA waviers to muslims.


Buddy Caldwell - Former democrat, who is preferred by democrats since he's less evangelical than Landry.

[JerryArkansas]

Miles, in the primary, how far apart were the early vote totals between Orleans and Jefferson?

[Miles]

^ In terms of votes cast? Both were between 13-14K. Noticeable improvement this time. Jefferson - 17K, Orleans - 21K.

[JerryArkansas]

^ In terms of votes cast? Both were between 13-14K. Noticeable improvement this time. Jefferson - 17K, Orleans - 21K.

Could that be a sign of things to come tonight?

[Miles]

^ From what I've heard Orleans is meh (turnout was so bad in the primary, it set a low bar for tonight). I'm told Jefferson is less than expected, while Caddo, EBR and St. Tammany are over. Obviously a few grains of salt. We'll see.

[The Other Castro]

Edwards is tempting the wrath from high atop the thing:

https://mobile.twitter.com/The_Gambit/status/668226095498530816

[MT Treasurer]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

[ElectionsGuy]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

Are you a contrarian?

[Penelope]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

Are you a contrarian?

Of course he is.

By the way, I'm sure Dems will find a way to f--k this up. Hoping for a 1-2 pt Edwards victory. We'll see.

[Progressive]

Any results from anywhere yet

[ElectionsGuy]

Any results from anywhere yet

Polls don't close until 8:00 CST.

[ElectionsGuy]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

Are you a contrarian?

I'm still sticking with my 52-48 Edwards prediction, just saying that it wouldn't surprise me at all.
I also think Nungesser will win 55-45.

OK, but are you? I'm a little bit of a contrarian myself.

[MT Treasurer]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

Are you a contrarian?

I'm still sticking with my 52-48 Edwards prediction, just saying that it wouldn't surprise me at all.
I also think Nungesser will win 55-45.

OK, but are you? I'm a little bit of a contrarian myself.

Sure. I predicted a Bevin win last month, I'm convinced that NH is a deep blue state and that PA will be more Republican than VA in 2016. Sounds quite contrarian, doesn't it?

I maintain my 55-45 Vitter win prediction and will continue to do so even after the election is over (any Edwards victory will be tantamount to voter fraud).

Stop trolling, please.

[Türkisblau]

I maintain my 55-45 Vitter win prediction and will continue to do so even after the election is over (any Edwards victory will be tantamount to voter fraud).

Stop trolling truthing, please.

Literally no one in here values your posts.

[ElectionsGuy]

I maintain my 55-45 Vitter win prediction and will continue to do so even after the election is over (any Edwards victory will be tantamount to voter fraud).

Stop trolling truthing, please.

Literally no one in here values your posts.

No one here values your insults.

[Hydera]

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Edwards won by 12 or more points.

Are you a contrarian?

Of course he is.

By the way, I'm sure Dems will find a way to f--k this up. Hoping for a 1-2 pt Edwards victory. We'll see.

There's nothing they could do that would equal to them having f**ked up.

John Bel Edwards hit hard on vitter's scandal. Campaigned aggressively and fielded attack ads and despite being a state that Obama lost in big margins will probably do better than obama's 40% in 2012. Along that he managed to get a moderate republican to endorse him.

At the end of the day, If he loses it won't be because he didn't do enough when he did but the voters of Louisiana have lost appetite for democrats and not even a great campaigner can reverse the tide.

[publicunofficial]

I maintain my 55-45 Vitter win prediction and will continue to do so even after the election is over (any Edwards victory will be tantamount to voter fraud).

Stop trolling truthing, please.

Literally no one in here values your posts.

No one here values your insults.

I value his insults.

[DrScholl]

I maintain my 55-45 Vitter win prediction and will continue to do so even after the election is over (any Edwards victory will be tantamount to voter fraud).

Someone is hedging their bets in a silly way.

[Wonderess]

Im just glad we don't put money on such things here.

[Niemeyerite]

I maintain my 55-45 Vitter win prediction and will continue to do so even after the election is over (any Edwards victory will be tantamount to voter fraud).

Stop trolling truthing, please.

Literally no one in here values your posts.

My prediction, once proven true, shall be exalted for decades to come as one of the best ever to have found itself on this board.

Today, Atlas Forum, tomorrow, America!

Grow up.