Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[ElectionsGuy]

Final numbers with all precincts in:

Edwards: 646,860 (56.1%)
Vitter: 505,929 (43.9%)

Nungesser: 628,864 (55.4%)
Holden: 506,578 (44.6%)

Landry: 610,433 (56.3%)
Caldwell (inc.): 473,869 (43.7%)

[IceSpear]

Final numbers with all precincts in:

Edwards: 646,860 (56.1%)
Vitter: 505,929 (43.9%)

Nungesser: 628,864 (55.4%)
Holden: 506,578 (44.6%)

Landry: 610,433 (56.3%)
Caldwell (inc.): 473,869 (43.7%)

It's actually kind of shocking an underfunded black Democrat nearly came within single digits of a generic R. No doubt the work of Vitter's reverse coattails.

[NeverAgain]

Do we know the turnout yet?

[Skye]

lol @ Vitter getting less than 44%

[SATW]

Good.

[YPestis25]

Do we know the turnout yet?

Looks like a little under 40,000 more votes were cast in the runoff, so it's pretty close to the jungle primary.

[IceSpear]

Miles, I'm surprised you haven't mentioned nutjob Lenar Whitney losing her state House seat by 22 points (!).

[VPH]

The swing in Cameron parish is remarkable.

[JerryArkansas]

Do we know the turnout yet?

Quick back of the envelope calculation show right at 40%

[DINGO Joe]

Do we know the turnout yet?

Only about 40,000 more votes than the primary.  I'm sure several rural parishes had a drop off in vote.

[Miles]

Miles, I'm surprised you haven't mentioned nutjob Lenar Whitney losing her state House seat by 22 points (!).

Thanks for telling me! Haha

Its funny, I got into an argument with her last year on Twitter. She was defending Elbert Guillory. Pretty sweet that both of them are out of office now!

[RI]

Swing and Trend from Vitter's last election in 2010:

[Miles]

Almost 23.5% of the total votes were cast early. Thats a record. The previous record was the primary, which was about 21%.

[user12345]

Democrats need more fighters like JBE. He knows exactly what to say and how to attack.

[Miles]

I'll have Gov by CD coming.

JBE narrowly won CD3. The heart of that district, though, (Acadia/Vermilion/Lafayette parishes) looks like its gone for good, though.

[Crumpets]

Swing and Trend from Vitter's last election in 2010:

Do you have one from Jindal's last election in 2011?

[ClimateDem]

Democrats ended the GOP supermajority in the Senate actually.

Dem Pickups: 24, 38

Rep Pickups: 12

That leaves the Senate balance at 14D and 25R.

[smoltchanov]

^ Yeah, Miles, and i am 100% for Edwards. But what will he do in 2019 against "normal" conservative Republican without Vitter's problems? I think - such race will be very difficult for him..

[Miles]

^ Let's not get ahead of ourselves

[smoltchanov]

Democrats ended the GOP supermajority in the Senate actually.

Dem Pickups: 24, 38

Rep Pickups: 12

That leaves the Senate balance at 14D and 25R.

Isn't Milkovich a very conservative socially?

[smoltchanov]

^ Let's not get ahead of ourselves

Sure. It's only a hypothesis after all)))

[Miles]

Democrats ended the GOP supermajority in the Senate actually.

Dem Pickups: 24, 38

Rep Pickups: 12

That leaves the Senate balance at 14D and 25R.

Isn't Milkovich a very conservative socially?

Yes - I hear he had major backing from local churches.

[Njall]

Democrats ended the GOP supermajority in the Senate actually.

Dem Pickups: 24, 38

Rep Pickups: 12

That leaves the Senate balance at 14D and 25R.

Isn't Milkovich a very conservative socially?

"Milkovich, who grew up working on cattle ranches, said he stands in firm support of the Second Amendment, the free expression of faith and the eradication of Common Core standards in Louisiana schools. Milkovich said the heart of his campaign stemmed from values that unite the community — faith, family and hard work.​​

"It's time to get back to old school," Milkovich said in an earlier interview with The Times. "We should defund Planned Parenthood. We should support religious liberties of teachers, of coaches and principals. Familes have to live on a budget, so should the government. It's time to reduce the size of the government and cut taxes on working families and small businesses." ​

http://www.shreveporttimes.com/story/news/2015/11/21/senate-race-district-38/76104502/

[RI]

Percent change in total vote, primary vs runoff

[smoltchanov]

Democrats ended the GOP supermajority in the Senate actually.

Dem Pickups: 24, 38

Rep Pickups: 12

That leaves the Senate balance at 14D and 25R.

Isn't Milkovich a very conservative socially?

"Milkovich, who grew up working on cattle ranches, said he stands in firm support of the Second Amendment, the free expression of faith and the eradication of Common Core standards in Louisiana schools. Milkovich said the heart of his campaign stemmed from values that unite the community — faith, family and hard work.​​

"It's time to get back to old school," Milkovich said in an earlier interview with The Times. "We should defund Planned Parenthood. We should support religious liberties of teachers, of coaches and principals. Familes have to live on a budget, so should the government. It's time to reduce the size of the government and cut taxes on working families and small businesses." ​

http://www.shreveporttimes.com/story/news/2015/11/21/senate-race-district-38/76104502/

Thanks! So, he is a rarity these days - a really conservative Democrat (with few populist notes). There were a lot of them in the South not long ago, but now they are almost extinct..