Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog (user search)
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  Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog (search mode)
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Author Topic: Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog  (Read 174336 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: October 18, 2015, 07:26:57 PM »

You guys say this every damn year...
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2015, 07:50:28 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2015, 07:56:09 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Yay! First major election in a year.


I love that map. Cartograms are so much more useful than regular county maps.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2015, 07:56:57 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on October 24, 2015, 07:55:49 PM
I am so glad this election is held today and not on November 3rd.

Yeah, between this and Kentucky, it would be hard to follow Tongue
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2015, 08:08:30 PM »
I have a gut feeling that the election day vote will be more pro-Vitter.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2015, 08:11:11 PM »
Guillory has 8%. lol
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2015, 08:13:07 PM »
So its now

Edwards - 38
Angelle - 24
Vitter - 22
Dardenne - 14

with the first actual precinct reporting.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2015, 08:15:43 PM »
Looks like NoLA is going to be more pro-Vitter so far.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2015, 08:29:04 PM »
Atlas is really having some problems.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2015, 08:37:33 PM »
Dardenne seems to be nowhere outside BR.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2015, 08:42:15 PM »
Precincts are actually starting to come in now. The Attorney General race is actually quite interesting, that'll be a one to watch in the runoff. Looks like as areas like St Tammany and Jefferson come in, Vitter will indeed pick up that 2nd place slot.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2015, 08:46:07 PM »
Quote from: Reagan Revolutionary on October 24, 2015, 08:45:07 PM
What are the Angelle strongholds versus the Vitter strongholds?

Angelle = Cajun country
Dardenne = Baton Rouge
Vitter = Everywhere else, but especially New Orleans suburbs.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2015, 08:55:40 PM »
Expect Edwards to be above 40 when all said and done - New Orleans has barely reported.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2015, 09:04:42 PM »
Looks like northern part of the state and Acadania are more reported than the eastern part of the state. So, Vitter still looks like a clear favorite for a runoff to me.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2015, 09:09:32 PM »
Coming in quite fast now. Looks like a lot of Jefferson just came in.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2015, 09:17:56 PM »
Orleans is starting to report, Baton Rouge still taking a while.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2015, 09:19:48 PM »
Quote from: darthebearnc on October 24, 2015, 09:18:36 PM
Claiborne, Morehouse, and Saint Charles all finalized for John Bel.

St Charles is quite surprising. This is going to be the bluest map Democrats will see from Louisiana in a long time.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2015, 09:22:42 PM »
Edwards may actually win Livingston County. That's right, a county that went 84% Romney.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2015, 09:32:40 PM »
Quote from: Reagan Revolutionary on October 24, 2015, 09:30:03 PM
Any chance Vitter could lose? He's been up 2% consistently.

Would need a miracle.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2015, 09:40:08 PM »
Nearly 3/4 in. My prediction of what it'll end up being:

Edwards - 40%
Vitter - 23%
Angelle - 20%
Dardenne - 15%
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2015, 09:41:08 PM »
Well, that's it. November 21st will be a hell of a night.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2015, 09:49:13 PM »
Woah, something struck me hard. Edwards won Tangipahoa with 55%. Isn't it a pretty Republican parish?
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2015, 09:57:01 PM »
Quote from: Miles on October 24, 2015, 09:51:24 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 24, 2015, 09:49:13 PM
Woah, something struck me hard. Edwards won Tangipahoa with 55%. Isn't it a pretty Republican parish?

He's from Tangipahoa, but still very impressive.

Ah, yes. He's also performing pretty strongly in the areas around it too.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2015, 10:02:44 PM »
Lt Governor still not called and very close...

Holden (D) - 32%
Nungesser (R) - 31%
Young (R) - 30%

87% in
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2015, 10:07:22 PM »
We're mainly waiting on the rest of Orleans, Baton Rouge, and St Tammany. Overall, the rest of the votes should benefit Edwards and Dardenne.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2015, 10:35:20 PM »
Simple total Republican vs total Democratic map (warning: not Atlas colors!):



Total Republican - 57.5%
Total Democratic - 41.4%
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