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  Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog (search mode)
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Author Topic: Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog  (Read 174354 times)
Maxwell
mah519
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Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« on: November 22, 2013, 01:45:19 AM »
Quote from: MilesC56 on November 21, 2013, 05:34:18 PM
The SMOR poll out today gives Vitter an early edge:

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Jindal remains unpopular, with 42/55 approvals.

That seems on the up for Jindal.
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Maxwell
mah519
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*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2015, 03:07:16 AM »
Quote from: Miles on February 25, 2015, 03:05:40 AM
Just throwing this out there, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if Rob Maness runs for something this year, given 1) the state's late (September) filing deadline and 2) it looks like he's keeping his events calender pretty busy. He's spoken at several GOP/right-leaning venues since the election last year.

Unlike Chris McDaniel, Maness has largely made peace with the party apparatus after losing as an insurgent; he'd be a better candidate because of that.

I saw how he endorsed Cassidy almost immediately. Maness seemed to definitely be jockeying for a future role. Do you think he has a good shot?
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2015, 09:45:18 PM »
Quote from: Miles on March 10, 2015, 09:10:25 PM
^ The name kind of rings a bell to me, but the numbers look believable enough.

Guillory at 2? wow
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2015, 10:12:31 PM »
I suspect Angelle endorses Vitter, he probably wants to remain in the party's good graces. However, there is a strong possibility Dardenne endorses Edwards.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2015, 04:06:44 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2015, 04:14:02 PM by MW Senator Max »
It looks like Bobby Jindal's bad approvals are even dragging along the Lieutenant Governor race - Nungesser only leads Holden by a measly one point.

Has Louisiana had a black person in a statewide office? I'm rooting hard for Kip Holden!
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2015, 05:15:08 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on November 03, 2015, 04:31:33 PM
Quote from: MW Senator Max on November 03, 2015, 04:06:44 PM
It looks like Bobby Jindal's bad approvals are even dragging along the Lieutenant Governor race - Nungesser only leads Holden by a measly one point.

Has Louisiana had a black person in a statewide office? I'm rooting hard for Kip Holden!

Maybe in Reconstruction, but otherwise no one has come close.  Of course Kip is light years ahead of Cleo Fields and William Jefferson as candidate.  He's diligent and earnest (clean).  He is, to use the term all the kids use these days, a bit low-energy and probably doesn't have the money/visibility to win statewide.  He'd probably need a huge A-A voter turnout to pull it off.  Not just in BR, but also NO and Shreveport and points in between.

Interesting - I agree to a certain extent. To some level it'll close to the Republicans - I don't think enough to shake John Bel Edwards' considerable lead, but probably enough to drag Nungesser to an unimpressive if sufficient margin.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2015, 11:04:50 PM »
Quote from: Castro on November 04, 2015, 08:21:47 PM
From what I've seen, Angelle probably won't be endorsing anyone.

Angelle is eyeing Vitter's seat, he doesn't want to be caught praising Vitter too hard, but he also doesn't want to betray the Republicans.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2015, 01:48:34 PM »
And Angelle is just sitting back sipping lemonade, hoping Vitter fails. Vitter is really in the worst possible situation, and I think it would take a huge upset for him to win.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2015, 11:18:24 PM »
Damn that's a strong endorsement.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2015, 11:55:38 PM »
Polls might be right on this one - Folks we could be seeing a landslide.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2015, 01:08:11 AM »
Polling is sometimes off. It's sometimes off big, like in Kentucky, where it deviated some 10 points. Polling, however, is not off 30 points, which is about what it would take for Vitter to win.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2015, 04:36:02 PM »
David Vitter - Prostitutes over Patriots.

daaaaaaamn. Stone cold.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2015, 07:14:07 PM »
Quote from: Negusa Nagast on November 06, 2015, 06:16:51 PM
Quote from: windjammer on November 06, 2015, 06:14:57 PM
I would love to see Edwards winning this, but I don't see that coming, sorry. Conway just got eviscerated and I think Vitter will end up winning just because Obama is a democrat, like Edwards.

Conway's percentage was the same as his polling average. Edwards has cleared 50% consistently.

This and Conway is a bumbling idiot and an incompetent. John Bel Edwards, a beautiful military man, is none of those things.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #13 on: November 09, 2015, 02:34:47 PM »
He looks and talks like a cartoon character.

God I hope this doesn't work, but I know in the South it seems like if you say that God forgives you for your previous misdeeds you will win an election.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #14 on: November 11, 2015, 01:16:01 AM »
GOD DAMN John Bel won't let David Vitter get away with his snide Republican bullsh**t. MAKE THIS MAN PRESIDENT!
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #15 on: November 11, 2015, 07:58:05 PM »
Quote from: Castro on November 11, 2015, 05:54:57 PM
Also: Early voting numbers so far suggest a 45-50% runoff turnout, higher than the 39% in the jungle primary. http://winwithjmc.com/archives/6863

That doesn't sound good for Vitter. I can't imagine people are going to the voting booth with the attitude of "INKS YEAH, DAVID VITTER!!!"
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #16 on: November 12, 2015, 02:12:15 AM »
I DUNNO ALL THE ACTUAL NUMBERS POINT TO AN EDWARDS VICTORY BUT KENTUCKY DUR DUR

Tired of reading this sh**t.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #17 on: November 13, 2015, 03:39:24 PM »
It looks like the primary for Senate is already heating up!
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #18 on: November 16, 2015, 07:21:46 PM »
I'll try to catch some clips at a later point. God I hope this whole refugee thing doesn't tip it to Vitter.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #19 on: November 16, 2015, 09:25:58 PM »
Not every person thinks like people on this site think - people vote for a lot of reasons beyond the person with the right policies.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #20 on: November 17, 2015, 08:05:16 PM »
Not a fan of the positioning, but once again, I appreciate that Edwards fights back.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #21 on: November 17, 2015, 08:16:00 PM »
David Vitter looks and talks like a Simpsons Character.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #22 on: November 19, 2015, 09:25:26 PM »
Going to stick with my 6 point Edwards win.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #23 on: November 21, 2015, 01:10:03 AM »
Add Jay Dardenne to the list of Republicans I still respect.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
« Reply #24 on: November 21, 2015, 09:33:22 PM »
ROFLLMAO WHY DID I HEDGE MY BETS

John Bel Swagwards could do it!
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