EP elections 2014

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen    ZDF    
        
39% CDU/CSU    
27% SPD    
11% Greens        
8% Left    
6% AfD
3% FDP    
6% Others

[Tender Branson]

New Gallup/Ö24 poll (sample = 400, April 8-10):



83% like the fact that Mölzer stepped down as FPÖ-frontrunner and candidate.

42% say that Mölzer damaged the FPÖ's election chances, 47% disagree.

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FP-Absturz-nach-dem-Moelzer-Skandal/139212988

[Tender Branson]

FPÖ releases first poster campaign:



"We understand your anger. Too much EU isn't good for anyone."

"On Mya 25 - FPÖ. Object lesson for EU & Red-Black."



"Freedom instead of EU-coercions."



"Austria thinks differently. Too much EU is dumb."



"Austria First. Then the EU."

[Tender Branson]

The isolationist/direct-democracy party "EU-STOP" has actually managed to collect all 2.600 signatures to be on the ballot !

http://www.eustop.at

They will be the 9th party on the ballot.

No word about the "Monarchists", but today at 5pm is the deadline for submitting the signatures.

[Tender Branson]

First 3 NEOS posters:



"We look beyond the horizon."

"Aim for the stars."

"Re-invent Europe."

[Tender Branson]

The deadline for submitting the 2600 signatures for a party to be on the Austrian ballot has ended 20 minutes ago.

The Interior Ministry has already announced which parties have qualified:

- BZÖ - Liste Mag. Werthmann [BZÖ]

- Die Grünen - Die Grüne Alternative [GRÜNE]

- Die Reformkonservativen - Liste Ewald Stadler [REKOS]

- EU-Austritt, Direkte Demokratie, Neutralität (EU-STOP) [EUSTOP]

- Europa anders - KPÖ, Piratenpartei, Wandel und Unabhängige [ANDERS]

- Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (FPÖ) - Die Freiheitlichen [FPÖ]

- NEOS Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum [NEOS]

- Österreichische Volkspartei - Liste Othmar Karas [ÖVP]

- Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs [SPÖ]

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20140411_OTS0214/europawahl-2014

[Zinneke]

Your election campaign posters are...weird.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It is a well known fact that German speaking countries have the worst election posters in the world.

[Enno von Loewenstern]

It is a well known fact that German speaking countries have the worst election posters in the world.

[Cassius]

I'm sure the slogans sound far better the original German. German, for whatever reason, doesn't seem to translate particularly well (all those compound nouns I guess ).

[EPG]

They are much more earnest than the typical English-language poster.

In the UK in particular, you need to have a pun, and even then, your poster is probably attacking your opponent rather than talking about your policies.

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Some more:

Pirates

Du you want to vote with me? Yes (X), No (0), Mayby (0)

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Nationaldemocratic Party, NPD (far right)

"European ellections: No %-threshold No vote given away", "The boat is full"

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Alternative for Germany


"courage to/for Germany"

[Enno von Loewenstern]

SPD and CDU: the same government, same content, same posters :-)


for a Europe of cooperation not against of each other's


so that Europe brings opportunities for all

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I quite like the election posters, especially the NEOS one and the super melodramatic Alliance/Green cropfields. They have a certain charm.

Meanwhilem lets Czech some recent polling:

http://praguepost.com/eu-news/38004-ano-is-favorite-in-ep-elections

New right-wing liberals ANO (presumably ALDE or PP) have pretty much replaced Cameron's mates the ODS as the centre-right Czech party, and have overtaken the Social Democrats. The Communists have a minor slide relative to 2009, and apart from new right wing group TOP09, everyone else is dicking about the threshold.

[Serenity Now]

There really needs to be a Tumblr of bad German election posters.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Wait a minute, the FDP has election posters??

Haven't seen any of them yet. All what seems to be put in Berlin is CDU, SPD, Left, Greens, AfD, and Pirates.

[Tender Branson]

The FPÖ drops to 18% in the latest "Profil" poll by Unique Research:

26% ÖVP
24% SPÖ
18% FPÖ
14% NEOS
13% Greens
  5% Others

FPÖ loses 4-5% in the last few weeks ...

http://www.profil.at/articles/1415/980/374271/umfrage-eu-wahl-fpoe

[Tender Branson]

The isolationist/direct-democracy party "EU-STOP" has actually managed to collect all 2.600 signatures to be on the ballot !

http://www.eustop.at

They will be the 9th party on the ballot.

EU-STOP will join the EFD group, if they get a seat in the election.

http://www.eustop.at/partner.html

[Tender Branson]

Tomorrow at 11am, the first ORF debate between the frontrunners of the "small parties" takes place.

Martin Ehrenhauser - Europa Anders (Left-wing)
Angelika Werthmann - BZÖ (Right-wing)
Ewald Stadler - REKOS (Right-wing)
Robert Marschall - EU-STOP (Right-wing, isolationist)

http://tv.orf.at/program/orf2/20140413/709880001/376608

[Tender Branson]

Tomorrow at 11am, the first ORF debate between the frontrunners of the "small parties" takes place.

Martin Ehrenhauser - Europa Anders (Left-wing)
Angelika Werthmann - BZÖ (Right-wing)
Ewald Stadler - REKOS (Right-wing)
Robert Marschall - EU-STOP (Right-wing, isolationist)

http://tv.orf.at/program/orf2/20140413/709880001/376608

Ehrenhauser walked out of the debate about 5 minutes in, after he wanted to make an argument about the massive spying activities in Europe.

The ORF moderator interrupted him about 100 times because he actually wanted to know why Ehrenhauser was running for Martin's List in 2009 but now for "Europe Differently", so that Ehrenhauser wasn't able to finish his comment.

Then he walked out and didn't come back ...

Also, Stadler had a good debate performance for his REKOS Catholiban outfit.

The EU-STOP guy talked about how Austria needs to get out of the EU and become some isolationist island.

The BZÖ-woman was just there, but who cares ? The BZÖ is dead.

Bad news for all: Nobody watches an EU-election debate at 11am on a Sunday (only political nerds).

[freek]

Dutch poll (April 13). Not really a European Parliament poll, but rather one for the Second Chamber, corrected for lower turnout.



left to right: results of EP elections 2009, poll of June 2009, poll of April 2014 ("peiling nu"), poll after applying correction factor.

Which gives the following seat totals:
CDA 4 (-1)
PVV 4 (-1)
VVD 4 (+1)
D66 4 (+1)
SP 3 (+1)
PvdA 2 (-1)
CU/SGP 2 (0)
GL 1 (-2)
PvdD 1 (+1)
50Plus 1 (new)
Others 0
====
Total 26

[Tender Branson]

The EU-STOP guy was really Cartman-like during the debate today:

The ORF moderator told viewers that the EU-STOP guy (called Marschall) is the editor of an online newspaper where he sometimes writes his personal opinion as well.

He also has a column in which he rates public Vienna swimming pools/centers.

But he rates them like this:

"...this swimming pool is frequented by a high share of native Austrians." (which is another meaning for "has few foreigners")

or

"...this swimming center is frequented by many people, also with a small share of native Austrians." (which means a lot of foreigners are there)

He then said that these "columns are very popular".



Remember Cartman and his waterpark ?

http://www.southparkstudios.com/clips/256710/not-my-waterpark

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Tomorrow at 11am, the first ORF debate between the frontrunners of the "small parties" takes place.

Martin Ehrenhauser - Europa Anders (Left-wing)
Angelika Werthmann - BZÖ (Right-wing)
Ewald Stadler - REKOS (Right-wing)
Robert Marschall - EU-STOP (Right-wing, isolationist)

http://tv.orf.at/program/orf2/20140413/709880001/376608

Ehrenhauser walked out of the debate about 5 minutes in, after he wanted to make an argument about the massive spying activities in Europe.

The ORF moderator interrupted him about 100 times because he actually wanted to know why Ehrenhauser was running for Martin's List in 2009 but now for "Europe Differently", so that Ehrenhauser wasn't able to finish his comment.

Then he walked out and didn't come back ...

Also, Stadler had a good debate performance for his REKOS Catholiban outfit.

The EU-STOP guy talked about how Austria needs to get out of the EU and become some isolationist island.

The BZÖ-woman was just there, but who cares ? The BZÖ is dead.

Bad news for all: Nobody watches an EU-election debate at 11am on a Sunday (only political nerds).

Thank you for the link. Stadler (Reformconservatives) did the best job, he was quiet sane and could be an alternative for some ÖVP, BZÖ and FPÖ Voters. Werthmann was just a joke as she is a joke candidat. The BZÖ is dead. Ehrenhausers (Left Europa anders) perfomance was ridiculous. The talk show host was not very fair against the Euro-Stop guy. He is the host, not another politician.

Do you think that there are any chances for Stadler/REKOS?