EP elections 2014

[Diouf]

Voxmeter EP poll. Denmark

Liberals 28.1 % 4 seats
Social Democrats 27.1 % 4
DF 20.4 % 3
SF 7.6 % 1
Social Liberals 6.6 % 1
People's movement against the EU 3.7 % 0
Conservatives 3.4 % 0
Liberal Alliance 3.2 % 0

Voxmeter is normally a reliable poller, but this polls looks really weird. Extremely high numbers for the Liberals and the Social Democrats, which is 7-8 % increases compared to the EP elections in 2009; all other polls have shown them around 19-24 %. Especially for the Social Democrats it seems weird considering how poor their national polls are. Also quite low figures for the two main Eurosceptic parties DF and the People's Movement, which are both around 5 % higher in other polls. Also poorer results than normally for the Social Liberals and the Conservatives.

45 % of those asked, answered don't know.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Finally discovered some FDP election posters... in the same street where they have their national headquarters.

[Tender Branson]

Martin Ehrenhauser (frontrunner of the leftist "Europa Anders" list of Communists, Pirates & Wandel) is now camping in front of the Federal Chancellor's Office and spent the night there to protest the HYPO bank rescue and austerity measures in general (here and accross Europe).





Yesterday, he walked out of the ORF debate, said "he wants to stand up and make a statement" and that he won't leave the Federal Chancellor Office.

At least all the media is now reporting about him ...

http://derstandard.at/1397302000056/Ich-moechte-einfach-in-die-Koepfe-der-Leute-reindringen

Let's see if this protest means anything in terms of poll support in the next weeks ...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

New ICM/Grauniad poll for GB:

Labour 36%, Con 25%, UKIP 20%, LDem 6%, Greens 6%, Others 7%

[Jens]

Voxmeter EP poll. Denmark

Liberals 28.1 % 4 seats
Social Democrats 27.1 % 4
DF 20.4 % 3
SF 7.6 % 1
Social Liberals 6.6 % 1
People's movement against the EU 3.7 % 0
Conservatives 3.4 % 0
Liberal Alliance 3.2 % 0

Voxmeter is normally a reliable poller, but this polls looks really weird. Extremely high numbers for the Liberals and the Social Democrats, which is 7-8 % increases compared to the EP elections in 2009; all other polls have shown them around 19-24 %. Especially for the Social Democrats it seems weird considering how poor their national polls are. Also quite low figures for the two main Eurosceptic parties DF and the People's Movement, which are both around 5 % higher in other polls. Also poorer results than normally for the Social Liberals and the Conservatives.

45 % of those asked, answered don't know.

I agree. We'll have to wait for some more polling to see if this is an outliner.

[freek]

Participating parties in the Netherlands:

8 parties already represented in the European Parliament:
1. CDA - Europese Volkspartij
2. PVV (Partij voor de Vrijheid)
3. P.v.d.A./Europese Sociaaldemocraten
4. VVD
5. Democraten 66 (D66) - ALDE
6. GROENLINKS
7. SP (Socialistische Partij)
8. ChristenUnie-SGP

CDA & CU/SGP lists are combined, and also the PvdA & GL lists.

And 11 other parties:
9. Artikel50 - Named after article 50 of the EU Treaty "Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements." Founded by former PVV MEP Daniel van der Stoep, who resigned as MEP after a drunk driving incident, later returned to the European Parliament but was kicked out of the PVV.

10. IQ, de Rechten-Plichten-Partij  ('IQ - the Rights & Obligations Party) - Its lone candidate has some rather vague policies about clean energy and a mandatory IQtest for politicians. The party also tried to participate in the national elections of 2012, but failed to pay the deposit.

11. Piratenpartij - The Pirate Party. Participated in the 2010 & 2012 elections (0.3% in 2012).

12. 50PLUS - Party for the elderly, 2 seats/1.9% in 2012, around 3% in the polls

13. De Groenen - 'fundi' Greens. Founded in the 1980s. The last time the party participated on a national level were the European elections in 2009 - 0.2%

14. Anti EU(ro) Partij - Participated as "Anti Europa Partij" in the 2012 elections: 0.02% of the votes.

15. Liberaal Democratische Partij - Pro EU/Liberal split off of the VVD, founded in 2006. Scored 0.24% in the European elections of 2009 and 0.02% in the 2012 elections.

16. JEZUS LEEFT - 'Jesus lives'. Founded by 'roof evangelist' Joop van Ooijen. He lives on this farm, Giessenlanden municipality tried to force him to remove the text ('Jesus Saves'). In the end a compromise was reached: Van Ooijen had to paint it orange (it was white) and remove the lighting.


17. Ikkiesvooreerlijk.eu - 'ivoteforhonesty.eu'. Founded by Michel van Hulten (84), junior minister between 1972-1977. He was a member of KVP, PPR, D66, GroenLinks, PvdA and 50Plus. Policies: Pro European integration, anti corruption

18. Partij voor de Dieren - Party for the Animals. Represented in the national parliament since 2006, the party came close to a seat in the European Parliament in 2004 (3.2%) and 2009 (3.5%). At the moment the party again hovers around the threshold of 3.85%.

19. Aandacht en Eenvoud - 'Attention & Simplicity'. No idea about their policies.

Also a 20th party applied, "Vrouwenpartij" (Party for women), a feminist party. It was refused, because the €11.250 deposit was not paid. It has announced that it will appeal, because according to the party, a deposit was unconstitutional.

[Хahar 🤔]

It's not clear to me why GroenLinks still exists as a party.

[YL]

New ICM/Grauniad poll for GB:

Labour 36%, Con 25%, UKIP 20%, LDem 6%, Greens 6%, Others 7%

This is considerably better for Labour and worse for UKIP than other recent polls for these elections.  Those other polls were online, which may have something to do with it. It's also awful for the Lib Dems.

[Tender Branson]

The "Wiener Zeitung" now has their "election helper" out (you need to answer 30 questions and it shows you which of the 9 parties you are closest to):

http://wahlhelfer.wienerzeitung.at

I got "Europa anders" on top, FPÖ last.

[Tender Branson]

The "Wiener Zeitung" now has their "election helper" out (you need to answer 30 questions and it shows you which of the 9 parties you are closest to):

http://wahlhelfer.wienerzeitung.at

I got "Europa anders" on top, FPÖ last.

If you copy the questions into Google Translate or Bing Translate, English-speaking etc. posters can take part too !

(Also make sure to rate how important the topic is for you, which always pops up after you clicked an answer to the question).

[Enno von Loewenstern]

The "Wiener Zeitung" now has their "election helper" out (you need to answer 30 questions and it shows you which of the 9 parties you are closest to):

http://wahlhelfer.wienerzeitung.at

I got "Europa anders" on top, FPÖ last.

REKOS 82
FPÖ 82
BZÖ 82
EUSTOP 76
ÖVP 60
SPÖ 52
EuropaAnders 25
Greens 19
NEOS 10

[freek]

It's not clear to me why GroenLinks still exists as a party.

Yes, most of its former voters have switched to SP, PvdD or D66. The party tries to be the sensible leftwing opposition.

Since the party seems to be nearly dead now, it will probably be around 10-15% in the polls in a few years.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Grüne 69
NEOS 67
EUROPAnders 62
SPÖ 56
BZÖ 51
ÖVP 49
FPÖ 34
EU-STOP 34
Rekos 33

[Yeahsayyeah]

Europa anders: 79
Grüne: 77
NEOS: 66
BZÖ: 47
Rekos: 43
SPÖ: 42
FPÖ: 35
EU-Stop: 35
ÖVP: 34

[Zanas]

It's not clear to me why GroenLinks still exists as a party.

Yes, most of its former voters have switched to SP, PvdD or D66. The party tries to be the sensible leftwing opposition.

Since the party seems to be nearly dead now, it will probably be around 10-15% in the polls in a few years.

You mean next year, when CDA is at 30 again, 50+ at 15, VVD at 4 and PvdA at 20 ?

Netherlands...

[Diouf]

There is also the electio site, which allows you to vote on 20 of the most important votes from the EP 2009-2014. Afterwards you can see which MEP, candidate, party or group you agree with the most.

http://www.electio2014.eu/

My best match is Anna Ibrisagic (81 %) from the Swedish Moderates, and my best Danish match is the Conservative Bendt Bendtsen (80 %). My worst match is Marie-Christine Vergiat from the French Front de Gauche (13 %), and my worst Danish match is Søren Søndergaard from the People's Movement against the EU (23 %).

Groupwise the match is:
ALDE 70 %
EPP 61 %
ECR 59 %
S&D 50 %
EFD 43 %
Greens/EFA 41 %
GUE-NGL 30 %

[Velasco]

http://www.electio2014.eu/

Candidates: Tine Hördum (SPD/Ger) 100%, Andreu Criquet (ERC/Spain) 96%, Gerald Kreuzer (SPÖ/Aut) 96%, Christian Noiret (Greens/Belgium) 96%, Delfina Rossi (ICV/Spain) 96%, Ernest Urtasun (ICV/Spain) 96%. MEPS: Jens Geier (SPD/Ger) 95%, Nicole Kiil Nielsen (EELV/France) 93%, Raül Romeva (ICV/Spain) 93%.

Groups: Greens/EFA 87%; GUE-NGL 82%; S&D 78%; ALDE 53%; EPP 47%; EFD 44%; ECR 24%.

Funny results. I'm not going to vote neither for the S&D Spanish branch (I didn't find PSOE MEPS or candidates in my top matches) nor for the Catalan pro-independence ERC, even when I have a lot of coincidences with one of its candidates on European policies, according to the test.

PS: My worst match (6%) is Hon Daniel Hannan, from the UK Conservatives. A certain Marta Andreasen (UK independent) scores with 9%.

Spanish parties: Pirates 94%; ICV 93%; PSOE-PSC 78%; PNV 73%; UPyD 69%; IU 61%...

[Hash]

I got

G-EFA 86%
SD 81%
GUE-NGL 74%
ALDE 60%
EPP 51%
EFD 39%
ECR 33%

My top MEPs are Michael Cramer (Greens-Germany, 93%), Jens Geier (SPD, 92%), Nicole Kiil-Nielsen (EELV, 90%), Malika Benarab-Attou (EELV, 89%), Maria Badia i Cutchet (PSC, 88%) and Marie Cornelissen (GroenLinks, 88%). My top party in France is obviously EELV.

[palandio]

EA 65
GRÜNE 60
FPÖ 54
BZÖ 54
NEOS 53
SPÖ 50
REKOS 49
EU-STOP 42
ÖVP 41

[Tender Branson]

Gerald Keuzer (SPÖ)

Who is this ?

Never heard of this guy.

[EPG]

The "Wiener Zeitung" now has their "election helper" out (you need to answer 30 questions and it shows you which of the 9 parties you are closest to):

http://wahlhelfer.wienerzeitung.at

I got "Europa anders" on top, FPÖ last.

NEOS / Europa anders swing voter, but only 63/62 each, which looks relatively small. I would not consider the latter and I presume I was recommended them due to a lack of Euro-federalism. I would consider NEOS though.

http://www.electio2014.eu/

My top 4 MEPs are all in D66, except for one who is in Venstre (DK), a result that does not surprise me.

[Velasco]

Gerald Keuzer (SPÖ)

Who is this ?

Never heard of this guy.

You should know that Kreuzer better than me. It's just a silly typing error, very common on the other hand.

[Tender Branson]

Gerald Keuzer (SPÖ)

Who is this ?

Never heard of this guy.

You should know that Kreuzer better than me. It's just a silly typing error, very common on the other hand.

Maybe some candidate way back on the SPÖ list ...

[Diouf]

Gerald Keuzer (SPÖ)

Who is this ?

Never heard of this guy.

You should know that Kreuzer better than me. It's just a silly typing error, very common on the other hand.

Maybe some candidate way back on the SPÖ list ...

A Gewerkschaftssekretär apparently and yes quite a bit down on their list.

http://www.gdgfsg.at/eu_wahl2014/Kandidatenliste.pdf

[Velasco]

Quite obscure SPÖ member, apparently. I've found that Juan Fernando López Aguilar (PSOE) is in my top 5 (5th with 86%) amongst Spanish MEPs or candidates. I know that politician well, since he was minister and is from my region. The funny thing is that my top 4 is made of Catalans (3 ICV and 1 ERC). Tough choice