Number of female senators after 2016 elections?

[publicunofficial]

18 to 25 depending on A) Landrieu wins re-election, B) Hagan wins re-election or is beaten by another woman (Ellmers, Berry), and C) Any of these scenarios happen.


1) Shelley Moore Capito or Natalie Tennant takes Jay Rockefeller's seat
2) Alison Lundergan Grimes defeats Mitch McConnell
3) Colleen Hanabusa primaries Brian Schatz and takes his seat.
4) Elizabeth Cheney or Cynthia Lummis takes Mike Enzi's seat (If Enzi retires)
5) Kristi Noem or SHS takes Tim Johnson's seat.

There are other scenarios (Bachmann running and beating Franken, Kim Reynolds beating Steve King and Bruce Braley in Iowa, Lindsey Graham revealing he is in fact an elderly lesbian) but all of them are relatively unlikely.

[publicunofficial]

I'll update my list for this this thread:


BASE: 16 Female Senators (Ayotte, Gillibrand, Warren, Mikulski, Stabenow, Klobuchar, Heitkamp, Baldwin, Fischer, McCaskill, Murray, Cantwell, Feinstein, Boxer, Murkowski, Hirono)
17 - Susan Collins wins in Maine
18 - Shelley Moore Capito/Natalie Tennant wins in West Virginia
19 - Jeanne Shaheen wins in New Hampshire
20 - Kay Hagan wins in North Carolina or is somehow beaten by Heather Grant
21 - Mary Landrieu wins in Louisiana
22 - Terri Lynn Land is elected in Michigan
23 - Colleen Hanabusa wins the Democratic primary in Hawaii, then the general
24 - Karen Handel/Michelle Nunn wins in Georgia
25 - Alison Lundergan Grimes wins in Kentucky
26 - Amy Stephens wins in Colorado
27 - Joni Ernst wins in Iowa
28 - Nancy Mace wins in South Carolina


Right now I'd say 19-23 female Senators in the 114th Congress

[publicunofficial]

And just for bonus points, here's a list of women that I consider to have a strong to outside chance of being elected to the House this November.


Republicans:
-Mia Love (UT-04)
-Mimi Walters (CA-45)
-Barbara Comstock (VA-10)
-Lizbeth Benacquisto (FL-19)
-Martha McSally (AZ-02)
-Wendy Rogers (AZ-09)*
-Elise Stefanik (NY-21)
-Janea Holmquist Newbry (WA-04)
-Marilinda Garcia (NH-02)
-Ellen Andel (FL-18)
-Tootie Smith (OR-05)

Democrats:
-Brenda Lawrence (MI-14)
-Alma Adams (NC-12)
-Anesa Kajtazovic (IA-01)
-Alex Sink (FL-13)
-Gwen Graham (FL-02)
-Aimee Belgard (NJ-03)
-Martha Robertson (NY-23)
-Staci Appel (IA-03)
-Emily Cain (ME-02)
-Ann Callis (IL-13)
-Eloise Gomez Reyes (CA-31)
-Amanda Renteria (CA-21)
-Wendy Greuel (CA-33)
-Kathleen Rice (NY-04)*
-Donna Mercado Kim (HI-01)*
-Pam Byrnes (MI-07)
-Jennifer Garrison (OH-06)
-Suzanne Patrick (VA-02)


*=Would fill left open by a former female member of Congress.

[publicunofficial]

I have the feeling there will be less women after this election.

Boxer is likely replaced by Harris, so that's +0

Mikulski is replaced by either Van Hollen or Edwards, so -1 or +0

Ayotte is only leaving if Hassan runs, so +0 (There are a few other candidates that I think could beat Ayotte, but they are also mostly female)

Patty Murray isn't going anywhere, and Lisa Murkowski I think is pretty secure at the moment.

At this point it looks like net loss of 1, or gain of 0. Other possible places for a woman to join the Senate:

Krysten Sinema or Ann Kirkpatrick in Arizona
Pam Bondi in Florida
Cynthia Coffman in Colorado?
Jackie Walorski in Indiana?
Kay Hagan or Janet Cowell in North Carolina?


I don't expect a major change in either direction.

[publicunofficial]

Now an another opportunity in Nevada. Maybe the number of women will increase .

Remember, Mary Gojack, Sharon Angle, and Shelley Berkley all ran for the Senate there and lost (probably) because of a glass ceiling. Don't get too optimistic. But then again, each successive candidate got a higher percentage of the vote than the last one.

lolwut

Mary Gojack was a nobody during a wave year, Sharon Angle was a crazy person, and Shelley Berkley was corrupt. There's tons of explanations for why they lost that doesn't involve Nevada being inherently sexist.

[publicunofficial]

I was incredibly disappointed when I saw "Number of female... by The Arizonan" and that was the post.

I was going to say much of the same as angry - Gojack was years ago. Even if Berkley wasn't corrupt (a bit subjective), Heller was a very, very good candidate. 1 case does not make a trend. People try to do the same thing with Coakley in Massachusetts. The same woman lost twice. She is horrible. That doesn't make the voters sexist.

Okay, you and angryGreatness are correct about something, but what about the gubernatorial elections in Nevada then?

You made a good point about Coakley. She wasn't a very good candidate. What about the 2002 gubernatorial election in which the Democrats ran a non-Coakley candidate?

Only two women have ever ran for Governor of Nevada, Dina Titus in 2006 and Shirley Crumpler in 1974. Crumpler was a sacrificial lamb who got less than 20%, and was such a nobody I cannot any information on her on the internet. Titus lost to Jim Gibbons by 3 points in one of the most contested Governor races of the cycle; when Gibbons was an excellent politician who represented 1/3 of the state including the all-important Reno area. That one loss is a small sample size to start calling Nevada anti-woman.