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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« on: March 30, 2013, 07:43:48 PM »

Our good friend the 506 (who posted a lot of poll maps back in the day) has created a wonderful site that has poll maps of every riding since 2000: http://election-atlas.ca/fed/

Just click on a riding and click on poll maps to see them all.

If he ever comes back here and sees this, well done sir! Great site!

He plans on having provincial maps up as well, and to have poll maps from before 2000.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2013, 09:41:45 PM »

As did mine. So weird, thinking about it. This apartment complex is heavily NDP.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2013, 09:56:09 PM »

Yes. The map in 2000 is very interesting.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #3 on: March 30, 2013, 10:17:15 PM »

I suppose you plan on doing poll maps for 1993 and beyond? Those will be trickier without shapefiles, you'd have to make them yourself. I guess you'd start with just the riding boundaries.

Anyways, I look forward to your updates. Keep us posted!
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #4 on: April 22, 2013, 08:30:50 PM »

Good stuff!
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2013, 12:57:17 PM »

Cheesy
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #6 on: June 22, 2013, 07:27:13 AM »

Woohoo! I'm glad the BC stuff is out before the Westside-Kelowna by-election.

Do you plan on doing elections further back? I know it would be extremely painstaking... I do know that the Library here has the poll by poll results of all the federal elections between 1957 and 1993, but no poll maps Sad (Well, I havent really looked for poll maps...)
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #7 on: June 22, 2013, 03:29:25 PM »

The UNB library here has them all back to 1900 or so, but again, no maps. If someone came across some maps, I'd try and do *something*. The plan is to at least put riding maps together from the descriptions on that Library of Parliament website, but that's a long term project.

I think the Carleton University library might have some poll maps, I will have to look around.

I guess one place to look is the national archives?
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #8 on: June 24, 2013, 05:34:38 PM »

Any idea where I can get the Ontario results from last election in a spreadsheet format as opposed to PDF as well as maps so I can figure out the results by municipality like I did federally?

Hey now, we're still waiting for the 2011 federal results by municipality Wink
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #9 on: June 24, 2013, 07:35:54 PM »

Any idea where I can get the Ontario results from last election in a spreadsheet format as opposed to PDF as well as maps so I can figure out the results by municipality like I did federally?

Hey now, we're still waiting for the 2011 federal results by municipality Wink

I only did for municipality for Southern Ontario, but I do have the census divisions for every province.  I did two maps, one for the winner and the other right vs. left (red for right and blue for left using the US colours).  I believe I posted it in the discussion on the Canadian election, but if not and you want to re-open that one I will be happy to post them.

Really? For 2011? I can only remember you doing it for 2008.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #10 on: June 25, 2013, 07:04:07 AM »

Any idea where I can get the Ontario results from last election in a spreadsheet format as opposed to PDF as well as maps so I can figure out the results by municipality like I did federally?

Hey now, we're still waiting for the 2011 federal results by municipality Wink

I only did for municipality for Southern Ontario, but I do have the census divisions for every province.  I did two maps, one for the winner and the other right vs. left (red for right and blue for left using the US colours).  I believe I posted it in the discussion on the Canadian election, but if not and you want to re-open that one I will be happy to post them.

Really? For 2011? I can only remember you doing it for 2008.

Yes, I did them too.  I am happy to supply them.  They are simply colour coded by winner not percentage although I do one for Tories over 50% vs. under 50% otherwise right vs. left.  I know many consider it questionable to consider Liberals on the left, but rather right wing vs. non-right wing vote for better terminology.

Well, I'm more interested in the numbers by party. Do you have that map? If not, I can make them if you supply the numbers.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #11 on: July 01, 2013, 12:29:16 AM »

Well, I'd like to see all the CDs and Southern Ontario municipalities
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #12 on: July 01, 2013, 11:15:53 PM »

Very good stuff. Maybe I'll have to do Northern Ontario.

Quebec by municipality would be interesting too.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #13 on: July 03, 2013, 07:24:02 AM »

Wow. The Tories still won 2 MRCs in the Outaouais? 
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #14 on: July 03, 2013, 03:33:47 PM »

Wow. The Tories still won 2 MRCs in the Outaouais? 

Two rural, remote and Anglophones MRCs. They lost because they were trashed in Gatineau suburbs.

I thought only Pontiac was Anglo, isn't the other one (La Vallee de la Gatineau?) Franco?
Also, Les Collines de la Gatineau has a high Anglo population, but went NDP. But a lot of the inhabitants are hippies.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #15 on: July 03, 2013, 04:41:49 PM »
« Edited: July 03, 2013, 04:45:41 PM by Hatman »

Wow. The Tories still won 2 MRCs in the Outaouais?  

Two rural, remote and Anglophones MRCs. They lost because they were trashed in Gatineau suburbs.

I thought only Pontiac was Anglo, isn't the other one (La Vallee de la Gatineau?) Franco?
Also, Les Collines de la Gatineau has a high Anglo population, but went NDP. But a lot of the inhabitants are hippies.

Pontiac: 58,3%
La Vallée de la Gatineau: 16.2%
Les Collines de l'Outaouais: 25.6%

So, you have a point. Cannon seems to have very good results in various towns of the Valley (like Maniwaki) for I reason I don't see currently.

Collines de l'Outaouais is simple. They voted as Montreal suburbs. Through, NDP won a precinct in that area in 2008. Perhaps left-wing Anglophones (but those usually voted Liberal, not NDP).

I think that poll was in Wakefield, which is Anglo, but very, very left wing.

ETA: NDP won Wakefield in 2006, not 2008. The NDP poll in 2008 was in Cantley.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #16 on: July 03, 2013, 09:10:39 PM »

I probably made this comment last time, but that straight line is not the Division 10-Division 11 border in Labrador. But anyways, keep up the good work! I can make a national map when this done, just like last time. Would be nice if you had %s, preferably intervals of 5 to match my key.  You can email me them if you wish.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #17 on: July 04, 2013, 10:19:13 AM »

I've completed the map, save Quebec which Miles still has to send me. I took the liberty of also doing the NWT

For those who are interested, here are the 6 NWT regions results:

Region 1 (Beaufort-Delta / Inuvik)
Cons: 43.37%
NDP: 36.65%
Lib: 17.72%
Grn: 1.71%
Other: 0.55%

Region 2 (Sahtu)
Cons: 36.78%
NDP: 35.24%
Lib: 23.78%
Grn: 3.64%
Other: 0.56%

Region 3 (Monfwi / T'Licho)
Lib: 58.21% <- Only CD west of Ontario to go Liberal
NDP: 21.04%
Cons: 18.66%
Grn: 0.90%
Other: 1.19%

Region 4 (Deh Cho)
NDP: 50.86%
Lib: 23.61%
Cons: 22.80%
Grn: 1.42%
Other: 1.32%

Region 5 (South Slave)
NDP: 50.28%
Cons: 36.19%
Lib: 9.41%
Grn: 3.50%
Other: 0.63%

Region 6 (North Slave)
NDP: 50.36%
Cons: 29.43%
Lib: 16.43%
Grn: 3.42%
Other: 0.35%

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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #18 on: July 04, 2013, 11:48:11 AM »

The South Shore is a bellwether region. For example, Queens went NDP in 2008 and in the last provincial election, I believe.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #19 on: July 05, 2013, 09:27:53 AM »

Miles sent me the Quebec data. Here is the national map:




I had to make some adjustments to follow the 2011 census boundaries which are slightly different than Quebec's MRC boundaries.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #20 on: August 14, 2013, 01:25:45 PM »

Ontario is now up!

http://www.election-atlas.ca/ont/

Right now there are poll maps going back to 2003.


Next up for me is Nova Scotia, and their damned PDF files that are completely incapable of being pasted into Excel in any sort of readable manner.

Any chance I could get a copy of the excel sheets for Inverness, Antigonish, Yarmouth, Glace Bay, Cumberland South and Cape Breton North (for 2009, obviously)? Elections NS didn't do the 2009 transposition for those ridings, using the most recent by-elections instead. If I could have the excel sheets, it would mean I could take a stab at doing it instead.


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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #21 on: August 15, 2013, 06:52:17 AM »


Cheesy
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #22 on: August 17, 2013, 12:44:58 PM »

Nothing unexpected. NDP collapse in the west is obvious, but they still hung on to 2 polls in Labrador City. The Tories winning a poll on the east coast is interesting too, since they hadn't won it last time. You can't blame turnout either, since it went up.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #23 on: August 19, 2013, 11:13:03 AM »

Never heard of Nitassinan or Nunatukavut. I assume Nitassinan is the two Innu communities?
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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Posts: 25,998
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« Reply #24 on: August 19, 2013, 04:34:41 PM »

yeah nitassinan is two Innu rez in labrador and also in quebec.
NunatuKavut is south labrador where Inuit-Metis or Labrador Metis

Does that include HVGB and the south coast? or did you omit those areas?
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