Some social conservatives threaten to abandon GOP

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

1. The Social Conservatives from long ago in the GOP have who have been voting Republican for ever (like in places of the Midwest) probably won't leave, unless it provokes them to reasses their legacy voting, then maybe.

2. The Southerns who joined (and stayed) the GOP back in the 1950's and 1960's and their descendents who possess like views, who were/are primarily economically focused anyway and just needed a breakdown in the Civil War pattern to switch, will stay, unless 1) They aren't social conservatives anymore and thus aren't part of the consideration or worse 2) have already left by virtue of becoming Torie types and didn't like the overemphasis on said issues thus producing their departure.

3. The people most concerning are the Social Conservatives who joined in the 1990's and 2000's, the ones Bush brought in. The ones that Mark Sanford lambasted as "bringining their preference for pork along with them". These people might shift drift back. Northern LA, AR, WV, South/North GA, Up-country SC, come to mind.