Past UK Elections on 1997 - 2001 boundaries
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Author Topic: Past UK Elections on 1997 - 2001 boundaries  (Read 4275 times)
Harry Hayfield
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« on: April 16, 2013, 09:54:54 AM »
« edited: April 16, 2013, 09:56:29 AM by Harry Hayfield »



This is a map generated using data from the University of Sheffield and mapped using UK-Elect showing the 1950 general election on the boundaries used for the 1997 - 2005 parliaments. Please remember I am just the monkey, the organ grinder is the University of Sheffield who published this data in 2005 and have since taken the spreadsheet used to generate the map down.

The colours used are: Conservative Labour Liberal Ulster Unionist SDLP
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2013, 03:57:31 PM »

So what's the change like? More favourable to Tories, Labour or Lib Dems?
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stepney
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« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2013, 04:16:42 PM »

So what's the change like? More favourable to Tories, Labour or Lib Dems?
Undoubtedly it will turn out more favourable to the Tories, given the flight to the suburbs and country from 1950 to 1997. Salford East and West, for example, by 1950 were just Salford. The three and a half seats in what is now LB Islington were two by 1997 - etc.

However the map is not clear, and the Sheffield data is alnost notoriously faulty, particularly if you go back further - their 19th C data is meaningless.
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Harry Hayfield
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Posts: 1,975
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
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« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2013, 04:45:18 PM »

The actual 1950 result was Lab 315 Con 288 Lib 9 Ind 1 and NI 12 where as this calculation says Con 321 Lab 316 Lib 4 NI 12 (so yes, it does help the Conservatives in the 1950 election, but we shall have to see about other elections)

Yes, sorry about the map. I was trying to have it full scale (but that means stitching pictures which I am not good at) but I am hoping that the data will be released in a future UK-Elect release
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