With this poll over, here's some results.
Presidential 1st Round Poll:
President Marokai Blue: 33%
Governor Tmthforu94: 24%
Generic Federalist: 19%
Generic Liberal: 7%
Write-Ins: 2%
None of The Above: 2%
Undecided: 12%
Tested Presidential Final Rounds:
Marokai takes strong majority of Liberal votes and a shockingly high amount of Federalist votes.
President Marokai: 43%
Governor Tmthforu94: 41%
Undecided: 16%
Marokai takes half of Liberal votes, Tmth gets very solid Federalist support.
Governor Tmthforu94: 43%
President Marokai: 41%
Undecided: 16%
Tmth gets strong majority of Liberal votes, also near universal Federalist support.
Governor Tmthforu94: 45%
President Marokai: 38%
Undecided: 16%
Analysis:
Tmth has already stated his intention NOT to run (the post was an April Fools joke, I certainly was the fool), but when tested against the Incumbent President, he performs solidly. Things out the gate look great for the President, who holds a 9 Point lead over Tmth on the first ballot. However, things don't get prettier from there. In one of the more sympathetic situations the Incumbent President leads Tmth by 2. Worst possible situation, and Tmth leads by 7. Granted, this is all under 50, with nearly 20% of Atlasians fairly undecided this early on, so that may not be an indicator of the Presidents competitiveness.
Poll
