Swiss Elections & Politics (Next election 2019)

[ZuWo]

Live results and analysis by the Swiss broadcaster SRF can be followed here:

http://www.srf.ch/livestream/player/srf-1

[Tender Branson]

SRF will have 1st Switzerland-wide prediction out soon ...

[ZuWo]

Do you know what the initiative with the most turnout was so far in Swiss history ?

That was the EWR-initiative in 1992 with a turnout of 78%.

[Tender Branson]

Live results and analysis by the Swiss broadcaster SRF can be followed here:

http://www.srf.ch/livestream/player/srf-1

You can only watch this with a Swiss IP ...

[ZuWo]

Live results and analysis by the Swiss broadcaster SRF can be followed here:

http://www.srf.ch/livestream/player/srf-1

You can only watch this with a Swiss IP ...

Didn't know that.

Anyway, the first full cantonal result has been released now:

Aargau: 55,2% yes, 44,8% no to the mass immigration initiative

https://www.ag.ch/de/startseite_portal/startseite_portal.jsp

[Tender Branson]

55% Yes in Aargau ?

Then it looks like that the initiative will likely fail.

Aargau is usually about 6-7% more to the right than Switzerland.

[ZuWo]

55% Yes in Aargau ?

Then it looks like that the initiative will likely fail.

Aargau is usually about 6-7% more to the right than Switzerland.

You may be right. Then again, Ticino is expected to vote for the initiative very clearly.

I have to leave now - my second shift at the local polling station is going to start soon. Feel free to feed the forum with additional results, Tender!

[Tender Branson]

Currently I predict for Switzerland as a whole:

51.5% - Pro mass-immigration
48.5% - Against mass-immigration

[Tender Branson]

Mass immigration is now projected at 50-50 according to the exit pollster.

This could come down to a few votes ...

Keeping abortions publicly funded is projected to win with 70-30.

[Tender Branson]

The anti-mass immigration initiative will finally win.

Currently, there's a 40.000 vote lead Switzerland-wide, with only the cantons of Zurich, Bern and Solothurn missing.

In Zurich, the "no" is projected to have a 30.000 vote lead, but in Bern the "yes" has currently a 33.000 vote lead, with just a bit missing.

So, even if Solothurn votes "no", the result will be "yes" for Switzerland.

[Tender Branson]

Solothurn just came in and it voted "Yes" on the mass-immigration initiative with 55-45.

[Tender Branson]

My updated prediction for Switzerland (now just Zürich and Bern missing):

51.3% Yes, ban mass-immigration
48.7% No

[Tender Branson]

Currently, a 38.000 vote lead for "Yes".

Zurich (only 1 city missing) will add a net 25-30.000 votes to "No".

Bern (2 districts missing) will add a net 20-40.000 votes to "Yes".

[Tender Branson]

The canton of Bern is now fully counted.

New Swiss-wide result:

51% Yes
49% No

"Yes" has a lead of 46.350 votes.

http://www.nzz.ch/aktuell/schweiz/svp-initiative-im-aargau-auf-ja-kurs-1.18239183

Only the canton of Zurich is missing, where the "No" leads by 28.000 votes right now.

Only the small city of Kloten (18.000 people) in Zurich is missing.

Which means the "Yes" has won with 50.3% Switzerland-wide.

[Cranberry]

I find it quite interesting that the francophone Switzerland voted "NO" while the german speaking part voted mainly "YES"(excluding Bern and Basel). Is there any reason in particular for that?

[Franzl]

I find it quite interesting that the francophone Switzerland voted "NO" while the german speaking part voted mainly "YES"(excluding Bern and Basel). Is there any reason in particular for that?

German speaking Switzerland always votes more right-wing/conservative/fascist/etc.

[Tender Branson]

FINAL results:

Re-introduction of immigration quotas



Private financing of abortions



Funding of railway infrastructure



Clickable English results map:

http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss_news/Vote_results.html?cid=37851262

[Hash]

Well how terribly depressing. But then again, it's Switzerland, so...

[Associate Justice PiT]

     It seems that this is being spun as a victory for the far-right. Does that seem to be the impression on the ground in Switzerland?

[ZuWo]

     It seems that this is being spun as a victory for the far-right. Does that seem to be the impression on the ground in Switzerland?

It is certainly a victory for the SVP but it's a victory which, among other factors at play, would not have been possible without crossover support from Green Party members and voters. The Green Party Ticino, for example, publicly supported the initiative, after all.

[rob in cal]

   I'm wondering exactly what changes will actually come from the immigration initiative passing. What was current law, and how will things be now?

[ZuWo]

I only just returned from the polling station. It was much more work than expected. We were initially told that our shift would be over by around 5PM but it took us until 10PM to finish all our work.

   I'm wondering exactly what changes will actually come from the immigration initiative passing. What was current law, and how will things be now?

In short, the current "free movement of persons" model should be replaced with a quota-based model. Proponents of the initiative have often cited the Canadian model as an example.

[Associate Justice PiT]

    It seems that this is being spun as a victory for the far-right. Does that seem to be the impression on the ground in Switzerland?

It is certainly a victory for the SVP but it's a victory which, among other factors at play, would not have been possible without crossover support from Green Party members and voters. The Green Party Ticino, for example, publicly supported the initiative, after all.

     I was looking at the map and I saw Ticino was 68% in favor. Since they're such a small group by comparison I am less knowledgeable about them, so how do the Swiss Italians usually compare politically to the Swiss French and Swiss Germans?

[ZuWo]

    It seems that this is being spun as a victory for the far-right. Does that seem to be the impression on the ground in Switzerland?

It is certainly a victory for the SVP but it's a victory which, among other factors at play, would not have been possible without crossover support from Green Party members and voters. The Green Party Ticino, for example, publicly supported the initiative, after all.

     I was looking at the map and I saw Ticino was 68% in favor. Since they're such a small group by comparison I am less knowledgeable about them, so how do the Swiss Italians usually compare politically to the Swiss French and Swiss Germans?

They are very sceptical of the European Union and tend to have certain populist tendencies, which sometimes benefits the right and sometimes the left.

[Tender Branson]

Results by districts:

Re-introduction of immigration quotas



Private financing of abortions



Only 2 districts want abortions not to be covered by the mandatory health insurance.