Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?

[Miles]

With just 31% in both D races are close:

LG:
Northam- 53%
Chopra- 47%

AG:
Herring- 52%
Fairfax- 48%

[Miles]

After a big vote dump, 58% is in:

LG:
Northam- 52%
Chopra- 48%

AG:
Herring- 53%
Fairfax- 47%

Almost all of Fairfax County is still out, which should help Chopra.

[Miles]

Chopra has conceded

[publicunofficial]

Chopra has conceded

This and Rosalyn Dance staying alive makes me disappointed in VA Primary voters, but whatever.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

These results are disconcerting, I was sure Chopra would win. But I forget that racism still exists in Virginia. And Chopra sounds more foreign than Obama. And even worse, didn't Northam try to give control of the Senate to the Republcians? Who voted for him?

[free my dawg]

Yet another reason I feel horrible for the Democrats here. They now have to choose between an insufferably uncharismatic moderate hero and a literal DINO vs. two right-wing nutjobs.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

But I forget that racism still exists in Virginia.

  Northam was endorsed by the Washington Post, and had a strong base outside of NOVA.

[DINGO Joe]

These results are disconcerting, I was sure Chopra would win. But I forget that racism still exists in Virginia. And Chopra sounds more foreign than Obama. And even worse, didn't Northam try to give control of the Senate to the Republcians? Who voted for him?

Northam won Fairfax county 54-46, and won NoVA overall.  Totally crushed Aneesh in Norfolk.  Aneesh won metro Richmond including Chesterfield, but even Richmond was 58-42.

Doesn't really look like race played a particular role in the vote.

[PolitiJunkie]

So at this point is it fair to say that the Democratic candidates have the upper hand in all three races?

[windjammer]

"Northam, a pediatric neurologist, has spent six years in the Senate, and he won primary endorsements from key Democratic interest groups, including Planned Parenthood and the Virginia Education Association." from the Washington Post
I don't think he's a DINO.

[free my dawg]

"Northam, a pediatric neurologist, has spent six years in the Senate, and he won primary endorsements from key Democratic interest groups, including Planned Parenthood and the Virginia Education Association." from the Washington Post
I don't think he's a DINO.

If you ever become inches away from jumping to the other side, you are a DINO. I'm not being your average Daily Kos-worshipping true leftist bitching about how we should primary Rahall or Matheson or McIntyre for not being liberal enough: if Virginia's Senate Democrats didn't see the plans on Twitter, their lieutenant gubernatorial candidate would be a Republican right now. Quite literally, Northam is a Democrat in Name Only, and should have been rewarded with losing his job in 2010, and certainly not with a f***ing promotion.

If you don't think Northam's a DINO, then please tell me what classifies one in your mind, because I'm dying to know.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Northam has a geographic base here in Norfolk as a state senator and a pediatrician at CHKD.  No one knows what Chopra's about except that he has connections with the state and national party establishment. 

I honestly can't see Northam as part of the Virginia GOP.

[NewYorkExpress]

So at this point is it fair to say that the Democratic candidates have the upper hand in all three races?

Only in the Lt. Governors race.  Governor will be a toss-up until election day, and Attorney General is a toss-up now, but should lean D as the fireworks from the other races spill over.

[Non Swing Voter]

I really hope Cuccinelli doesn't win.  He legitimately scares me.  I also see his ads on tv all the time (NOVA) and he strikes me as laughably fake.  You can tell he's a pretty awful person but puts on this sweet innocent face in all his commercials, it's kind of sickening.

[Skill and Chance]

So at this point is it fair to say that the Democratic candidates have the upper hand in all three races?

Only in the Lt. Governors race.  Governor will be a toss-up until election day, and Attorney General is a toss-up now, but should lean D as the fireworks from the other races spill over.

I would say:

Gov- Tilt D
LG- Likely D
AG- Tilt D

With AG being the best opportunity for an R hold

[free my dawg]

I really hope Cuccinelli doesn't win.  He legitimately scares me.  I also see his ads on tv all the time (NOVA) and he strikes me as laughably fake.  You can tell he's a pretty awful person but puts on this sweet innocent face in all his commercials, it's kind of sickening.

Coming from a Democrat he seems like genuinely nice personally, but then again being nice doesn't get you elected. His political views are as vile as it gets, though.

[windjammer]

"Northam, a pediatric neurologist, has spent six years in the Senate, and he won primary endorsements from key Democratic interest groups, including Planned Parenthood and the Virginia Education Association." from the Washington Post
I don't think he's a DINO.

If you ever become inches away from jumping to the other side, you are a DINO. I'm not being your average Daily Kos-worshipping true leftist bitching about how we should primary Rahall or Matheson or McIntyre for not being liberal enough: if Virginia's Senate Democrats didn't see the plans on Twitter, their lieutenant gubernatorial candidate would be a Republican right now. Quite literally, Northam is a Democrat in Name Only, and should have been rewarded with losing his job in 2010, and certainly not with a f***ing promotion.

If you don't think Northam's a DINO, then please tell me what classifies one in your mind, because I'm dying to know.

Oh my god, yes, Aneesh Chopra would have been a better candidate,...

Honestly, cuccinelli literally scares me, he can win...

[Miles]

Jackson's hit of the week: government progams have been more detrimental to blacks than slavery.

[windjammer]

Jackson's hit of the week: government progams have been more detrimental to blacks than slavery.

So, we will win the Lieutenant Governor race?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Is it too late for the Democrats to replace McAuliffe with, you know, a Democrat?

McAuliffe supports far-right "right-to-work" laws.

[ajc0918]

Republicans are doing great at this whole rebranding thing.

Ken Cuccinelli Appeals To Defend Virginia's Anti-Sodomy Law At Supreme Court

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/25/ken-cuccinelli-sodomy-supreme-court_n_3498444.html?ncid=edlinkusaolp00000003

[JRP1994]

Ken Cuccinelli = Rick Santorum with a brain.

[windjammer]

Is it too late for the Democrats to replace McAuliffe with, you know, a Democrat?

McAuliffe supports far-right "right-to-work" laws.

My god... Workers will have to wait...

[RedSLC]

Republicans are doing great at this whole rebranding thing.

Ken Cuccinelli Appeals To Defend Virginia's Anti-Sodomy Law At Supreme Court

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/25/ken-cuccinelli-sodomy-supreme-court_n_3498444.html?ncid=edlinkusaolp00000003

I just read about this somewhere else. He said that it should stand because it allowed them to prosecute a 47-year-old for having sex with a 17-year old.

My immediate reaction was "Why can't you just prosecute him under age of consent laws???"

[Non Swing Voter]

Republicans are doing great at this whole rebranding thing.

Ken Cuccinelli Appeals To Defend Virginia's Anti-Sodomy Law At Supreme Court

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/25/ken-cuccinelli-sodomy-supreme-court_n_3498444.html?ncid=edlinkusaolp00000003

I just read about this somewhere else. He said that it should stand because it allowed them to prosecute a 47-year-old for having sex with a 17-year old.

My immediate reaction was "Why can't you just prosecute him under age of consent laws???"

Likely because the sodomy law was a felony (I think)... whereas the age of consent law in that case would only be a misdemeanor:

Virginia

The age of consent in Virginia is 18, with a close in age exception that allows teenagers aged 15 to 17 to engage in sexual acts but only with a partner younger than 18.

Section § 18.2-63 of the Code refers to minors younger than 15, while § 18.2-371 is about 15-, 16- and 17-year-olds.

Section 18.2-63 states in part:
"If any person carnally knows, without the use of force, a child thirteen years of age or older but under fifteen years of age, such person shall be guilty of ... felony ... For the purposes of this section, (i) a child under the age of thirteen years shall not be considered a consenting child and (ii) "carnal knowledge" includes the acts of sexual intercourse, cunnilingus, fellatio, analingus, anal intercourse, and animate and inanimate object sexual penetration."
Consensual sex where one partner is 15, 16 or 17 and the other is over 18 is a class 1 misdemeanor.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ages_of_consent_in_North_America#Virginia

The guy is clearly a sleazebag though.