if the 1984 election between reagan and mondale would have been held 20 years later, or in a similar political climate as 2004, what would a base map look like? i dont think reagan would have won in quite the landslide he did 20 years ago.
Not bad, but I think New Jersey would also go Republican. California, Hawaii, and Washington could swing either way.
If Mondale ran his campaign the way he did in 1984, he'd do worse yet. New York, the New England Snake (Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island), and DC would be the only guaranteed wins. I'd probably also throw him the following: Minnesota, Maryland, and Illinois. The rest would be Reagan country.