Florida Megathread

[2016]

According to an CNN Article Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has raised over 100,000,000 Million $ for his Re-Election Campaign becoming the 1st Governor in ANY STATE in the Country to do so.

I sincerely doubt DeSantis will have to use all that money to beat Charlie Crist, Nikki Fried or Annette Taddeo.

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/04/08/politics/ron-desantis-florida-governor-reelection-fundraising/index.html

While former President Trump is continueing teasing Republicans that he'll run in 2024 I've a growing impression that Trump will ultimativly step aside and annoint DeSantis as his Successor.

And that's not a bad choice by Trump to make to play KINGMAKER here.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/nikkifried/status/1514996754390863885?s=21&t=GffpOrwtr1j...
lol

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/nikkifried/status/1514996754390863885?s=21&t=GffpOrwtr1j...
lol

What is she referring to here? Did someone claim that there was a tape of her?

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/nikkifried/status/1514996754390863885?s=21&t=GffpOrwtr1j...
lol

What is she referring to here? Did someone claim that there was a tape of her?

She's probably just screaming for attention. Still funny this is the only statewide elected official FL D's have.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/nikkifried/status/1514996754390863885?s=21&t=GffpOrwtr1j...
lol

What is she referring to here? Did someone claim that there was a tape of her?

She's probably just screaming for attention. Still funny this is the only statewide elected official FL D's have.

And after this year, there will be none. Republicans are guaranteed to pick up the Agriculture Commissioner post.

[lfromnj]

Why is Florida Democrat fundraising so poor? Its not like Democratic donors strategically spend money on smart races and although DeSantis isn't MTG/Boebert he also has a much bigger profile.

[Suburbia]

Why is Florida Democrat fundraising so poor? Its not like Democratic donors strategically spend money on smart races and although DeSantis isn't MTG/Boebert he also has a much bigger profile.

Because DeSantis is popular in Florida, he is likely to win reelection by 5-10 points. Florida Democrats had their chance in 2018 and blew it. Florida Dems need to retool and retool quick.

Fried and Demings are the future. Charlie Crist is the past and he should have stayed in the House as a Blue Dog Leader.

[Roll Roons]

Why is Florida Democrat fundraising so poor? Its not like Democratic donors strategically spend money on smart races and although DeSantis isn't MTG/Boebert he also has a much bigger profile.

I agree. I thought the resisters would be as eager to beat "DeathSantis" as they were to get rid of "Moscow Mitch" and "Lady G".

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Charlie Christ probably has a sex tape

[Sir Mohamed]

Why is Florida Democrat fundraising so poor? Its not like Democratic donors strategically spend money on smart races and although DeSantis isn't MTG/Boebert he also has a much bigger profile.

Because DeSantis is popular in Florida, he is likely to win reelection by 5-10 points. Florida Democrats had their chance in 2018 and blew it. Florida Dems need to retool and retool quick.

Fried and Demings are the future. Charlie Crist is the past and he should have stayed in the House as a Blue Dog Leader.

Crist at least is polling better than Fried. That said, neither of these candidates will win or come even close to winning. 2022 may have presented an opening in a Trump midterm, though I wouldn't have been surprised for FL Dems blowing even that one. Since this is a Biden midterm, all of these races are Safe R.

I dunno why Crist even bothers to give the Governor's Mansion another try under these circumstances when he's in a relatively safe district.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol the lead is 7 pts for DeSajtis do you know DeSantis was behind Andrew Gillum by six pts with 1 mnth left , DeSantis isn't winning by 22 pts because Rubio is only up by seven and DeSajtis isn't overperformed Rubio


Rubio 54/47 and DeSantis is leading by the same amount that isn't unattainable even in a Biden Midterm

All of our red state D's are Down 5/9 pts it's only April If Turnout isn't 110 M but anything close to 125 to 150 we win Red states thats why the polling in state by state polls have been much better than QU bogus 33 percent Approvals lol they had McGrath and Harrison last time close to winning

[lfromnj]

Why is Florida Democrat fundraising so poor? Its not like Democratic donors strategically spend money on smart races and although DeSantis isn't MTG/Boebert he also has a much bigger profile.

Because DeSantis is popular in Florida, he is likely to win reelection by 5-10 points. Florida Democrats had their chance in 2018 and blew it. Florida Dems need to retool and retool quick.

Fried and Demings are the future. Charlie Crist is the past and he should have stayed in the House as a Blue Dog Leader.

Crist at least is polling better than Fried. That said, neither of these candidates will win or come even close to winning. 2022 may have presented an opening in a Trump midterm, though I wouldn't have been surprised for FL Dems blowing even that one. Since this is a Biden midterm, all of these races are Safe R.

I dunno why Crist even bothers to give the Governor's Mansion another try under these circumstances when he's in a relatively safe district.

His current seat is Biden +4, the FL legislature either made it Biden +2 to Biden +3.5, mostly due to population changes actually forcing it to expand as Pinellas County can not fit anymore suburban development and now can only build vertically.  Still pretty possible to win in 2022 but then DeSantis came in and the district now will be Trump +7 as he removed the most blue parts of the district and gave them to Kathy Castor. He did outperform Biden by 2 points in 2020 for what it's worth.

Seems like for some reason half the FL house Democrats chose this year to retire for either higher office or just retire. when it wasn't really necessary until DeSantis came in. Crist still had a shot, Murphy was either still going to be in a Biden +8 district or at worst Trump +1 which would still be hard but not impossible although DeSantis made it Trump +6. I think Murphy just wanted to retire. Deutch retired. Al Lawson seems a likely retirement candidate as well . The legislative map made his district still somewhat close to Safe at Biden +13 but it was all in Jacksonville which doesn't really like him. DeSantis nuked that as well. Even if the court forces FL to redraw they would likely force the Jacksonville configuration .

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio right now would win 54/47 but he has certainly started pounding Deming's, keep in mind Deming's has 10M that will help CRIST after the primary, to help overcome a 7 pt lead it's a LATINX state like TX

We need to wait til the votes are casted not preempt there are millions of Ds not Rs reregistration of votes thru DHS

[EastwoodS]

Why is Florida Democrat fundraising so poor? Its not like Democratic donors strategically spend money on smart races and although DeSantis isn't MTG/Boebert he also has a much bigger profile.

Because DeSantis is popular in Florida, he is likely to win reelection by 5-10 points. Florida Democrats had their chance in 2018 and blew it. Florida Dems need to retool and retool quick.

Fried and Demings are the future. Charlie Crist is the past and he should have stayed in the House as a Blue Dog Leader.

Low estimate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So a seven pt lead by DeSANTIS and Rubio is all she wrote on this race lol DeSantis came back from six pts down on Gillium, the War in Ukraine is a major problem but don't forget what Biden is doing for people he's forgiving Student Loans Discharge and if he give a Discharge or extend the pause this race is still in play

R users don't think what Biden done good for them 1400 checks and Student Loan Discharge pauses they only think the bad

Demings and Crist are down by 7 that's not a landslide

Beto is probably down 10/15 in this Environmental, but Crist and Demings are down 54)47, again that's not a landslide