Florida Megathread

[Miles]

Crist up 34/33 in a junk UNF poll.

[IceSpear]

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http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/gubernatorial/florida-dems-say-scott-campaign-broke-fundraising-law/2170660

Everyone knows Scott is a criminal though, so will this hurt him?

[Dereich]

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http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/gubernatorial/florida-dems-say-scott-campaign-broke-fundraising-law/2170660

Everyone knows Scott is a criminal though, so will this hurt him?

Ignoring the stupid part, do legalistic election law disputes hurt anyone? The number of swing voters who will ever hear about this is miniscule. The amount of those who it sways are right around zero. As for the potential money loss, I'm pretty sure that even if they found the Scott campaign guilty and charged the very maximum they'd still have enough money to completely saturate every Florida market. This isn't going to be some cheap race where $82 million is a huge amount of money. This is Charlie Crist and Rick Scott we're talking about; fundraising is what they do.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Democratic Governors Association will be helping Crist alot with TV Ads and other stuff.

On the down ballot statewide offices, how do y'all see State AG, CFO, and Agriculture Commissioner going ?

[Dereich]

The incumbents are way way out-raising and are out-polling their Democratic challengers. I'm pretty sure Putnam is safe as Ag Commish as he's allowed to have it, CFO Atwater has over a million in his war chest while his opponent is at something like $10,000 raised in total, he's safe too. The AG race is the only potentially interesting one, having two halfway-serious challengers, one being the House minority leader and the other being a former Secretary of the Department of Children and Families. Neither of them have really raised much money or done anything too spectacular though, and with the state's lean helping her I'd say the race is something like likely R.

[TX Conservative Dem]

In other words, those 3 down ballot statewide offices will stay Red until either 2018 or 2022.

[publicunofficial]

The incumbents are way way out-raising and are out-polling their Democratic challengers. I'm pretty sure Putnam is safe as Ag Commish as he's allowed to have it, CFO Atwater has over a million in his war chest while his opponent is at something like $10,000 raised in total, he's safe too. The AG race is the only potentially interesting one, having two halfway-serious challengers, one being the House minority leader and the other being a former Secretary of the Department of Children and Families. Neither of them have really raised much money or done anything too spectacular though, and with the state's lean helping her I'd say the race is something like likely R.

I agree, though I think Bondi is more vunerable than you think, if the D's step up their fundraising a bit.

[Bojack Horseman]

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I think it did in 2010. Scott won by 61,000 votes out of more than 5 million cast, 1.15% more than Democratic rival Alex Sink, and he didn't even get the overall majority. In Florida, which at the state level is solidly, almost 100% Republican, he barely defeated his Democratic challenger in a year that proved to be a Democratic bloodbath. With his rock-bottom approval ratings, I'd say he's a goner.

[Maxwell]

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I think it did in 2010. Scott won by 61,000 votes out of more than 5 million cast, 1.15% more than Democratic rival Alex Sink, and he didn't even get the overall majority. In Florida, which at the state level is solidly, almost 100% Republican, he barely defeated his Democratic challenger in a year that proved to be a Democratic bloodbath. With his rock-bottom approval ratings, I'd say he's a goner.

I wouldn't say so. Charlie Crist is a skeevey character: he still has a ways to go to get the trust of Democrats, and Republicans are disgusted by him. I think he's actually a worse candidate than some of the people they could've ran (not Sink, but maybe Pam Iorio). It's hard to lose to Scott, sure, but Crist may be the man to do it.

[Deus Naturae]

Scott's finance co-chair has quit.

[windjammer]

Not a good time for him.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Plus former Florida Governor Rubein Askew (D) passed away several weeks back this month.

[Donerail]

At least two criminals in new Scott ad.

[IceSpear]

At least two criminals in new Scott ad.

So then they fit in well with Scott.

[windjammer]

Even with all the money he has, he still has no brain haha. I will miss him. Who will I deeply hate if he loses?

[RogueBeaver]

Rubio: will Crist run on 8% unemployment, deficits and a collapsing economy?

[windjammer]

Rubio: will Crist run on 8% unemployment, deficits and a collapsing economy?

Who?

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Rubio: will Crist run on 8% unemployment, deficits and a collapsing economy?

Who?

Crist. He was the conservative Republican Governor of Florida who schemed to get on the McCain ticket in 2008.....

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

The incumbents are way way out-raising and are out-polling their Democratic challengers. I'm pretty sure Putnam is safe as Ag Commish as he's allowed to have it, CFO Atwater has over a million in his war chest while his opponent is at something like $10,000 raised in total, he's safe too. The AG race is the only potentially interesting one, having two halfway-serious challengers, one being the House minority leader and the other being a former Secretary of the Department of Children and Families. Neither of them have really raised much money or done anything too spectacular though, and with the state's lean helping her I'd say the race is something like likely R.

I agree, though I think Bondi is more vunerable than you think, if the D's step up their fundraising a bit.

Let me set you straight now. Perry Thurston has literally no f[inks]ing chance on Gods green earth. Actually ask a Floridian about him: they will either laugh or ask "who?"

[Donerail]

The incumbents are way way out-raising and are out-polling their Democratic challengers. I'm pretty sure Putnam is safe as Ag Commish as he's allowed to have it, CFO Atwater has over a million in his war chest while his opponent is at something like $10,000 raised in total, he's safe too. The AG race is the only potentially interesting one, having two halfway-serious challengers, one being the House minority leader and the other being a former Secretary of the Department of Children and Families. Neither of them have really raised much money or done anything too spectacular though, and with the state's lean helping her I'd say the race is something like likely R.

I agree, though I think Bondi is more vunerable than you think, if the D's step up their fundraising a bit.

Let me set you straight now. Perry Thurston has literally no f[inks]ing chance on Gods green earth. Actually ask a Floridian about him: they will either laugh or ask "who?"

It's more of a scenario where Dems at least have a competent candidate - nothing spectacular - who could be dragged into office by Charlie's coattails.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

The incumbents are way way out-raising and are out-polling their Democratic challengers. I'm pretty sure Putnam is safe as Ag Commish as he's allowed to have it, CFO Atwater has over a million in his war chest while his opponent is at something like $10,000 raised in total, he's safe too. The AG race is the only potentially interesting one, having two halfway-serious challengers, one being the House minority leader and the other being a former Secretary of the Department of Children and Families. Neither of them have really raised much money or done anything too spectacular though, and with the state's lean helping her I'd say the race is something like likely R.

I agree, though I think Bondi is more vunerable than you think, if the D's step up their fundraising a bit.

Let me set you straight now. Perry Thurston has literally no f[inks]ing chance on Gods green earth. Actually ask a Floridian about him: they will either laugh or ask "who?"

It's more of a scenario where Dems at least have a competent candidate - nothing spectacular - who could be dragged into office by Charlie's coattails.

I assume you're referring to Sheldon.

[publicunofficial]

John Land, who has served as Mayor of Apopka, FL since 1950, was defeated for re-election today.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

John Land, who has served as Mayor of Apopka, FL since 1950, was defeated for re-election today.

He was missing 2 years, but wow.
He was only second on this list though.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longest_serving_mayors_in_the_United_States

[Miles]

Yikes. Scott outraised Crist by $11M (!).

Scott- $17M
Crist- $6M

[Donerail]

Yikes. Scott outraised Crist by $11M (!).

Scott- $17M
Crist- $6M

That's including total party fundraising - while that plays a big role, it's not surprising the GOP is winning. Schorsch had it taken out for the March numbers:

Crist - $586K
Crist for FL - $941K
Total - $1.5M

Scott - $1.2M
Let's Get to Work - $362K
Total - $1.6M

The rest will mostly go to state legislature races (or Congress, or Bondi if she needs it), not the governorship.