Florida Megathread

[ajc0918]

Charlie Crist just endorsed marriage equality on facebook:

Charlie Crist- about an hour ago

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[ajc0918]

Charlie did flip, but so has most of America.

BTW I like your Kriseman sticker on your signature.

[ajc0918]

Charlie is in!

From Twitter:

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[ajc0918]

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http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/gubernatorial/florida-dems-say-scott-campaign-broke-fundraising-law/2170660

[ajc0918]

Here's a link to an article on it: http://www.saintpetersblog.com/archives/149697

This could be a big deal if it becomes widely known and is used effectively in ads.

[ajc0918]

I haven't seen the actual poll but according to WFLA twitter Crist has opened a 6% lead. Keep in mind the last time WFLA polled- around July 8th- Scott led 45-43 which was taken just before Crist aired his first ad.

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Is this Crist's LT Gov selection bounce?

[ajc0918]

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Crosstabs here:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9879b1f3-f54d-4ae5-ba27-5a1b5207710a

[ajc0918]

A few tidbits:

"@AmySherman1 24h Broward ab ballot requests surpass 162k though all may not actually complete them. In 2010 74k voted by absentee."

There could be a jump in absentee ballots in Broward which is a big dem South Florida county, good news for Crist.

And in Palm Beach County: "Democratic absentee ballot requests up 63% over 2010 levels in Palm Beach County"

 http://postonpolitics.blog.palmbeachpost.com/2014/10/06/democratic-absentee-ballot-requests-up-63-over-2010-levels-in-palm-beach-county/

ALSO, not sure if it means anything but i've already received two calls(one from Equality Florida and another from Next Gen) asking if I've mailed in my ballot yet. Both groups are aligned with Crist so it seems like they're ramping up GOTV operations.

[ajc0918]

Democrats continue to chip away at Republican early vote/absentee ballot edge, lead now down to 6.7%: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2014/10/2m-ballots-cast-in-fl-gop-lead-over-dems-still-strong-but-still-slipping-slightly.html

What was the lead 4 years ago?

12.6%