Canadian federal election - 2015
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Author Topic: Canadian federal election - 2015  (Read 226873 times)
Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1350 on: July 24, 2015, 01:31:39 PM »
The political journalists in this town are full of sh[inks]
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1351 on: July 24, 2015, 01:34:12 PM »
Except Bob Fife.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1352 on: July 24, 2015, 03:05:00 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on July 24, 2015, 12:52:08 PM
Ivison says his source told him the announcement got pulled once it leaked. Methinks it was the same source who said Harper could resign last winter.

Or perhaps someone needed copy to fill a lazy summer Friday.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1353 on: July 24, 2015, 03:17:39 PM »
Harper said "moratorium on Senate appointments." So the Supreme Court will have to order him...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1354 on: July 24, 2015, 07:47:44 PM »
Chow will run against Vaughan.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #1355 on: July 25, 2015, 12:49:42 AM »

"Will Olivia Chow Make a Political Comeback?" really drags and is entirely predictable.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1356 on: July 25, 2015, 07:59:54 AM »
In mildly amusing news: NDP fundraiser letter encourages parents to donate UCCB cheques to NDP.
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exnaderite
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« Reply #1357 on: July 25, 2015, 11:13:10 AM »
It would have been an embarrassment had it not been a summer Friday afternoon when even most political junkies don't care.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #1358 on: July 25, 2015, 05:34:42 PM »
Quote from: 1184AZ on July 25, 2015, 04:18:23 PM
New Poll shows Conservatives 38% NDP27% Liberal 25% Is this a new trend or Outlier?
see for yourself
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_42nd_Canadian_federal_election

There's plenty of reason to think this is an outlier.

The 308 poll aggregator weighs this poll more than 2 times any other poll in their average, yet the average comes to an NDP-Conservative tie.
There was a poll showing the Conservatives third from a more experienced pollster the day before.
And the for the pollster, this is their first ever federal poll, so we don't even have any prior polls from this pollster to compare with to see if there is a trend.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1359 on: July 25, 2015, 10:30:50 PM »
Fred DeLorey nominated as the Tory Central Nova candidate. From what I've heard he'd be a good MP, but I firmly believe that backroomers should stay where they belong.
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Peeperkorn
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« Reply #1360 on: July 25, 2015, 11:04:07 PM »
« Edited: July 25, 2015, 11:24:51 PM by Mynheer Peeperkorn »
First time I see the polls in a good time. Wow. Glad to see that pompous Inkshole collapsing.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1361 on: July 25, 2015, 11:06:24 PM »
« Edited: July 25, 2015, 11:08:14 PM by sex-negative feminist prude »
Quote from: New Canadaland on July 25, 2015, 05:34:42 PM
Quote from: 1184AZ on July 25, 2015, 04:18:23 PM
New Poll shows Conservatives 38% NDP27% Liberal 25% Is this a new trend or Outlier?
see for yourself
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_42nd_Canadian_federal_election

There's plenty of reason to think this is an outlier.

The 308 poll aggregator weighs this poll more than 2 times any other poll in their average, yet the average comes to an NDP-Conservative tie.
There was a poll showing the Conservatives third from a more experienced pollster the day before.
And the for the pollster, this is their first ever federal poll, so we don't even have any prior polls from this pollster to compare with to see if there is a trend.

'Mainstreet Research' also sounds like the sort of name a hack firm would have.
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exnaderite
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« Reply #1362 on: July 25, 2015, 11:13:11 PM »
Quote from: sex-negative feminist prude on July 25, 2015, 11:06:24 PM
Quote from: New Canadaland on July 25, 2015, 05:34:42 PM
Quote from: 1184AZ on July 25, 2015, 04:18:23 PM
New Poll shows Conservatives 38% NDP27% Liberal 25% Is this a new trend or Outlier?
see for yourself
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_42nd_Canadian_federal_election

There's plenty of reason to think this is an outlier.

The 308 poll aggregator weighs this poll more than 2 times any other poll in their average, yet the average comes to an NDP-Conservative tie.
There was a poll showing the Conservatives third from a more experienced pollster the day before.
And the for the pollster, this is their first ever federal poll, so we don't even have any prior polls from this pollster to compare with to see if there is a trend.

'Mainstreet Research' also sounds like the sort of name a hack firm would have.

To be fair, their track record in the Alberta provincial election was relatively good. But there's this snippet from Eric Grenier:

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So, either nothing has happened, or this is the only polling firm to detect the largest swing in polling history, ever, anywhere.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1363 on: July 26, 2015, 01:45:31 PM »
Eglinton-Lawrence update from Akin: Mendecino won the hall, Grits expect <50% turnout, Adams got a heckler asking her to withdraw, and her seconder praised Mendecino. Voting ends at 6. But given how many more memberships she sold, shouldn't be in doubt.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1364 on: July 26, 2015, 05:01:25 PM »
Polls are now closed. Maher said about 35 minutes ago he'd heard Mendecino slightly ahead, but Adams should win if she GOTV. Still people streaming in a few minutes ago. Results at 7:15-ish.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #1365 on: July 26, 2015, 05:37:07 PM »
Why is this Adams character jumping ship? And why is she disliked by our resident Tories - she a showboat?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1366 on: July 26, 2015, 05:40:16 PM »
Because she's a pathetic joke of an MP who crossed the floor after being barred from running for any Tory nomination.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1367 on: July 26, 2015, 06:33:00 PM »
Mendicino wins. Congrats Grits! Smiley
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1368 on: July 26, 2015, 06:39:28 PM »
Quote from: Crabby And His Moron Brothers on July 26, 2015, 05:37:07 PM
Why is this Adams character jumping ship? And why is she disliked by our resident Tories - she a showboat?

To add to what RB said, she tried jump to a safer Tory seat for 2015 and got in trouble for using her Tory bigwig boyfriend to try and get rid of her nomination opponents.
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Krago
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« Reply #1369 on: July 26, 2015, 06:48:07 PM »
I wonder if Dmitri Soudas will renew his Liberal membership next year.
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toaster
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« Reply #1370 on: July 26, 2015, 06:49:02 PM »
Was anyone else watching this?  I couldn't believe how just plain nasty those Mendicino supporters were.  Looking down at the Adams supporters, trying to out yell them.  Loud boos when Mendicino mentioned Adams by name, he had to tell his supporters to stop booing.  Classy.  
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1371 on: July 26, 2015, 06:51:40 PM »
Quote from: toaster on July 26, 2015, 06:49:02 PM
Was anyone else watching this?  I couldn't believe how just plain nasty those Mendicino supporters were.  Looking down at the Adams supporters, trying to out yell them.  Loud boos when Mendicino mentioned Adams by name, he had to tell his supporters to stop booing.  Classy.  

You know what's classy? Not trying to rig a nomination before jumping parties in a desperate attempt to stay in parliament.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #1372 on: July 26, 2015, 06:59:30 PM »
Liberals now have a fighting chance against Oliver. 
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toaster
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« Reply #1373 on: July 26, 2015, 07:05:32 PM »
Quote from: DC Al Fine on July 26, 2015, 06:51:40 PM
Quote from: toaster on July 26, 2015, 06:49:02 PM
Was anyone else watching this?  I couldn't believe how just plain nasty those Mendicino supporters were.  Looking down at the Adams supporters, trying to out yell them.  Loud boos when Mendicino mentioned Adams by name, he had to tell his supporters to stop booing.  Classy.  

You know what's classy? Not trying to rig a nomination before jumping parties in a desperate attempt to stay in parliament.
Agreed.  But after the fact, you think they'd be wanting to try to secure votes for Mendicino, not putting them down.  I'm not a fan of either, just not a good way to go about doing politics.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1374 on: July 26, 2015, 07:07:22 PM »
Absolutely nothing compared to Valeri/Copps or Iggy in '05.
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