Canadian federal election - 2015

[Smid]

How long will it take for Trudeau to blame Adams' inevitable loss on the NDP?

No, I think if the internal polling is showing strength for the incumbent, he may be looking for an excuse for a possible loss in the seat. "We would have won the seat if it hadn't been for Adams" provides a useful narrative that won't spook potential grit candidates in a future election, the way a Tory hold might otherwise. It is telling, however, that they aren't even trying to find a star candidate for the riding this election.

[Hatman 🍁]

Eglinton-Lawrence is very winnable for the Liberals. I don't buy that internal polling was suggesting they didn't have a chance.

[windjammer]

When are the general elections scheduled?

(DC, please, check your PMs )

[Hatman 🍁]

October. Rumours are it might happen in the Spring though.

[136or142]

B.C NDP candidates for nomination
1.Burnaby-North Seymour, nomination date: February 21
1.Michael Charrois, Theatre Arts Instructor/Actor, former Provincial candidate in North Vancouver

2.Carol Baird Ellan, Retired B.C Chief Provincial Court Judge

2.North Vancouver
1.Carleen Thomas, Tsleil-Waututh First Nation Manager of Intergovernmental Relations, Former Band Council Member, B-Ed (First Nation Studies)

3.Vancouver East (NDP riding)
1.Mable Elmore, MLA Vancouver-Hastings 2009-

2.Jenny Kwan, MLA Vancouver-Mount Pleasant 1996, former Minister of Municipal Affairs

3.Scott McLean, SFU Director of Media and Community Relations, Softball and Basketball Special Olympics Head Coach, Standup Comedian, BBA, MSc-Sports Administration

4.Vancouver-Granville
1.Rob Mason, UBC Law Student, B.A-International Relations

Ridings with no declared candidate
1.Cariboo-Prince George
2.Cloverdale-Langley City
3.Delta
4.Fleetwood-Port Kells
5.Kelowna-Lake Country
6.Kootenay-Columbia
7.Langley-Aldergrove
8.Mission-Matsqui-Fraser Canyon
9.Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge
10.Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies
11.Richmond Centre
12.Saanich-Gulf Islands
13.South Surrey-White Rock
14.Steveston-Richmond East
15.Vancouver South

Liberal Candidates for Nomination
1.Cowichan-Malahat-Langford
1.Maria Manna, Singer and Producer

2.Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke
1.Luke Krayenhoff, Self Employed Management Consultant, President Langham Court Theatre, Former RCMP Officer, Former Ministry of Labour Mediator, Former RBC Investment Advisor, BBA, Masters Public Management
2.David Merner, B.C A.G Lawyer, Former B.C Liberal Party of Canada President, 2012 Liberal Party of Canada Leadership Prospective Candidate (dropped out without ever formally entering the race)

3.Fleetwood-Port Kells
1.Arne Gulstene, TMX Group, Regional Head and National Team Manager of Company Services, B.A-Economics, MBA, Institute of Canadian Bankers Fellow (Silver Medalist)

4.New Westminster-Burnaby
1.William Laycraft, Computer Systems Project Manager

5.South Surrey-White Rock,
1.Joy Davies, B.C Director Medical Cannabis Partners, Retired Businesswoman, Former Grand Forks City Councillor 2008-2011 (Defeated for Reelection), Tumber Ridge City Councillor in 1980s

6.Steveston-Richmond East
1.Joe Peschisolido, Former M.P for Richmond 2000-2004 (Conservative 2000-2002) ? (not sure he's running)
2.Wendy Yuan, President Bradley Pacific Enterprises (Resource Export Company), B.A-English and Economics, M.A-International Management, 2008 and 2011 Vancouver-Kingsway Candidate

7.Vancouver East
1.Joanne Griffiths, Founder Community First Foundation, ex-wife of Arthur Griffiths
2.Edward Wong, Lawyer

8.Vancouver-Kingsway
1.John Bolduc Arthur, Business Consultant and Firm Principal Retired Navy Intelligence Officer and Lieutenant, Violinist, B.A (Hons)- International Development, Masters Public Management

2.Mary Pynenburg, Planning and Policy Research Consultant and Firm Owner, Former New Westminster Director of Planning, President National Liberal Women's Commission, B.A-Architecture, M.A-Urban Planning, 2004 and 2006 New Westminster-Burnaby Candidate (also was briefly employed somewhere in the interior as a director of planning but was fired after just a few months)

9.Victoria
1.Adam Stirling, Former CFAX Radio Talk Show Host 2006-2012, BSc- Economics, MSc- Economics Student

2.Cheryl Thomas (nee Blaney), President Results Performance Management Inc, MBA Program Professor, BSc-Speech Pathology and Audiology (U.S Senator Elizabeth Warren has a degree in the same area), MSc-Management

Ridings with no declared candidate
1.Abbotsford
2.Cariboo-Prince George
3.Coquitlam-Port Coquitlam
4.Delta
5.Kootenay-Columbia
6.Langley-Aldergrove
7.Nanaimo-Ladysmith
8.Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge
9.Port Moody-Coqutlam
10.Prince George-Peace River-Northern Rockies
11.Richmond Centre
12.Skeena-Bulkley Valley
13.Surrey Centre

[RogueBeaver]

Ipsos-national: 35/31/24, 41/34 in Ontario.

[DL]

Ipsos-national: 35/31/24, 41/34 in Ontario.

Isn't that a poll from a month ago?

[RogueBeaver]

Yep, but for some reason not published.

Lisa MacLeod will not run federally.

[Boston Bread]

Ipsos-national: 35/31/24, 41/34 in Ontario.

Yet another round of alternate realities:
http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/234/convincing-majority-seen/
Forum currently predicting a liberal majority and the NDP at record post-Layton lows.

[Hatman 🍁]

Liberals will be acclaiming former Shelburne mayor Ed Crewson in Dufferin-Caledon today. He'll be running against Tory incumbent David Tilson and New Democrat Rehya Yazbek who ran for the NDP in the 2014 provincial election.

Today is also the NDP nomination in the new riding of Markham-Stouffville. Gregory Hines will be the candidate, I assume. This is the riding that MP Paul Calandra (the PM's attack dog, and overall horrible person) has decided to run in, as he lives in Stouffville. Family doctor Jane Philpott will be the Liberal candidate.



 

[Hatman 🍁]

Today is the Liberal nomination in Kitchener-Conestoga, ON. It's Tim Louis vs. Daniel Tojeira. Winner will take on Harold Albrecht, the Conservative incumbent.

[Hatman 🍁]

There was actually three candidates in Kitchener-Conestoga. Jazz singer Tim Louis will be the Liberal candidate in the general.

Nomination meetings today:

There is a contested NDP nomination in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound, ON. Three candidates are running, David McLaren, Trish Meekins and MaryAnn Wilhelm. The winner will have to face the Conservative incumbent Larry Miller and the Liberals' Kimberly Love who was their candidate in 2011.

The NDP will be acclaiming their 2011 candidate in Richmond Hill, ON, Adam Devita. The riding's incumbent (Cons. Costas Menegakis) is fleeing to a safer neighbouring riding.  Businessman Michael Parssa will be the Conservative candidate and engineer Majid Jowhari will be the Liberal candidate. Both Parsa and Jowhari are Iranian-Canadians, which I thought was interesting. Turns out the riding has a large Iranian population (over 10%).

[King of Kensington]

Pretty interesting that Bruce-Grey has a contested nomination while in University-Rosedale the NDP candidate was acclaimed. 

[Hatman 🍁]

Pretty interesting that Bruce-Grey has a contested nomination while in University-Rosedale the NDP candidate was acclaimed. 

No one was going to beat Jennifer Hollett.

[King of Kensington]

Except the loathsome Chrystia Freeland probably will, unfortunately.  Not a great time to be a Toronto New Democrat. 

[adma]

The NDP will be acclaiming their 2011 candidate in Richmond Hill, ON, Adam Devita. The riding's incumbent (Cons. Costas Menegakis) is fleeing to a safer neighbouring riding.  Businessman Michael Parssa will be the Conservative candidate and engineer Majid Jowhari will be the Liberal candidate. Both Parsa and Jowhari are Iranian-Canadians, which I thought was interesting. Turns out the riding has a large Iranian population (over 10%).

Also reflected in the present MPP for Richmond Hill: Reza Moridi.

[Hatman 🍁]

Writer/activist David McLaren wins the NDP nomination in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound.

Today is the NDP nomination in Hamilton Centre. Incumbent MP David Christopherson will be acclaimed. He joins the 2011 Liberal candidate, Anne Tennier.

[lilTommy]

Writer/activist David McLaren wins the NDP nomination in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound.

Today is the NDP nomination in Hamilton Centre. Incumbent MP David Christopherson will be acclaimed. He joins the 2011 Liberal candidate, Anne Tennier.

Wasn't Bratina running for the Liberals in Hamilton Centre? or is it another Hamilton riding...

[Hatman 🍁]

Hamilton East-Stoney Creek

[RogueBeaver]

Lee Richardson will run in Calgary Rocky Ridge.

[136or142]

Carol Baird Ellan retired provincial court chief justice defeated acting instructor Michael Charrois to win the NDP nomination for Burnaby North-Seymour

michael charrois @mcharrois  ·  13h 13 hours ago
Congratulations to @CarolBairdEllan on winning the Burnaby North- Seymour #NDP nomination today. She will make an excellent MP.

Of non incumbent M.Ps in B.C the NDP has now nominated 9 women and 5 men.

[Hatman 🍁]

Nominations this past weekend:

* NDP nominates Andrew Gordon Graham in New Brunswick Southwest, their candidate there in 2006, 2008 & 2011. He joins Liberal candidate professor Karen Ludwig and the Tory incumbent John Williamson.
* Marc Serre wins the Liberal nomination in Nickel Belt, ON. He is the son of a former MP. He joins the NDP incumbent Claude Gravelle.
* NDP acclaims incumbent Peggy Nash in Parkdale-High Park, ON. She joins Liberal candidate lawyer Arif Virani
* Conservatives choose engineer Marilyn Gladu in Sarnia-Lambton, ON. The Conservative incumbent will be retiring. The NDP candidate is Jason McMichael.
* Robert-Falcoln Ouellette was acclaimed as the Liberal candidate in Winnipeg Centre, MB. He made a name for himself by doing quite well in the Winnipeg mayoral election last year. He'll be challenging longtime NDP incumbent Pat Martin and the Conservative candidate, Bev Pitura (who also ran in 2011)
* Burnaby North-Seymour (see Adam T's post)
* Morgan Wheeldon, president of the Kings South NDP won the delayed NDP nomination in Kings-Hants, NS. He'll be running against Liberal incumbent Scott Brison.
* NDP riding president Nicolas Tabah was acclaimed as the NDP candidate in Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel, QC. He's joined by Liberal candidate and retired police officer Claude Carpentier.
* Consultant Jean Cote will be the Liberal candidate in Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles, QC. He will be running against NDP incumbent Anne-Marie Day.
* Former ADQ MNA Linda Lapointe will be the Liberal candidate in Rivière-des-Mille-Îles, QC. She'll be running against NDP incumbent Laurin Liu and former Conservative candidate in this riding (2006 & 2008) Erick Gauthier.
* Derek Spence will be the NDP candidate in Durham, ON. He did very well when he ran here in the provincial election last year in a 3-way race. He'll be running against Conservative incumbent Erin O'Toole.
* Liberals chose community organizer Bardish Chagger in Waterloo, ON. She will be running against Conservative incumbent Peter Braid.

[RogueBeaver]

Yes, regional ministers pick their candidates. I missed the memo where nomination SOP became a BFD.

Funke: Grits may pick Frulla to replace Pacetti.

[RogueBeaver]

Joly running in Ahuntsic.

[Hatman 🍁]

Lawyer Rosannie Filato won the NDP nomination in Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel, QC yesterday. Kind of surprising it was a contested race in a safe Liberal riding.  Maybe something to do with the rape allegations against the Liberal incumbent, Massimo Pacetti? The Tories already have their candidate in the riding, Jean-Philippe Fournier who was the provincial Conservative candidate in last year's provincial election in Blainville.

Today is the Liberal race in Vaudreuil-Soulanges, QC. There are 5 candidates running. NDP incumbent Jamie Nicholls is also running, as is the Tory candidate Marc Boudreau, who ran in this riding in 2008 and 2011.