Canadian federal election - 2015
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Author Topic: Canadian federal election - 2015  (Read 225151 times)
andrew_c
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« Reply #725 on: April 08, 2015, 05:09:30 AM »

Cash stepping aside for Chow could potentially end up handing the Liberals a free seat.
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DL
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« Reply #726 on: April 08, 2015, 05:56:29 AM »

There is no chance whatsoever that Andrew Cash would step aside and not run again...he is an emerging star in the NDP and already renominated
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #727 on: April 08, 2015, 09:21:33 AM »


I miss her doing the weather. Such a cheerful person. Good star candidate for the Greens.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #728 on: April 08, 2015, 10:01:08 AM »


She's running in the riding of North Vancouver.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #729 on: April 09, 2015, 06:46:48 AM »

Unsurprisingly, Justin wants May in the debates.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #730 on: April 10, 2015, 06:10:36 PM »

Star on Tory star candidates. Didn't know about Therrien.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #731 on: April 14, 2015, 05:56:46 PM »

Debate update: consortium considering including May in all of them and Beaulieu in the French ones.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #732 on: April 18, 2015, 10:07:00 AM »

Cannon running in Louis-Hébert.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #733 on: April 18, 2015, 12:10:04 PM »


Weird; doesn't think he can win Pontiac back?
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adma
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« Reply #734 on: April 18, 2015, 12:15:50 PM »

Well, L-H conforms more with his original provincial turf than Pontiac does...
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #735 on: April 18, 2015, 12:21:28 PM »

Well, L-H conforms more with his original provincial turf than Pontiac does...

Ahh, good point. Forgot he was an MNA, but that was over 20 years ago. He served as a Gatineau City councillor more recently, so I figured he has more connections to the Outaouais.
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DL
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« Reply #736 on: April 18, 2015, 12:26:25 PM »

He wont have it easy in Louis Hebert - that is a more inner city/older suburban seat where CAQ and before it the ADQ has never done well in provincial elections.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #737 on: April 18, 2015, 12:29:42 PM »

Yeah, the Tories barely won it in 2006, and lost it in 2008. I would think Pontiac would be a better fit.
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DL
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« Reply #738 on: April 18, 2015, 02:11:37 PM »

But Pontiac is now largely a suburban Gatineau seat full of lots of pissed off federal civil servants
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #739 on: April 18, 2015, 04:02:51 PM »

Well, half of it is, and those exurban Gatineau communities are fertile territory for the NDP. The riding also contains the village of Wakefield which is basically full of aging hippies.

While it is only a small part of the riding (the riding should probably have a better name), the Pontiac MRC is very conservative (very Anglo- basically a continuation of Renfrew County across the river), and so it gives the riding a higher than usual Tory floor for a Quebec riding.
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Poirot
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« Reply #740 on: April 18, 2015, 04:28:20 PM »

Cannon has denied the newspaper story of his return to Quebec and politics. (don't know if the journalist had a source but it is a bad one or maybe he only can confirm when the election starts)
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #741 on: April 18, 2015, 04:31:25 PM »

It's Denis Lessard.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #742 on: April 18, 2015, 06:22:52 PM »

Yeah, the Tories barely won it in 2006, and lost it in 2008. I would think Pontiac would be a better fit.

I'll take the contrary view. I think, given the resurgence of the Liberals, Louis-Hebert is a better fit. THe Liberals aren't doing particularly well in Quebec City and a decline in NDP support will keep the it in play. On the other hand the demographics of Pontiac are pretty open to the Liberals.
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adma
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« Reply #743 on: April 18, 2015, 08:50:56 PM »

While it is only a small part of the riding (the riding should probably have a better name), the Pontiac MRC is very conservative (very Anglo- basically a continuation of Renfrew County across the river), and so it gives the riding a higher than usual Tory floor for a Quebec riding.

But even with that, Cannon won with no better than a third of a vote in both 2006 and 2008.  (But I can see how it *looked* like a better bet going into 2006--in 2004, thanks to the "Renfrew County echo effect",  the Cons won more polls here than anywhere else in QC.)
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #744 on: April 18, 2015, 10:28:04 PM »

Yeah, the rest of the riding isn't that Conservative at all, really. Maybe Louis-Hebert is a better fit after all.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #745 on: April 23, 2015, 08:54:50 PM »

I like this:

Cold Camembert with Tom Mulcair
Thursday, April 30, 2015 at 05:30 PM
Wascana Place in Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada
Join Tom Mulcair and your Regina federal NDP candidates for a reception at Wascana Place!

Date: Thursday, April 30

Time: 5:30 to 7:30 pm

Address: 2900 Wascana Drive

Ticket Cost: $50 and you
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #746 on: April 25, 2015, 08:10:54 AM »

This new CROP re Grits is as hilarious as it is predictable: 34/22/21/18 among Francophones, 32/29/19/18 topline.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #747 on: April 25, 2015, 09:05:45 PM »

Bill Blair running for the Grits in Scarborough SW.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #748 on: April 26, 2015, 09:38:16 PM »

Closer to home for me: Libman beats Dery for the Tory nomination in Mount Royal. Been wondering what a municipal Libman/Housefather race would look like for years, will get a federal answer: Housefather landslide.
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adma
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« Reply #749 on: April 26, 2015, 10:43:03 PM »

So, sorta like Libman being a modest step up from, say, Howard Galganov.
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