Canadian federal election - 2015

[King of Kensington]

Closer to home for me: Libman beats Dery for the Tory nomination in Mount Royal. Been wondering what a municipal Libman/Housefather race would look like for years, will get a federal answer: Housefather landslide.

Would Pascale Dery have been a better candidate? 

NDP vote is likely to drop off significantly in Mount Royal, so even if the Tories can retain their 2011 vote, the Liberals will have a larger margin of victory.

[MaxQue]

Closer to home for me: Libman beats Dery for the Tory nomination in Mount Royal. Been wondering what a municipal Libman/Housefather race would look like for years, will get a federal answer: Housefather landslide.

Would Pascale Dery have been a better candidate? 

I doubt a news host on an French version of CNN (LCN) has much notoriety in Anglophone Mount-Royal. Through Libman only has notoriety for people over 40 of age.

[King of Kensington]

I see that Housefather was endorsed by every single councillor in CSL and all but one in Hampstead.  I didn't see a single endorsement from an elected official for Libman on his page.

Can't see Libman getting more than negligible support in TMR and Snowdon, and Housefather obviously has significant support in CSL/Hampstead.  In other words, I don't see a path to victory for the Conservatives in Mount Royal.  

[Hatman 🍁]

Through Libman only has notoriety for people over 40 of age.

You mean people who actually vote then?

[RogueBeaver]

Good Legault column on Mount Royal.

Debate update: consortium proposing 2 in each language. May in all of them, Beaulieu in the French debate.

[King of Kensington]

Legault places both Libman and Housefather in the "angryphone" category - but certainly Libman has far more notoriety.

[Meeker]

Recent polling has the federal Liberals leading in British Columbia, which seems historically abnormal. What's going on there? Dislike of both Harper and Mulcair?

[Lotuslander]

Recent polling has the federal Liberals leading in British Columbia, which seems historically abnormal. What's going on there? Dislike of both Harper and Mulcair?

OTOH, the most recent Abacus Data opinion poll from Thursday has these BC numbers (with change from 2011):

Con: 45% (-0.5%)
Lib: 23% (+10%)
NDP: 20% (-13%)
Green: 11% (+3%)

[Meeker]

^^ true, though the rest of the pollsters had numbers very different from those, with the Libs in the mid to upper 30s

[Hatman 🍁]

Trudeaumania hit BC in 1968 too.

[136or142]

Liberal "Red Book"? to be released in 16 hours.
https://www.liberal.ca/
https://www.liberal.ca/next-big-positive-step-for-fairness/

[136or142]

Pianist, Entertainment Lawyer, Music Association Executive and Former Record Label Owner Bob D'Eith won the Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge NDP nomination today over Local Columnist and Retired Teacher Jack Emberly.

Bob D'Eith lost the 2013 Provincial NDP nomination in Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows to frequent (but always competitive) candidate CEP Local President Mike Bocking 81-45.

[Zanas]

Pianist, Entertainment Lawyer, Music Association Executive and Former Record Label Owner Bob D'Eith won the Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge NDP nomination today over Local Columnist and Retired Teacher Jack Emberly.

Bob D'Eith lost the 2013 Provincial NDP nomination in Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows to frequent (but always competitive) candidate CEP Local President Mike Bocking 81-45.

The amount of capital letters in that post is insanely high.

[RogueBeaver]

Eve Adams has caught up to her local rival in memberships. Key phrase: "... for a nomination that the Grits will not call until she has opened up a significant lead."

[RogueBeaver]

Details on Grit social policy.

[King of Kensington]

Trudeau called for a tax increase on the "1%" (as well as for tax relief for "the middle class and those seeking to join it.")

A $3 billion tax cut would be paid for by a $3 billion tax increase on the "1%".

[136or142]

Pianist, Entertainment Lawyer, Music Association Executive and Former Record Label Owner Bob D'Eith won the Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge NDP nomination today over Local Columnist and Retired Teacher Jack Emberly.

Bob D'Eith lost the 2013 Provincial NDP nomination in Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows to frequent (but always competitive) candidate CEP Local President Mike Bocking 81-45.

The amount of capital letters in that post is insanely high.

Not Using Capitals Is A Capital Crime In Canada.  This Law Is Especially Taken Seriously In Ottawa, Our Nation's Capital.

[Thomas D]

So...The UK didn't go quite as well as I had hoped. How are the chances of a left wing Government in Canada looking? Majority or Coalition?

[Hash]

Coalitions are illegal in Canada.

[Thomas D]

Didn't Canada almost have one in 2008? After the election and Harper went too far to the right?

[Hatman 🍁]

Didn't Canada almost have one in 2008? After the election and Harper went too far to the right?

Yes, but then they realized they were "illegal" and put a stop to that nonsense

[Thomas D]

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/04/21/most-canadians-favour-coalition-if-election-ends-in-minority-poll-shows.html

[Hatman 🍁]

They say that now, of course.

[RodPresident]

Depend on what bases coalition develops, NDP supporting a Trudeau as PM is a way of reawakening Bloc Quebecois. If NDP gets ahead, Liberals would surrender and accept coalition, as their last bullet (Trudeau) failed.

[Holmes]

Trudeau would only form a coalition with the NDP if the Liberals have more seats than the NDP, and if anyone other than Mulcair were the leader of the NDP. He probably thinks a coalition means that all New Democrats would be under his command.