Canadian federal election - 2015

[lilTommy]

I know we all love riding specific polling...
http://ontarionewswatch.com/onw-news.html?id=914

This is indicating the Liberals will likely lose Guelph and Kingston and the Islands to the NDP... Federally and Provincially!

Guelph
FED                PROV
NDP - 38%     NDP - 33%
CPC - 28%      OPC - 28%
LPC - 27%      OLP - 25%

Kingston and the Islands
FED                PROV
NDP - 37%     NDP - 38%
LPC - 36%      OLP - 30%
CPC - 23%      OPC - 23%

Doesn't make sense that the NDP would do better in Kingston provincially than federal. Weird.

I think in this case, provincial issues are pushing the NDP numbers higher. Internal government polling is showing the Hydro Sell-off ideas is tanking, I think it was 3/4 (73%) of voters oppose it. http://www.pressreader.com/canada/toronto-star/20150731/281689728520960/TextView

I saw another link (Yay to Facebook links) said 8 in 10 in Kingston oppose the move. http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/new-poll-says-8-in-10-kingston-residents-oppose-plan-to-privatize-hydro-one-2043160.htm

[DC Al Fine]

The Tories in my riding finally have a tentative candidate. From what little I can tell, he's quite socially liberal, so I'm not sure how I'll actually vote.

[adma]

Doesn't make sense that the NDP would do better in Kingston provincially than federal. Weird.

Maybe it's a "candidacy matter", if they're using past-provincial/current-federal candidates for the question--Holland being provincially stronger for the NDP, Gerretsen being federally stronger for the Liberals...

[cp]

More bad news for Harper

[RogueBeaver]

CP, in a report about new Tory anti-Mulcair ads, says Harper will go to Rideau Hall tomorrow.

[cp]

CP, in a report about new Tory anti-Mulcair ads, says Harper will go to Rideau Hall tomorrow.

Hopefully the GG has been pre-screened


On a slightly different note, the G&M did an interesting piece about the four most likely Tory seats in Alberta to change hands. They are Calgary Centre, Lethbridge, Calgary-Skyview, and Edmonton-Mill Woods. Strangely, they see the Liberals as the principal opponents in all but Lethbridge. Still worth a read, tho.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/alberta/four-alberta-ridings-the-federal-conservatives-are-likely-to-lose-in-october/article25809980/

[DC Al Fine]

CP, in a report about new Tory anti-Mulcair ads, says Harper will go to Rideau Hall tomorrow.

Hopefully the GG has been pre-screened


On a slightly different note, the G&M did an interesting piece about the four most likely Tory seats in Alberta to change hands. They are Calgary Centre, Lethbridge, Calgary-Skyview, and Edmonton-Mill Woods. Strangely, they see the Liberals as the principal opponents in all but Lethbridge. Still worth a read, tho.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/alberta/four-alberta-ridings-the-federal-conservatives-are-likely-to-lose-in-october/article25809980/

Edmonton Mill Woods? Really? I can think of two or three Edmonton seats that the Tories are more likely to lose. Of course, the NDP would win those, so of course G & M chooses some random suburban seats the Liberals have an outside shot of winning

[cp]

Hehehe. If the G&M was trying to play favourites I think they would have abstained from publishing anything critical of the Tories in the first place

Which other seats do you thing are more likely than E-MW?

[DC Al Fine]

Hehehe. If the G&M was trying to play favourites I think they would have abstained from publishing anything critical of the Tories in the first place

Which other seats do you thing are more likely than E-MW?

Calgary Confederation, Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Griesbach, Edmonton Manning, and perhaps St. Albert-Edmonton (Tory incumbent running as independent).

[Njall]

Hehehe. If the G&M was trying to play favourites I think they would have abstained from publishing anything critical of the Tories in the first place

Which other seats do you thing are more likely than E-MW?

Calgary Confederation, Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Griesbach, Edmonton Manning, and perhaps St. Albert-Edmonton (Tory incumbent running as independent).

For what it's worth, Mill Woods was probably included because the Liberal candidate there, Amarjeet Sohi, is currently an Edmonton city councillor, and as such has a fairly high profile and level of name recognition.

[RogueBeaver]

Duceppe running in Laurier-Sainte-Marie.

[RogueBeaver]

Harper will be at Rideau Hall in 2 hours, remarks at 10:15.

[RogueBeaver]

The Harpers have just entered Rideau Hall.

[RogueBeaver]

Parliament dissolved for an Oct. 19 election.