Canadian federal election - 2015

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Yeah, Justin Trudeau Bieber is turning out to be predictably horrible. I probably won't even bother voting in 2015.

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To be fair to Bieber Trudeau, haven't the Liberals always more or less sort of advocated for the status-quo, between the Tories' Triple E and the NDP's abolition?

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Left wing
Noun
Members of a radical or liberal political party, or those favoring extensive political reform.

From dictionary.com

Damn, that's an unbelievably terrible definition. No wonder half of North Americans have no clue what left-wing actually means when dictionaries provide us with such bullsh**t.

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New and updated all-merged topics! Enjoy, kids.

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Looking at the new post-distribution maps, I'm curious to know what the seat breakdown is for that map (preferably by province). Obviously, the Conservatives looked to have gained quite a few ridings in Alberta, Ontario, and BC. However, they also appear to have lost some seats, notably two seats to the NDP in Saskatchewan (now that the rurban ridings have been eliminated).

According to Pundit's Guide, the 2011 transposed results are:

Conservatives 188
NDP 109
Liberal 36
Bloc 4
Green 1

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However, there is a large presence of immigrants from the Maghreb region.

The riding is one of the (if not the) whitest Francophone parts of Montreal Island.

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I can't see any riding flipping from Liberal to Tory on Montreal Island with Trudeau Jr. leading the Liberals.  

This is correct. I was confusing (and maybe you are as well) Louis-Saint-Laurent (a riding in Quebec City) with Lac-Saint-Laurent (a riding in Montreal).

A better Tory target in Montreal is Pierrefonds-Dollard, anyways.

Lac-Saint-Louis

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Marc-André Morin has lost renomination to Simon-Pierre Landry. I really like this idea of targeting your own deadwood, wish my party would do the same.

Name names?

Cheryl Gallant, which said today during the question period than Canada needed stronger laws against pedophilia, because of the new Ontario sex ed curriculum?

The idea isn't daft (who is against that?), but the reason she uses is.

She is also known for comparing Ignatieff to Gadhafi and for saying than protecting sexual orientation from hate propaganda would protect pedophiles.

Cheryl Gallant is a general lunatic and it's hardly a secret. I think she also believes Agenda 21 is an evil communist plot to steal my private property or something.

Royal Galipeau is indeed a good example of deadwood, pretty undeniably regardless of your views on his party, because he hasn't done anything substantive (quite literally) in 9 years as an MP and besides he's a very inactive constituency MP. Also doesn't seem to be the sharpest tool in the shed.

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Coalitions are illegal in Canada.

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Do the Bloc exclusively steal off left-leaning votes, or does it also get CAQ conservative Francophones who might vote Tory as well?

In its heydays, the Bloc attracted both left-of-centre Francophone nationalists in more urban areas and right-of-centre Francophone nationalists/soft nationalists in rural Quebec, the kind of people who voted for the ADQ in 2007 and many of whom are now voting CAQ. In part, what doomed the Bloc in 2011 is that many soft nationalist Francophones - imagined largely as French-speaking suburbanites who don't care much about independence anymore but don't identify as federalists (and hence don't feel like voting Liberal much) - switched in droves to the NDP and many of them voted CAQ in 2014, especially in the 450.

The traditional federal Tory base in Quebec since 2006 and which held in 2011 has primarily been in those heavily Francophone rural areas in the Chaudière-Appalache which have never been strongly nationalist regions (the most 'famous' region being Beauce) but are very conservative in general ideological terms. The Bloc has never done well in this region, although it mostly voted Bloc in 2004 (by unimpressive margins) but before that was mostly Liberal in 2000 and 1997. Quebec City also voted Tory in 2006 and 2008, but switched to the NDP in 2011 and will be a hot battleground again in October, but it has fairly odd politics although it has not liked the Bloc/PQ much at all in recent years outside of the lone nationalist holdout which is Old Quebec City/downtown. The federal Conservatives never actually broke through with the 'soft nationalists' in suburban Montreal (mostly North Shore) and nationalist-conservativeish places like Lanaudière or rural Mauricie, although they may have been on the verge of doing so in circa 2007 but then failed when Harper's Tories bombed in Quebec in the 2008 federal campaign (on the arts funding kerfuffle) and thus ensured a Bloc landslide by default.

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This thread is for serious discussion and analysis of an election, so please keep it as such. If you're going to post only rants without adding any content, please don't post here.

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Hopefully the NDP will run a star candidate in Papineau. It is - believe it or not - winnable.

But wouldn't Justin have to eat kitten and puppy burgers for him to be in danger in western Montreal?

Papineau is not in western Montreal.

Technically, the seat is winnable for the NDP, but it would require a perfect storm so it's very unlikely.

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I hope Canadians are smart enough to understand that the Senate is impossible to abolish and will see right through Steve's latest stunt? Right?