Canadian federal election - 2015

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Van East will stay NDP unless we see a 1993 style wave election.

1993 is a great example of how voters can drift; a majority of the NDP caucus was from a province where they are currently shut out!

The entire NDP caucus was from Western Canada, no less.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

New Poll shows Conservatives 38% NDP27% Liberal 25% Is this a new trend or Outlier?

see for yourself
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_42nd_Canadian_federal_election

There's plenty of reason to think this is an outlier.

The 308 poll aggregator weighs this poll more than 2 times any other poll in their average, yet the average comes to an NDP-Conservative tie.
There was a poll showing the Conservatives third from a more experienced pollster the day before.
And the for the pollster, this is their first ever federal poll, so we don't even have any prior polls from this pollster to compare with to see if there is a trend.

'Mainstreet Research' also sounds like the sort of name a hack firm would have.