UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (user search)
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Author Topic: UK General Election - May 7th 2015  (Read 276291 times)
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 13, 2015, 10:47:04 AM »
Lord Ashcroft is either going to look very clever or very stupid come 8 May.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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United Kingdom


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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2015, 12:49:07 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2015, 12:51:07 PM by London Man »

Is it time to raise the deposit to £1000? I'm starting to think so.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #2 on: January 17, 2015, 08:24:59 AM »
Quote from: doktorb on January 17, 2015, 06:16:25 AM

[Snide Voice]

Why, everybody else has

[/Snide Voice]

Along, with that matter the BNP. (Except for the Foreign Office, who managed a couple of days ago to mistakenly claim the British National Party was organising strikes in Bangladesh...)
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #3 on: January 18, 2015, 09:45:09 AM »
If we're being honest, after the last recession, 34% is good for Labour.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2015, 12:39:33 PM »
Quote from: Clyde1998 on January 19, 2015, 08:35:30 AM
Quote from: Sibboleth on January 18, 2015, 07:08:10 PM
It would be better to ignore all 'seat projections' as they are invariably total bullsh!t.
I think it's based on uniform swing, but they were the numbers Survation themselves were giving - so they might have more data that they haven't released about constituencies.

Remember folks, there ain't no thing as a uniform swing.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #5 on: January 23, 2015, 02:09:27 PM »
If I want to see debates containing enough leaders to fill an SUV, I'd watch Borgen again. At least that's fiction.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #6 on: January 30, 2015, 05:34:46 PM »
AV got rejected solidly in the referendum - we'll be sticking with FPTP for a good while, I'd say.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #7 on: February 14, 2015, 06:48:25 AM »

They're trying everything and seeing what sticks.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #8 on: February 14, 2015, 07:44:57 AM »
Can I remind everyone that David Cameron only got 36% of the vote last time?
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2015, 01:25:39 PM »
It's possible. Last PM to go down at an election was Balfour, BTW - and that was over a century ago.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #10 on: February 21, 2015, 07:36:21 AM »
Quote from: Sibboleth on February 20, 2015, 01:42:21 PM
Balfour was not actually Prime Minister at the time of the election: he and his ministry had resigned to let the Liberals run things as a minority before the elections, because things were different then. The last Liberal Leader to lose his seat in a General Election was Archibald Sinclair in 1945, incidentally.

I stand corrected.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2015, 03:05:49 PM »
Quite frankly, you need less a swingometer and more a swing hypercube to model all the possibilities.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #12 on: March 27, 2015, 01:49:18 AM »
Wonder just how big of an impact that food bank gaffe will have on Cameron.
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