UK General Election - May 7th 2015

[Vega]

Putting those numbers into Electoral Calculus gives Lab 315 seats, Con 297, LD 11.

Would Labour be able to cobble together a coalition with minor parties, or would this mean Britain goes back to the polls?

I don't think the Lib Dems will do THAT poorly, but if that number is in the ball park, then I could see a super tiny Labour-Lib Dem coalition government.

[Vega]

If a coalition only got Labour-Lib to a tiny majority anyway, I think Labour would much prefer another election.

Will they have the money to mount another election campaign within the same year, though?

[Vega]

It would be great if the Isle of Mann would join up with England, too bad it won't happen. I do like that map other wise, though.

[Vega]

Yeah, I mean, if you invite the Greens but not the other parties who have at least 1 MP in the commons, it's going to get sticky.

[Vega]

Not many things since election 2010 have been 'normal' though. The Lib collapse, Coalition, referendum, UKIP, Ed Miliband being the Miliband who became leader, all three leaders being about as popular as ebola. The only weird political manoeuvrings 2005-2010 really had was a constant Labour leadership crisis.

Yeah, it's definitely been a weird 4 years.

[Vega]

Most parliamentary terms are full of weirdness. The whole Cash for Peerages nonsense, anyone?

Yes, but it seems like in the past 4 or 5 years we've seen a total change in the way British politics operate.

[Vega]

A claim that has been made periodically since... what... the 1960s?

True, it is a subjective term. Though I feel it specifically applies to the past 4 years.

[Vega]

If Clegg were to loose his seat, would Cable take over as leader?

[Vega]

Labour can only win Hallam via a vote-split fluke.

Which, as of right now, isn't totally unlikely.

I do hope Clegg and the rest of his colleagues get knocked out, though.

[Vega]

If Clegg looses, than it's a sign Labour is in for, or already had a great night.

[Vega]

How is the Alliance Party in Northern Ireland doing these days? Will they hold their seat in Belfast East?

[Vega]

If Scottish Labour had just made Gordy Brown leader, things would be going alot better for them.

[Vega]

The problem with Ed Miliband is that he knows the information, and has solutions, but he can't deliver those solutions in a cohesive manor.

[Vega]

The problem with Ed Miliband is that he knows the information, and has solutions, but he can't deliver those solutions in a cohesive manor.

Only toffs have cohesive manors.

Well, Ed is trying to change that.

you know what I meant.

[Vega]

Considering the fact that the majority of the coalition's time has not been great with high unemployment and wage cuts and it's only now we're starting to see positives, it's almost incredible that Ed Milliband won't end up PM.

[Vega]

I doubt we'll ever see a party hold power for more than 10 years.

[Vega]

Are there any circumstances under which the SNP would start to falter and wither? Or will it be the de-facto party in Scotland now for many years?

[Vega]

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But a monkey in a suit could have led Labour to victory in 1997 and 2001, while Blair was unpopular by 2005.

But in 1997 and 2001 they did have a monkey in a suit....

[Vega]

My proposal for the debates would be to drop them all together.  Of course, that's not going to happen, especially since 2010 exercise has been heralded as a "landmark" event in British politics.

Agreed. They're not meant for the UK.

[Vega]

That fixed term thing should be repealed, but I don't think it will be by Labour or quite frankly anyone else.

Labour has gone full bore on the creating an American Senate for the upper house.

[Vega]

Don't forget the Respect party!