UK General Election - May 7th 2015

[bore]

Their urban Scottish seats will swing to Labour and the SNP will do really well in the LD rural seats, I'd guess.

Which seats might those be

Edinburgh West

East Dunbartonshire

Er....

That's it.

Though it depends how you define urban as to whether they even count, because they're probably more suburban (cue inevitable post by Al saying suburban is urban)

[bore]

If anything, it's terrible news instead for Ed Milliband.

[bore]

There's a big difference in lib dem voters between regions. Lib Dem voters in, say, cornwall are very different socially and politically from Lib Dem voters in, say, Sheffield Hallam.

[bore]

STV/Ipsos Mori poll for general election voting intention in Scotland

SNP 52% 54 seats
Labour 23% 4 seats
Conservatives 10%
Lib Dems 6% 1 seat
Greens 6%
Ukip 2%
Others 1%

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/297729-stv-poll-labour-would-annihilated-if-general-election-held-tomorrow/

That's not going to happen, but if the result is anything at all like that, ouch.

That actually is terrible news for Ed Milliband.

[bore]

I didn't know it was possible to enjoy question time...

[bore]

I'm not saying the tories won't win (I'm inclined to think they will) but that graph seems to be the sort of thing, like, for instance, no president being re elected with X% unemployment, that's a rule until it isn't.

[bore]

Yeah, I agree that the conservatives probably like their position better than labour at the moment, just that, simply because we have so few data points, we shouldn't (not that afleitch was) say if we add 7 points to the tories current ratings we'll have our final result.

[bore]

Plus, it voted heavily Unionist in 2014.

Well yeah, but so did Orkney and Shetland, and they won't be returning a conservative mp.

[bore]

This cannot be real

It's kind of appropriate that in the last general election he stood in Barking.