hispanics in 2016 election

[jman123]

what percentage of the electorate in 2016 do you think will be hispanic?

 In what states do you think this will be more pronounced?

[greenforest32]

8% in 2004, 9% in 2008, and 10% in 2012.

So I'll say 11% in 2016. They will be most pronounced in New Mexico, Nevada, and Colorado.

Arizona too: according to the exit polls their share of the state electorate was 12% in 2004, 16% in 2008, and 18% in 2012.

[ElectionsGuy]

Arizona... 2004: 12%  2008: 16%  2012: 18%  2016 Guess: 21%
Colorado... 2004: 8%  2008: 13%  2012: 14%  2016 Guess: 16%
Nevada... 2004: 10%  2008: 15%  2012: 19%  2016 Guess: 25%
New Mexico... 2004: 32%  2008: 41%  2012: 37%  2016 Guess: 42%
Texas... 2004: 20%  2008: 20%  2012: ??  2016 Guess: 22%
Florida... 2004: 15%  2008: 14%  2012: 17%  2016 Guess: 19%
California... 2004: 21%  2008: 18%  2012: 22%  2016 Guess: 23%

Did I cover all the major Hispanic states?

[barfbag]

We have to do better with Hispanics and minorities in general. With Rubio on the ticket he can make an improvement so it depends on who the nominee is. Rubio could do as well as bringing the GOP in the upper 40's amongst them while Mitch Daniels would have the GOP in the mid 20's.

[greenforest32]

Arizona... 2004: 12%  2008: 16%  2012: 18%  2016 Guess: 21%
Colorado... 2004: 8%  2008: 13%  2012: 14%  2016 Guess: 16%
Nevada... 2004: 10%  2008: 15%  2012: 19%  2016 Guess: 25%
New Mexico... 2004: 32%  2008: 41%  2012: 37%  2016 Guess: 42%
Texas... 2004: 20%  2008: 20%  2012: ??  2016 Guess: 22%
Florida... 2004: 15%  2008: 14%  2012: 17%  2016 Guess: 19%
California... 2004: 21%  2008: 18%  2012: 22%  2016 Guess: 23%

Did I cover all the major Hispanic states?

Mostly yeah but I think New Jersey and New York would count too if we're interpreting "more pronounced" as states with electorates that have proportionally more Hispanics than the national average: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_Hispanic_and_Latino_population#By_2010_census_results

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[ElectionsGuy]

Arizona... 2004: 12%  2008: 16%  2012: 18%  2016 Guess: 21%
Colorado... 2004: 8%  2008: 13%  2012: 14%  2016 Guess: 16%
Nevada... 2004: 10%  2008: 15%  2012: 19%  2016 Guess: 25%
New Mexico... 2004: 32%  2008: 41%  2012: 37%  2016 Guess: 42%
Texas... 2004: 20%  2008: 20%  2012: ??  2016 Guess: 22%
Florida... 2004: 15%  2008: 14%  2012: 17%  2016 Guess: 19%
California... 2004: 21%  2008: 18%  2012: 22%  2016 Guess: 23%

Did I cover all the major Hispanic states?

Mostly yeah but I think New Jersey and New York would count too if we're interpreting "more pronounced" as states with electorates that have proportionally more Hispanics than the national average: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_Hispanic_and_Latino_population#By_2010_census_results

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I could do those but they both are not competitive, then again California isn't either.

[illegaloperation]

We have to do better with Hispanics and minorities in general. With Rubio on the ticket he can make an improvement so it depends on who the nominee is. Rubio could do as well as bringing the GOP in the upper 40's amongst them while Mitch Daniels would have the GOP in the mid 20's.

lol.  Rubio is Cuban. Large Hispanic population in states other than Florida are not Cuban and won't relate to him by race.

Also, what is he going to say? I wanted immigration reform, but it fell flat in the House because my party hates it?

[barfbag]

We have to do better with Hispanics and minorities in general. With Rubio on the ticket he can make an improvement so it depends on who the nominee is. Rubio could do as well as bringing the GOP in the upper 40's amongst them while Mitch Daniels would have the GOP in the mid 20's.

lol.  Rubio is Cuban. Large Hispanic population in states other than Florida are not Cuban and won't relate to him by race.

Also, what is he going to say? I wanted immigration reform, but it fell flat in the House because my party hates it?

No he's a more skilled politician than that. If Americans can look past Obama not wearing an American flag pin, they will look past where Rubio differs from his party. Rubio could also play the minority card.

[greenforest32]

Arizona... 2004: 12%  2008: 16%  2012: 18%  2016 Guess: 21%
Colorado... 2004: 8%  2008: 13%  2012: 14%  2016 Guess: 16%
Nevada... 2004: 10%  2008: 15%  2012: 19%  2016 Guess: 25%
New Mexico... 2004: 32%  2008: 41%  2012: 37%  2016 Guess: 42%
Texas... 2004: 20%  2008: 20%  2012: ??  2016 Guess: 22%
Florida... 2004: 15%  2008: 14%  2012: 17%  2016 Guess: 19%
California... 2004: 21%  2008: 18%  2012: 22%  2016 Guess: 23%

Did I cover all the major Hispanic states?

Mostly yeah but I think New Jersey and New York would count too if we're interpreting "more pronounced" as states with electorates that have proportionally more Hispanics than the national average:

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I could do those but they both are not competitive, then again California isn't either.

Virginia and North Carolina are two competitive states with sizeable Hispanic populations that are also increasing at a rapid rate.  They might be worth doing.

2004: 3% in VA, 1% in NC.
2008: 5% in VA, 3% in NC.
2012: 5% in VA, 4% in NC.

[DS0816]

We have to do better with Hispanics and minorities in general. With Rubio on the ticket he can make an improvement so it depends on who the nominee is. Rubio could do as well as bringing the GOP in the upper 40's amongst them while Mitch Daniels would have the GOP in the mid 20's.

Women, too.

However, Marco Rubio is as useful being a Hispanic to this current Republican party as Sarah Palin was being a woman and the vice-presidential nominee for Republican party in 2008.

For the Republicans, their problem is … their party.

[barfbag]

We have to do better with Hispanics and minorities in general. With Rubio on the ticket he can make an improvement so it depends on who the nominee is. Rubio could do as well as bringing the GOP in the upper 40's amongst them while Mitch Daniels would have the GOP in the mid 20's.

Women, too.

However, Marco Rubio is as useful being a Hispanic to this current Republican party as Sarah Palin was being a woman and the vice-presidential nominee for Republican party in 2008.


For the Republicans, their problem is … their party.

The liberal media does give that impression. If Obama were a Republican, we would never hear the end of how he's technically only half black and therefore not authentically black. The media crucifies those who aren't far left with the small exception of some reporters and commentators on Fox. The truth is it doesn't matter what gender or race someone is. As long as a candidate is conservative, they are fit to be president.