AK Congressional Races 2014

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Oh wonderful. She won a write-in campaign. That makes her the Alaska version of Angus King. She has lucked her way into two Senate terms, but her luck will soon run out.

She has never had the following her father once had. No matter how nuts Miller is, oh how unchained Palin becomes, nothing will change that. She certainly hasn't changed and she certainly doesn't have that kind of appeal to pull a repeat of either CT or ME.

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That is the result of all the hype she has received from beating Miller, basically her surviving victim status, as a result of the tea party going after her, by the establishment and media.

It also indicates with me that she is still very vulernable to a primary challenge and even if she goes third party, whether she wins as such will depend on thep resence of the Democrat and how much they get and the quality of the Republican. Nothing stated refutes anything I said and in fact validates quite a lot of it greatly.

Well, being the most popular elected official in the state with a majority of voters approving of her certainly shows that "she has the appeal to pull a repeat of CT/ME".

Besides, those numbers make two things very clear: She's not going to run in a Republican primary, and Democrats will vote for her en masse.

If the Republican is someone of quality, most of those Repub and Repub leaning indies who are favorable to Murko will rally to that person. Also, she won't unify the Democrats unless they clear their ballot line Sanders style and I don't know if that is legal in AK. Someone will run to the left and get a good number of votes. 45-45-10 for instance.

[IceSpear]

Oh wonderful. She won a write-in campaign. That makes her the Alaska version of Angus King. She has lucked her way into two Senate terms, but her luck will soon run out.

She has never had the following her father once had. No matter how nuts Miller is, oh how unchained Palin becomes, nothing will change that. She certainly hasn't changed and she certainly doesn't have that kind of appeal to pull a repeat of either CT or ME.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That is the result of all the hype she has received from beating Miller, basically her surviving victim status, as a result of the tea party going after her, by the establishment and media.

It also indicates with me that she is still very vulernable to a primary challenge and even if she goes third party, whether she wins as such will depend on thep resence of the Democrat and how much they get and the quality of the Republican. Nothing stated refutes anything I said and in fact validates quite a lot of it greatly.

Well, being the most popular elected official in the state with a majority of voters approving of her certainly shows that "she has the appeal to pull a repeat of CT/ME".

Besides, those numbers make two things very clear: She's not going to run in a Republican primary, and Democrats will vote for her en masse.

If the Republican is someone of quality, most of those Repub and Repub leaning indies who are favorable to Murko will rally to that person. Also, she won't unify the Democrats unless they clear their ballot line Sanders style and I don't know if that is legal in AK. Someone will run to the left and get a good number of votes. 45-45-10 for instance.

Yeah, I do agree that she has a very delicate balancing act. But so far, she seems to be doing pretty well at it. Unlike Lieberman whose approval was godawful among Ds, Rs, AND Is only a couple years after getting re-elected.

[Miles]

Begich has a very good ad hitting back at the Kochs.

[Miles]

The Club for Growth endorses Sullivan.

[windjammer]

The Club for Growth endorses Sullivan.

Miller

[Miles]

Begich has a very good ad out. Its a biographical spot focusing on his family roots in the state.

[publicunofficial]

Out of all the endangered Democrats right now, I'd say Begich is running the best campaign.

[moderatevoter]

Apparently Treadwell's campaign manager and communications director are leaving.

[windjammer]

Apparently Treadwell'a campaign manager and communications director are leaving.

Not surprising!

[Deus Naturae]

Condoleezza Rice endorses Sullivan in American Crossroads ad.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Out of all the endangered Democrats right now, I'd say Begich is running the best campaign.

As said a while ago (forget when), Begich is an extremely skilled politician and could've possibly even hung on even in 2010.  This isn't a guy the Republicans were ever going to beat just by relying on the state's partisan lean or the national mood.  It'd take a top-tier recruit (as in Sean Parnell) running a very smart campaign and I don't think they've got that right now.

[SPC]

Condoleezza Rice endorses Sullivan in American Crossroads ad.

More reason to oppose Sullivan.

[publicunofficial]

Nothing that matters, but still funny

[publicunofficial]

Begich has another good ad up. Features him riding on a snowmobile while talking about his efforts to open up the National Petroleum Reserves for drilling.

[RogueBeaver]

Sullivan outraised Begich 1.4-1.2 million and Begich leads 2.8-2 million COH.

[windjammer]

I'm more and more worried about Begich.

[publicunofficial]

I'm more and more worried about Begich.

I'm growing less and less worried about him.

[Niemeyerite]

I'm more and more worried about Begich.

Stop worrying about a Senate race in Alaska, please!! At least before Summer.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Sullivan is turning into one hell of a good candidate. 

[publicunofficial]

Begich's PAC has a new ad, featuring an Alaskan woman who's newfound insurance allows her to pay for her breast cancer treatments

Hey other Democrats, are you paying attention?!

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Sullivan is turning into one hell of a good candidate. 

D.C. Dan's not nearly a strong enough to unseat Begich though.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Sullivan is turning into one hell of a good candidate. 

D.C. Dan's not nearly a strong enough to unseat Begich though.

We'll see about that.

[windjammer]

Begich praising Healthcare

[Miles]

Personally, this is exactly what bugs me about many pro-life groups: they'll attack you if you support non pro-life Dems, but they have no problem supporting idiots like Joe Miller:

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[RogueBeaver]

Awful, but Sullivan will still win the primary.