AK Congressional Races 2014

[illegaloperation]

We might as sell have a thread for Alaska.

Happening now: Mead Treadwell and Joe Miller have filed to challenge popular freshmen senator Mark Begich.

Sarah Palin is also considering a run.

[illegaloperation]

After Begich voted against background check, he went from 49/39 to 41/37

That vote did not go well for him.

Now, it's 42/41 for some reason.

[illegaloperation]

That same poll has Palin losing to Begich by 12 points. We really need the Republicans to nominate her to hang onto this seat and possibly shift it into the Leans D category.

We don't necessary "need" that, but it sure would help tremendously!

[illegaloperation]

Alaska is the most elastic Atlas blue state: it has a large number of genuine undecided voters (as oppose to Independent voters which include those who always vote for one party).

Registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats almost two to one in Alaska.

Begich must overcome that be winning over a large segment of these undecided voters.

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[illegaloperation]

I am begging Sarah Palin to jump in.

[illegaloperation]

Begich has a few things working in his favor.

1. Begich is the incumbent and Alaska is very pro-incumbent

2. Alaska is a very elastic state

3. Alaskans care about local issues and it's very hard to nationalize the race

[illegaloperation]

Begich fills coffers

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/mark-begich-fundraising-2014-election-98509.html?hp=r3

[illegaloperation]

Don Young praises Begich

This will sure help:
http://www.adn.com/2014/01/15/3275218/don-young-praises-begich.html

[illegaloperation]

Three ballot initiatives:

1. to slow down the proposed Pebble Mine
2. to regulate marijuana like alcohol
3. to hike the minimum wage

All of them help Begich with turnout.