Also, the current status of the campaign:
Bright green means the state has approved, and made it law.
Grey-green means the law is pending.
Grey means the law is not pending, nor enacted.
(base map is from this website: tib.cjcs.com/8735/2012-electoral-cartogram/)This is the same map, without using a cartogram:
I just made this thread to ask, which states are most likely to sign the popular vote compact? (this thread shows you what that is if you don't know:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=36980.0)
Only 9 states (and DC) have given it the stamp of approval, but thanks partially to the fact that one of them was California, the campaign is over half way to their required number of votes, 270. They currently have 136.
The question is, what states will join the compact? What is the easiest route for the campaign?
If all the states that are pending accepted the law, they would only require four more states to get 272, just 2 over par (for examples sake, I chose Texas, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Delaware, these states are highlighted on the map with slashed green).
Obviously though, some of the pending states may not approve the bill, and some of the slashed-green states I chose will probably not decide to join the agreement.
The question is, which states will? Would Florida or Texas join? What is the most likely route for the campaign? Will they ever reach their goal? Which Republican-leaning states will accept the Compact, if any?
Just for reference purposes, here is a list of states which have rejected the law:
Arkansas: Accepted twice by the lower house, rejected twice by the upper house.
Colorado: Has failed three times so far. It has passed both the upper house and the lower house at various times, but never at the same time.
Connecticut: Died in committee once in the upper house after it was passed in the lower house.
Delaware: Died twice in the upper house.
Louisiana: Failed entirely.
Maine: Indefinitely postponed by the lower house.
Michigan: Died in committee in the upper house.
Montana: Completely failed.
Nevada: Died in upper house committee.
New Mexico: Not voted on in upper house.
New York: Has twice been not voted on in the lower house, despite being accepted by the upper house.
North Carolina: Lower house, died in committee.
North Dakota: Died immediately.
Also, the progress of the law in the states where it is pending are as follows:
Minnesota: Failed 62-71 in the Lower House, but back in committee, currently in committee as well in the upper house.
New York: Passed the lower house. Now in committee in the upper house.
Oregon: Same as New York.
