Final 2004 Predictions

[barfbag]

What were your final 2004 predictions?

Alabama 58-42
Alaska 65-34
Arizona 56-42
Arkansas 55-45
California 44-56
Colorado 52-48
Connecticut 41-58
Delaware 44-56
D.C. 13-87
Florida 50-50
Georgia 56-44
Hawaii 43-55
Idaho 65-33
Illinois 45-53
Indiana 58-41
Iowa 50-50
Kansas 61-37
Kentucky 59-40
Louisiana 54-44
Maine 42-56
Maryland 43-56
Massachusetts 30-70
Michigan 47-51
Minnesota 45-54
Mississippi 55-44
Missouri 51-48
Montana 61-38
Nebraska 67-33
Nevada 54-46
New Hampshire 48-51
New Jersey 52-47
New Mexico 51-49
New York 40-59
North Carolina 54-44
North Dakota 64-34
Ohio 47-52
Oklahoma 68-32
Oregon 45-53
Pennsylvania 52-47
Rhode Island 42-56
South Carolina 59-39
South Dakota 61-39
Tennessee 57-43
Texas 62-38
Utah 70-30
Vermont 43-56
Virginia 52-46
Washington 46-52
West Virginia 55-45
Wisconsin 54-45
Wyoming 69-31

[JRP1994]

2004 was the first election I predicted. I slightly over-estimated Bush's incumbency benefit in Wisconsin, but got pretty close otherwise.

[barfbag]

I was worried about Ohio, but thought Bush spent enough time in New Jersey and Pennsylvania to win them. I also thought Bush would do better in general so he'd carry New Hampshire again.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=12100





As you can see I got Florida, Ohio, and Wisconsin wrong, tho at least I had all three as tossups along with Iowa and New Mexico.  Incidentally, I voted for neither Bush nor Kerry, but voted third party.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

284 for Kerry
254 for Bush

[barfbag]

https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=12100





As you can see I got Florida, Ohio, and Wisconsin wrong, tho at least I had all three as tossups along with Iowa and New Mexico.  Incidentally, I voted for neither Bush nor Kerry, but voted third party.

If you don't mind me asking, who did you vote for? I've been thinking you're center-right on the issues and would vote Republican most of the time, but I could be wrong. 2004 was the best I ever did in predictions. On the night before the election I picked every state correctly.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

If you don't mind me asking, who did you vote for? I've been thinking you're center-right on the issues and would vote Republican most of the time, but I could be wrong. 2004 was the best I ever did in predictions. On the night before the election I picked every state correctly.

Didn't really care for either Bush or Kerry in 2004, so I voted third party, specifically a local third party called the United Citizens Party.  But it was a pure protest vote.  If I'd had the Nevada option of "none of these candidates" I'd have voted that.

[barfbag]

If you don't mind me asking, who did you vote for? I've been thinking you're center-right on the issues and would vote Republican most of the time, but I could be wrong. 2004 was the best I ever did in predictions. On the night before the election I picked every state correctly.

Didn't really care for either Bush or Kerry in 2004, so I voted third party, specifically a local third party called the United Citizens Party.  But it was a pure protest vote.  If I'd had the Nevada option of "none of these candidates" I'd have voted that.

Do you tend to vote Republican more often than Democrat?

[RosettaStoned]

 I was shocked when Kerry lost.

[Reaganfan]

Bush: 296
Kerry: 242

Damn those 11,384 votes in Wisconsin.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]