Nevada: Long Gone?

[eric82oslo]

What's missing here is the point - the demographic percentages just get worse and worse for the GOP with each passing election:  you can't really say that the Dems 'maxed out' the Latino vote in 2012 - because there will be more Latinos and fewer whites by 2016.

I meant percentage wise. 70% will be a challenge to exceed.

It was actually said by a Hispanic reporter at MSNBC at election night that the Obama ticket received 90% Latino support in Nevada and Colorado. If that's true, that quite overwhelming. And perhaps a sign that even 70% or 75% isn't necessarily the absolute ceiling nationwide? Certainly the Hispanic percentage who vote Democratic can increase quite a lot in states like Florida, Texas and New Mexico.

[eric82oslo]

Nevada is already one of the least religious states (despite the Mormon presence) and the 6th most multicultural and seeing the fastest demographic change of probably any of the 50 states. I'm sure that Obama only did so (relatively) poorly there in 2012 because Nevada had by far the highest unemployment rate in the nation. Once the US economy in general - and the hardest hit states Nevada and Florida in particular - start to recover more profoundly from the mess - and there are already many signs of that, like property values increasing and stock markets soaring - I'm sure that both Nevada and Florida - but in particular Nevada - will take a heavy dive to the left. Democrats' potential is so much stronger in both of these two states.