Tasmanian state election - 3rd March 2018
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  Tasmanian state election - 3rd March 2018
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #125 on: March 13, 2018, 06:47:21 PM »

Well David O'Byrne has been elected in Franklin, and now, after the distribution of his surplus, we come to the most important stage of the count in Franklin, the distribution of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers votes. Brendon Hext's preferences will determine whether Nic Street or Rosalie Woodruff is elected as the fifth member.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #126 on: March 13, 2018, 09:57:59 PM »

Helen Burnett, the second green in Denison has been eliminated, so on the next count we'll see Cassy O'Connor, the greens leader, formally elected as she only needs 2/3rds of Burnett's votes and the Greens in southern Tassie are legendary for their ability to keep votes within the ticket and having next to no leakage (they've generally had leakage rates below 5%, which is astonishing by Australian standards.)
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #127 on: March 13, 2018, 09:59:54 PM »

Well David O'Byrne has been elected in Franklin, and now, after the distribution of his surplus, we come to the most important stage of the count in Franklin, the distribution of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers votes. Brendon Hext's preferences will determine whether Nic Street or Rosalie Woodruff is elected as the fifth member.
Hext's preferences flowed about 50% to the Libs, with only 15% going to the Greens. Although the Greens will eventually get more from Labor this is good news for Street.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #128 on: March 14, 2018, 10:50:30 PM »

Penultimately Franklin:
Will Hodgman MP
Jacquie Petrusma MP
Well this time round Franklin was the first time to finish, and Woodruff (Greens) beat Street (Liberal).
Will Hodgman MP
Jacquie Petrusma MP
David O'Byrne
Alison Standen
Rosalie Woodruff MP
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #129 on: March 14, 2018, 10:53:02 PM »

And then Denison:
Scott Bacon MP
Elise Archer MP
And in addition
Cassy O'Connor MP
Sue Hickey
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #130 on: March 14, 2018, 10:53:54 PM »

As usual we'll be waiting until the very end to know the identities of Lyons's five members.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #131 on: March 14, 2018, 10:57:41 PM »

And onto Braddon:
Jeremy Rockliff MP
Adam Brooks MP
All five members declared elected, however they'll probably still count Dow's surplus despite the mathematical impossibility of Rylah leapfrogging Jaensch. The additional three members are:
Anita Dow
Shane Broad MP
Roger Jaensch MP
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #132 on: March 14, 2018, 11:16:39 PM »

So firstly, in Bass 3 members elected on Tuesday:
Peter Gutwein MP
Michael Ferguson MP
Michelle O'Byrne MP
Counting's done, and the final two are:
Sarah Courtney MP
Jennifer Houston
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #133 on: March 15, 2018, 12:55:17 AM »

So the current numbers are:
Liberal 10
Labor 8
Green 2
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #134 on: March 15, 2018, 12:57:16 AM »

And then Denison:
Scott Bacon MP
Elise Archer MP
And in addition
Cassy O'Connor MP
Sue Hickey
Ella Haddad has beat fellow Labor candidate and incumbent MP Madeline Ogilvie for the final seat.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #135 on: March 15, 2018, 12:58:06 AM »

So the current numbers are:
Liberal 10
Labor 8
Green 2
Updated for finals from Denison
Liberal 10
Labor 9
Green 2
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #136 on: March 15, 2018, 04:45:05 PM »

As usual we'll be waiting until the very end to know the identities of Lyons's five members.
Counting finished late last night, and the only real question here (Who will be the second Labor MP) has been answered (Butler), so here are Lyons next five members:
Rebecca White MP
Guy Barnett MP
Mark Shelton MP
Rene Hidding MP
Jen Butler
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #137 on: March 15, 2018, 04:47:01 PM »

So the current numbers are:
Liberal 10
Labor 8
Green 2
Updated for finals from Denison
Liberal 10
Labor 9
Green 2

But its still certain the Libs will end up with a majority?
Yes
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #138 on: March 15, 2018, 04:50:52 PM »

So the current numbers are:
Liberal 10
Labor 8
Green 2
Updated for finals from Denison
Liberal 10
Labor 9
Green 2
Abd the final numbers are:
Liberal 13 (-2)
Labor 10 (+3)
Greens - 2 (-1)
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