Elections coming up

[Notre Dame rules!]

Somaliland Election countdown...

0 days, HOORAY!

*goes and looks for any sites that might have ...anything...*

Don't keep us in suspense, who won?

[WMS]

What do your starfor sources tell you about the Transnistria elections?

They only do elections if they're geopolitically important, but let's see:

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And that's pretty much it. It probably won't matter, since Transnistria's days are numbered. But judging from The Freedom House Report on it, perhaps it's just as well.

Transnistria (Political Rights/Civil Liberties)
2004  6  6  NF
2003  6  6  NF
2002  6  6  NF
2001  6  6  NF
2000  6  6  NF
1999  6  6  NF
1998  6  6  NF
1997  6  6  NF
1996  X  X  XX
1995  X  X  XX
1994  X  X  XX

1991 Seceded from Moldova over concerns over Moldovan-Romanian unification; with lots of Russian support
1991-1992 war; 1992 cease-fire
1991-current: Authoritarian Republic; President Igor Smirnov;
highly corrupt and repressive; de-facto one-party rule
2000 parliamentary elections; 2001 presidential elections; both
sets not at all free and fair; "Smirnov was declared the victor,
in some areas winning by a considerable margin. In the northern
region of Kamenka, for example, he received 103.6 percent of the
vote, indicating significant ballot-stuffing."
*May not survive 2005 w/Ukraine and Moldova becoming pro-Western*

[WMS]

Somaliland Election countdown...

0 days, HOORAY!

*goes and looks for any sites that might have ...anything...*

Don't keep us in suspense, who won?

I haven't been able to find anything yet. If I do, I'll be sure to let you know.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Norway has elections in the autumn. Looks like Labour are going to be back in charge again.

[WMS]

Somaliland Election countdown...

0 days, HOORAY!

*goes and looks for any sites that might have ...anything...*

Don't keep us in suspense, who won?

I haven't been able to find anything yet. If I do, I'll be sure to let you know.

Still haven't found anything...in English. There's a site or two in Somali which appear to be more updated, but nothing I could make out.

[WMS]

Somaliland Election countdown...

0 days, HOORAY!

*goes and looks for any sites that might have ...anything...*

Don't keep us in suspense, who won?

I haven't been able to find anything yet. If I do, I'll be sure to let you know.

Still haven't found anything...in English. There's a site or two in Somali which appear to be more updated, but nothing I could make out.

Here's the site which has the most up-to-date information. But it's in Somali.

[Jake]

Good, all I need now is a Somali dictionary

[Notre Dame rules!]

Great!  Where's that English/Somali dictionary when  you need it?

[Notre Dame rules!]

What are the latest polls in North Rhine-Wesphalia?

[Notre Dame rules!]

Somaliland Election countdown...

0 days, HOORAY!

*goes and looks for any sites that might have ...anything...*

Don't keep us in suspense, who won?

I haven't been able to find anything yet. If I do, I'll be sure to let you know.

Still haven't found anything...in English. There's a site or two in Somali which appear to be more updated, but nothing I could make out.

Still nothing?

[Jake]

What are the latest polls in North Rhine-Wesphalia?

These:

Emnid (03/18)
CDU 43%
SPD 35%
Greens 10%
FDP 7%

Infratest-dimap (03/20)
CDU 42%
SPD 35%
Greens 10%
FDP 7%

Were posted awhile back

[Notre Dame rules!]

What are the latest polls in North Rhine-Wesphalia?

These:

Emnid (03/18)
CDU 43%
SPD 35%
Greens 10%
FDP 7%

Infratest-dimap (03/20)
CDU 42%
SPD 35%
Greens 10%
FDP 7%

Were posted awhile back

Hmmm...I was hoping that there might be some more current polls.

[WMS]

Somaliland Election countdown...

0 days, HOORAY!

*goes and looks for any sites that might have ...anything...*

Don't keep us in suspense, who won?

I haven't been able to find anything yet. If I do, I'll be sure to let you know.

Still haven't found anything...in English. There's a site or two in Somali which appear to be more updated, but nothing I could make out.

Still nothing?

Elections Postponed; all three political parties vote for postponement; elections to be held "sometime this year"; sounds like some bugs have to be worked out.

Finally, some friggin' information!

*edit* I'm not sure the new rules they've voted on are a good thing or not...read more of the English articles on that site to see what I mean.
*end edit*

[ilikeverin]

Elections Postponed;

Whyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy?

[WMS]

Elections Postponed;

Whyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy?

I'm not sure...but it sounds like political games by all three main political parties. So much for this entertaining election.

[Middle-aged Europe]

What are the latest polls in North Rhine-Wesphalia?

These:

Emnid (03/18)
CDU 43%
SPD 35%
Greens 10%
FDP 7%

Infratest-dimap (03/20)
CDU 42%
SPD 35%
Greens 10%
FDP 7%

Were posted awhile back

Hmmm...I was hoping that there might be some more current polls.

The latest NRW polls can always be fund on these two sites:

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm

http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/showpoll.pl?name=ltw_nw


CDU: 45% to 46%
SPD: 34% to 36%
Greens: 8% to 9%
FDP: 6% to 7%

Note: Some polls are also indicating that about half of the voters (!) are still undecided whom they gonna vote for on May 22. So, in theory, everything could be still possible: the SPD could get something like 25% in the end... or more than 40%.

[Notre Dame rules!]

Hmmm...Half the voters could be undecided.  Wow!  Germans voters are even more volatile than those in the US, or maybe interest in the election is currently low.  Considering the economic crisis, interest should be high.


Which one of the polls on the list would be considered the German version of Gallup, or the most trustworthy polling firm?

[Middle-aged Europe]

Hmmm...Half the voters could be undecided.  Wow!  Germans voters are even more volatile than those in the US, or maybe interest in the election is currently low.  Considering the economic crisis, interest should be high.

That´s probably because many people see both major parties as equally incompetent. So, they have to decide... a) if they go to the polls at all and b) if they do so, for which lesser evil they are going to vote.

Which one of the polls on the list would be considered the German version of Gallup, or the most trustworthy polling firm?

Do not trust, under any circumstances, the polls from Allensbach. Fortunately, they didn´t do any in NRW recently... maybe they just noticed how screwed their methods are.

I think the rest of the bunch is more or less trustworthy... as far as you can trust a polling firm. The one which predicted the outcome of the 2002 Bundestag elections most accurately was Forsa, but maybe this was just good luck. Perhaps Lewis knows more abut this topic.

[minionofmidas]

Hmmm...Half the voters could be undecided.  Wow!  Germans voters are even more volatile than those in the US, or maybe interest in the election is currently low.  Considering the economic crisis, interest should be high.

Not really...keep in mind that on "normal" turnout levels, this is unlosable for the SPD...and that there is no reason to expect anything like normalcy. The NRW SPD definitely deserves to lose. Those many undecideds are mostly SPD supporters who are unsure whether to vote something else this time, or vote SPD as usual or (and this will in the end be the most popular option) stay at home.

[minionofmidas]

All the major polling firms are ...more or less... trustworthy, with a semi-exception for Allensbach (though in 1998, Allensbach were more or less spot-on.) I'd have to check the link to see if there's any nonames mentioned.
Anyways, Germany is somewhat hard to poll because
a) so many people decide late if and how exactly to vote
b) so many people lie to pollsters
c) so many people won't talk to pollsters
d) probably other reasons more to do with the polling firms than the people.
So, sometimes they get it right, sometimes they screw up...the hard right is especially difficult to poll. The DVU's monster success in Sachsen-Anhalt in 1998 (accompanied by a surprise rise in turnout) was totally unforeseen , for example.

[CO-OWL]

Hmmm...Half the voters could be undecided.  Wow!  Germans voters are even more volatile than those in the US, or maybe interest in the election is currently low.  Considering the economic crisis, interest should be high.

Not really...keep in mind that on "normal" turnout levels, this is unlosable for the SPD...and that there is no reason to expect anything like normalcy. The NRW SPD definitely deserves to lose. Those many undecideds are mostly SPD supporters who are unsure whether to vote something else this time, or vote SPD as usual or (and this will in the end be the most popular option) stay at home.

Agreed! Back in 2000 for various reasons SPD, CDU and Greens had big problems to mobilize their supporters. Hence turnout dropped to an all-time low of about 57%, with the FDP surging from 4% to almost 10%.
I think, this time turnout will increase due to a relatively good CDU turnout. But I would be surprised, if it exceeded the low 60es. With many SPD supporters staying home (and a few voting for left-wing minor parties) this should be sufficient for a CDU/FDP victory; thus ending 39 years of SPD rule in NRW. I'm cautiously optimistic...
However, the majority of the voters seem to trust neither party in handling unemployment, public debt, etc.  Moreover both major parties' PM candidates have problems to connect with the voters. A few weeks ago a poll gave SPD INCUMBENT Peer Steinbrück a name recognition below 50%! CDU candidate Jürgen Rüttgers, a former secretary in the Kohl government, is perceived as equally boring as far as I can tell...

[minionofmidas]

Not to mention equally incompetent.

[MasterJedi]

When is the next national election in Canada for Prime Minister?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

When is the next national election in Canada for Prime Minister?

That's up to m.Duceppe

[Gabu]

When is the next national election in Canada for Prime Minister?

Pretty much whenever Martin's government finally falls through, whenever that might be.  Most people put it after the May 19 budget vote, but following the Stronach defection, they might survive that by a nose.  It remains to be seen, though.