Rank the 5 most likely men/women to become POTUS in 2017

[bballrox4717]

And we'll all have a good laugh at our lists when the election's over with.

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Scott Walker
3. Chris Christie
4. Andrew Cuomo
5. Marco Rubio

[eric82oslo]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Jeb Bush
3. Chris Christie
4. Kirsten Gillibrand
5. Mark Warner or Gavin Newsom

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Chris Christie
3. Rand Paul
4. Andrew Cuomo
5. Marco Rubio

[7,052,770]

1. Clinton
2. Christie


(big gap)


3. Biden
4. Rubio
5. Huntsman

[Phony Moderate]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Chris Christie
3. Jeb Bush
4. Andrew Cuomo
5. Joe Biden

[TDAS04]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Chris Christie
3. Joe Biden
4. Jeb Bush
5. Marco Rubio

Assuming Clinton does not run...

1. Joe Biden
2. Chris Christie
3. Jeb Bush
4. Andrew Cuomo
5. Marco Rubio

[HAnnA MArin County]

1. Hillary Rodham Clinton
2. Hillary Rodham Clinton
3. Hillary Rodham Clinton
4. Hillary Rodham Clinton
5. Hillary Rodham Clinton

[Liberalrocks]

1 Hillary Rodham Clinton,

no need for a list.

[Mister Mets]

1. Hillary Clinton
I have concluded that Republicans are more likely to win the next presidential election, but Hillary Clinton is an overwhelming favorite for the Democratic nomination, so her odds of being POTUS top those of any other Republican.
Ball-park odds: 60% odds she'll be the nominee (this is a conservative guess) + 40% odds she'll win= 24% chance of Hillary Clinton as the next President.

2. Chris Christie
He's the best political talent among the Republicans, and benefits from a divided field.
Ball-park odds: 35% odds he'll be the nominee + 65% odds he'll win= 22.75% chance of Chris Christie as the next President.

3. Paul Ryan
Handled himself well as a Veep candidate. Has the institutional advantages of being next in line. Young and smart in a party looking to rebrand after McCain, Romney, Cheney (not young), Palin, Perry and W (not smart.) Has a regional advantage in Iowa.
Ball-park odds: 15% odds he'll be the nominee + 60% odds he'll win= 9% chance of Paul Ryan as the next President.

4. Rand Paul
His dad finished third in Iowa, and second in New Hampshire. And he'll be a southerner heading into the South Carolina primary. He's also likelier to run than anyone else.
Ball-park odds: 12% odds he'll be the nominee + 51% odds he'll win= 6.1% chance of Rand Paul as the next President.

5. Marco Rubio
I don't know if he'll run against Jeb, but he's ambitious, the base likes him and the optics (young Hispanic) are good.
Ball-park odds: 10% odds he'll be the nominee + 60% odds he'll win the General= 6% chance of Marco Rubio as the next President.

Incidentally, the second likeliest Democratic nominee is probably Kirsten Gilibrand in the unlikely event Hillary doesn't run. The party favors younger senators (see Edwards and Obama) and they're eager to nominate a woman.

[Blue3]

1. Hillary Rodham Clinton
2. Hillary Rodham Clinton
3. Hillary Rodham Clinton
4. Hillary Rodham Clinton
5. Hillary Rodham Clinton

1 Hillary Rodham Clinton,

no need for a list.

[Del Tachi]

1 - Hillary Clinton
2 - Chris Christie
3 - Andrew Cuomo
4 - Joe Biden
5 - Paul Ryan

[TarHeelDem]

1. Hillary Rodham Clinton
2. Hillary Rodham Clinton
3. Hillary Rodham Clinton
4. Hillary Rodham Clinton
5. Hillary Rodham Clinton

[morgieb]

1. Clinton
2. Christie
3. Paul
4. Ryan
5. Bush

[Peter the Lefty]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Chris Christie
Major Gap
3. Marco Rubio
4. Andrew Cuomo
5. Jeb Bush

[TNF]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Scott Walker
3. Chris Christie
4. Elizabeth Warren

No one else is really possible, imo.

[The Free North]

1 Hillary Rodham Clinton,

no need for a list.

Overconfidence makes the pain more enjoyable for the rest of us

[California8429]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Chris Christie
3. Jeb Bush
4. Marco Rubio
5. Susana Martinez

[Consciously Unconscious]

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Jeb Bush
3. Ted Cruz
4. Cuomo
5. Mark Warner or Rand Paul