Alaska: Anchorage a good bellwether? + Examination of boroughs (user search)
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  Alaska: Anchorage a good bellwether? + Examination of boroughs (search mode)
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Author Topic: Alaska: Anchorage a good bellwether? + Examination of boroughs  (Read 2693 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: August 17, 2013, 04:05:19 AM »

Anchorage is not far off the state mean in terms of how it votes (as a whole, including the MatSu like burbs in the northeast of the official city-borough), but it's not a bellwether in that the state doesn't swing reasonably uniformly or anything.

http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ei_return_2012_GENR.php
Was this hard to find?

Also this thread
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=164339.0

(the map on wikipedia is evidently based on my math here!)

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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2013, 02:11:19 PM »

I think these are day-only. Since the 2000s 3rd and 4th district were identical in territory to the city of Juneau as it stood then, we know the correct 2008 result for Juneau, and it's 56.0% to 40.9%.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2013, 08:48:46 AM »

Nope, that's not what happened. It's a classic case of GOP scaring away its last minority voters.
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