Australia 2013 - Results thread
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Platypus
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« Reply #275 on: September 10, 2013, 11:26:20 PM »
771 Grin
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #276 on: September 10, 2013, 11:29:43 PM »
« Edited: September 10, 2013, 11:39:33 PM by Fmr. President & Senator Polnut »
Kelly doing quite well with pre-polls... but, 500-odd down... I can't see it being overcome...
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Platypus
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« Reply #277 on: September 10, 2013, 11:37:01 PM »
I really hope it happens, but I agree, it's highly imporbable.

Not sure about McEwen either - the Libs margin has grown to 375.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #278 on: September 10, 2013, 11:42:07 PM »
Quote from: Platypus on September 10, 2013, 11:37:01 PM
I really hope it happens, but I agree, it's highly imporbable.

Not sure about McEwen either - the Libs margin has grown to 375.

Um... it looks like they've discovered over 1,000 pre-polls at a Wangaratta station...

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Platypus
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« Reply #279 on: September 10, 2013, 11:48:42 PM »
Conspiracy?
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Platypus
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« Reply #280 on: September 10, 2013, 11:52:18 PM »
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/election-2013/mirabella-trails-as-1003-missing-votes-uncovered/story-fn9qr68y-1226716939386

It's real Shocked
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #281 on: September 10, 2013, 11:53:16 PM »

If so... she has to be done.
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Platypus
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« Reply #282 on: September 11, 2013, 12:12:47 AM »
It'll be bloody close still, but yeah, advantage McGowan.

Guardian is reporting it too.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #283 on: September 11, 2013, 12:19:15 AM »
Two questions.

What's so bad about Mirabella?
Who is McGowan?
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Platypus
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« Reply #284 on: September 11, 2013, 12:40:18 AM »
I'll let someone else field the Mirabella bit.

McGowan is an independent who has the support of everyone from the Greens to the Nationals. She's the personification of the anti-Sophie in her manner - thoughtful, ability to see shades of grey, nice, local. Politically, she is socially pretty centrist, sort of a Catholic progressive. She's economically agrarian, and is a former Liberal staffer.
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Platypus
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« Reply #285 on: September 11, 2013, 12:49:18 AM »
AEC website has lead down to 494, and I think that does include the missing 1003. :/
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #286 on: September 11, 2013, 12:53:53 AM »
Quote from: Platypus on September 11, 2013, 12:49:18 AM
AEC website has lead down to 494, and I think that does include the missing 1003. :/

Actually... I don't think it does... those votes were pre-polls and there's no count of them yet.
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Platypus
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« Reply #287 on: September 11, 2013, 01:22:54 AM »
Yep, it doesn't.

498 + 1003 lead now.
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Platypus
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« Reply #288 on: September 11, 2013, 02:21:24 AM »
Counting ends for the day on a nice, clean 500 vote lead for McGowan.
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Platypus
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« Reply #289 on: September 11, 2013, 04:56:37 AM »
501 Wink

(Plus 1003)

I'll go through the other close seats later tonight, I think.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #290 on: September 11, 2013, 06:05:38 AM »
ABC declares Indi for McGowan!!!
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Platypus
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« Reply #291 on: September 11, 2013, 06:58:21 AM »
Still wayyyyy too early to say.

There are about 8500 votes to go, and at the current rate for postals a percentage of 57% to Mirabella...

She gains 4845, McGowan gains 3655.

That means Mirabella gains 1190 back on McGowan's 1449 lead, for a 259 vote win for McGowan.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #292 on: September 11, 2013, 11:11:31 AM »
Oh, wow.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #293 on: September 11, 2013, 11:29:37 AM »
Capricornia - ALP 268
McEwen - Lib 116
Eden-Monaro - Lib 591
Barton - Lib 643
Dobell - Lib 722

In Mallee, the Nats are up 59/41. Going to be held even if smaller places have been counted first (I've not checked). O'Connor looks like a narrow Liberal gain from the Nats, Durack a comfortable hold. Don't know enough to comment on the Sunshine Coast madness.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #294 on: September 11, 2013, 04:22:47 PM »
The ABC have given Indi to Mcgowan or is that just their computer?
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #295 on: September 11, 2013, 07:06:14 PM »
Quote from: Senator MaxQue on September 11, 2013, 12:19:15 AM
Two questions.

What's so bad about Mirabella?

An old acquaintance of hers writes.

Also.
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Platypus
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« Reply #296 on: September 11, 2013, 08:13:51 PM »
The sunshine coast seats are pretty settled: Mal Brough (LNP) and Clive Palmer (his own party) are very likely to get up.

All the other closest seats I think the Libs end up winning, unfortunately, except Indi.
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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #297 on: September 11, 2013, 11:27:28 PM »
LNP now up 316 votes in Capricornia.
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Hifly
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« Reply #298 on: September 12, 2013, 04:16:02 AM »
The Liberals are closing in on Parramatta...
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Platypus
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« Reply #299 on: September 12, 2013, 05:14:31 AM »
Mirabella trails by 1100.

But more importantly, the AEC have released the numbers of Absentee, Provisional etc etc votes still to count. Factoring in a slightly higher than normal rate of informal votes, a figure of 7000 looks about right - that's makes it 3000 more total votes than in 2010 btw - and then assuming Mirabella wins roughly the same percentage of all the other non-standard votes as she is with postals, and...

McGowan wins by 36 votes.

Junk maths obviously but a bit of fun Tongue
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