Bump for relevance.
If Clinton wins and the Democrats pick up NH, IL and WI, but the GOP holds all the other competitive seats, control of the Senate won't be called on election night because LA is basically guaranteed to go to a runoff. So let's just assume that Foster Campbell (D) chooses to replicate JBE's stategy and runs a very populist campaign. Polls taken before the jungle primary show that Campbell would get around 30% of the White vote in a two-way race race vs. John Kennedy (R). Does Kennedy win the runoff by nationalizing the race? Could Campbell win if Trump is elected president?
If Trump is elected president than Louisiana wouldn't matter under your scenario, since they would need 5 instead of 4. Even if it does depend on the runoff, the Republican should win the runoff easily. The state will likely vote for Trump by around 20 points, how does a Democrat win with that at the federal level. The bel Edwards strategy cannot be replicated at the national level with all the spotlight if it does come down to Louisiana.
