What if: Control of the Senate depends upon Louisiana run-off?

[Miles]

This is my worst-case scenario.

If Landrieu doesn't win outright on election night, she'll need at least one of Pryor or Begich to win, IMO, to avoid this situation.

[Miles]

Landrieu Loses. The reality is Louisiana despite Landrieu's success is ruby-red.

Yes, but everyone said the same exact thing in 2002.

Obama wasn't around in 2002

[Miles]

Landrieu Loses. The reality is Louisiana despite Landrieu's success is ruby-red.

Yes, but everyone said the same exact thing in 2002.

Obama wasn't around in 2002

True, but which is more of a liability? Having an incumbent president with a 35-40% approval rating (in LA) staying out of your race, or having an incumbent president with a 70-80% approval rating campaigning against you?

There are lots of Republicans and Independents here who are neutral on Landrieu but hate Obama.

[Miles]

If Republicans were feeling evil in Louisiana, they'd be smart to encourage a couple of Democrats to run in this race, particularly an African-American who may be able to peel some votes from Landrieu. Anything possible to keep her under 50%.

Landrieu's dad helped to desegregate New Orleans. Blacks are extremely loyal to her.