What if: Control of the Senate depends upon Louisiana run-off?

[RogueBeaver]

If Senate control will depend entirely upon Louisiana, then the race will be completely nationalized and Landrieu will lose. Period -- not only has Louisiana has moved right since 2002, but party allegiances have also solidified significantly since then. Obama's disapproval in Louisiana is built on much more solid ground than Bush's approval. If Senate control doesn't depend on the runoff (like it didn't depend in 2002), then Landrieu is certainly a canny politician and may be able to get a victory. But the scenario you described above is not one where she can keep office.

What you said.

[RogueBeaver]

Wait, so what would be the situation in the Senate? I mean, the runoff would take place before the 114th Congress begins, but if it didn't, who would control the Senate, Republicans?

Dems through Biden. The runoff is in early December, so a moot point if Cassidy wins, as he probably would in that scenario.