LA-05 Special Election: McAllister Rising

[Miles]

Here we are. I don't think I've ever made a map with more colors than this one!




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[Miles]

McAllister is even more of a RINO than I thought:

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[Miles]

Lets not go that far:

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Yep:

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[Miles]

Holloway is endorsing McAllister.

Well, hopefully this boosts McAllister, especially around Alexandria.

[Miles]

There was a debate Friday. Riser, obviously, just carries Jindal's water while McAllister continues to advocate positions that actually make sense:

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Here's a link to a video of the debate.

[Miles]

Maginnis has a few good thoughts on this race:

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[Meeker]

I'm not really sure the appeal-to-Democrats strategy is a winning idea. I suspect most Democratic voters will just skip the contest rather than show up to vote for a Republican. However, I'm not sure what would be a better strategy for McAllister, so he might as well try this.
 

[RogueBeaver]

Somehow I don't see this working.

[RBH]

the last time Ds settled an R v. R special election primary to elect the "more moderate" Republican, we got Paul Broun over Jim Whitehead.

Oops

[Miles]

the last time Ds settled an R v. R special election primary to elect the "more moderate" Republican, we got Paul Broun over Jim Whitehead.

Oops

Well, there was Boustany/Landry but I guess the map was too skewed in Boustany's favor.

[RBH]

the last time Ds settled an R v. R special election primary to elect the "more moderate" Republican, we got Paul Broun over Jim Whitehead.

Oops

Well, there was Boustany/Landry but I guess the map was too skewed in Boustany's favor.

yeah, if we're comparing this to Broun/Whitehead, neither Broun or McAllister had been elected to anything (but Broun had tried) while Riser/Whitehead were state legislators and preemptive favorites

[publicunofficial]

the last time Ds settled an R v. R special election primary to elect the "more moderate" Republican, we got Paul Broun over Jim Whitehead.

Oops

IIRC, Dems didn't vote for Broun because he was more moderate. He was chosen because Whitehead insulted Athens in some way (I think he made a dumb comment about UGA) and Athens Democrats responded by voting for his opponent, Broun.

[RBH]

the last time Ds settled an R v. R special election primary to elect the "more moderate" Republican, we got Paul Broun over Jim Whitehead.

Oops

IIRC, Dems didn't vote for Broun because he was more moderate. He was chosen because Whitehead insulted Athens in some way (I think he made a dumb comment about UGA) and Athens Democrats responded by voting for his opponent, Broun.

there was that, but there definitely wasn't some perception that Broun was decidedly more conservative than Whitehead, which he probably is. Whitehead probably wouldn't be near as embarrassing as Broun

[Miles]

Dammit. Riser has an ad hitting McAllister on Obamacare. With the the time frame of this race as quick as it was, this could be considered the defining issue.

The early vote also shows Riser up:

[DINGO Joe]

Dammit. Riser has an ad hitting McAllister on Obamacare. With the the time frame of this race as quick as it was, this could be considered the defining issue.

The early vote also shows Riser up:

When did Louisiana, or any state, start releasing early votes before election day?

[Miles]

Dammit. Riser has an ad hitting McAllister on Obamacare. With the the time frame of this race as quick as it was, this could be considered the defining issue.

The early vote also shows Riser up:

When did Louisiana, or any state, start releasing early votes before election day?

Ya know, its really sketchy.

I went over to the Secretary of State's site today and it basically confirmed that; it had vote totals by parish and everything. When I refreshed the page, everything was back to zero, as it is now.

I really don't know what happened there.

[DINGO Joe]

Dammit. Riser has an ad hitting McAllister on Obamacare. With the the time frame of this race as quick as it was, this could be considered the defining issue.

The early vote also shows Riser up:

When did Louisiana, or any state, start releasing early votes before election day?

Ya know, its really sketchy.

I went over to the Secretary of State's site today and it basically confirmed that; it had vote totals by parish and everything. When I refreshed the page, everything was back to zero, as it is now.

I really don't know what happened there.

Well, there is a disclaimer that says "may include test votes, please ignore".

[Miles]

I wish I took a screen shot of the page at the SoS's site when it was showing the totals.

I wasn't going to ask for predictions, but maybe we should at the end of the week now that we're a bit more informed!

The only specific thing I remember is that Riser and McAllister were about tied in Ouchita parish.

[Miles]

The Ouachita Citizen endorses Riser and rails against McAllister.

[Miles]

Oh gee whiz, a Politico article on all the stuff I've been saying here.

[minionofmidas]

the last time Ds settled an R v. R special election primary to elect the "more moderate" Republican, we got Paul Broun over Jim Whitehead.

Oops

IIRC, Dems didn't vote for Broun because he was more moderate. He was chosen because Whitehead insulted Athens in some way (I think he made a dumb comment about UGA) and Athens Democrats responded by voting for his opponent, Broun.

there was that, but there definitely wasn't some perception that Broun was decidedly more conservative than Whitehead, which he probably is. Whitehead probably wouldn't be near as embarrassing as Broun

Broun was (seen as, and actually was) the more maverickish, less partyline type of Conservative - this being back in the pre-TP, Bush**te days.

[Meeker]

Pretty sure those numbers on the SOS website were just test votes. The AP does the same thing with their system.

[Miles]

To McAllister's credit, he's sticking to his Obamacare comments:

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[Miles]

I would have done more in advertising my endorsement from Duck Dynasty if I were McAllister. Anyway, Willie Robertson did a brief GOTV ad for him.

[Miles]

As with the primary, has a write-up on the race.

RRH took some flack from its readers for writing off McAllister as a non-factor on the primary, but gauging a contest as chaotic as that primary is hard.