New Zogby - Bush +1 w/Nader, Kerry +2 wo/Nader
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Author Topic: New Zogby - Bush +1 w/Nader, Kerry +2 wo/Nader  (Read 1203 times)
The Vorlon
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« on: April 05, 2004, 06:43:01 PM »
« edited: April 05, 2004, 06:43:20 PM by The Vorlon »

http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=815

Another Zogby...
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Ben.
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2004, 06:46:35 PM »

Vorlon … how come you’ve moved PA back into the Dem column and NH back into the Bush column?
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Lunar
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« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2004, 06:49:26 PM »

+/- 3.1%, basicallly tied.   Ralph can't keep denying that he hurts the Republicans more than the Democrats.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2004, 06:51:33 PM »
« Edited: April 05, 2004, 06:59:07 PM by The Vorlon »

Vorlon … how come you’ve moved PA back into the Dem column and NH back into the Bush column?

Everything I see on Pennsylvania right now is an absolute dead heat.  There is NOTHING I can find that gives either candidate an edge.

By default, if I cannot make a firm call, I give the state to the party that won it in 2000.

If the election was tomorrow, I'd look at the weather forcast.  

If it was a nice day I'd call the state for Kerry, If it was going to rain, I'd call it for Bush.

New Hamphire has, again to my surprise, moved along way back to Bush.  There are 4 polls in the last month with Bush up near the top of the Margin of Error.

Again, very, very close.  By default, I give it to the party that won it in 2000.
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angus
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« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2004, 06:53:47 PM »

If the election was tomorrow, I'd look at the weather forcast.  

If it was a nice day I'd call the state for Kerry, If it was going to rain, I'd call it for Bush.


That makes it easy to call California and the southwest.
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ian
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« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2004, 07:26:42 PM »

Is Zogby a liberal- or conservative-slanted group?
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Lunar
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« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2004, 07:30:06 PM »
« Edited: April 05, 2004, 07:31:25 PM by Lunar »

Is Zogby a liberal- or conservative-slanted group?

Zogby is personally a Democrat, but the polling is basically non-partisan and international.  They do work for Republicans and Democrats.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2004, 07:30:14 PM »

Is Zogby a liberal- or conservative-slanted group?

They are idiacy-slanted
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2004, 08:36:10 PM »
« Edited: April 05, 2004, 11:30:46 PM by The Vorlon »

Is Zogby a liberal- or conservative-slanted group?

Zogby is, well, Zogby,

He weights all his polls very aggresively.  Every Zogby is..., an adventure.

In 2002, he polled 17 races for the Senate.  He got 12 right, 5 wrong.

There are many times Zogby has been the ONLY guy to get a race right, there have been just as many times he has crashed and burned..

I would decribe him as massively erratic as opposed to partisan..  He works both sides of the street .. Smiley
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