If Florida starts leaning Democrat, what next for GOP? (user search)
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  If Florida starts leaning Democrat, what next for GOP? (search mode)
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Author Topic: If Florida starts leaning Democrat, what next for GOP?  (Read 3757 times)
barfbag
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E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« on: October 05, 2013, 06:40:08 AM »


Why would Florida start leaning Democrat? They've been center-right in every election since 1956 except for 1976 with Carter's southern base. What if California starts leaning Republican?
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2013, 11:23:52 PM »


Why would Florida start leaning Democrat? They've been center-right in every election since 1956 except for 1976 with Carter's southern base. What if California starts leaning Republican?

Growth of non-Cuban Hispanics, Cubans trending D, Old folks dying off and being replaced by a new set of retirees who may be less Republican-leaning.  Its another time-bomb for your party.

Democrats could've said the same thing in 1992 and 1996 though and it's pretty much been the same for 60 years at the presidential level.
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2013, 01:19:04 PM »


Why would Florida start leaning Democrat? They've been center-right in every election since 1956 except for 1976 with Carter's southern base. What if California starts leaning Republican?

Growth of non-Cuban Hispanics, Cubans trending D, Old folks dying off and being replaced by a new set of retirees who may be less Republican-leaning.  Its another time-bomb for your party.
Actually, the Floridian olds are less D-friendly than they used to be- It's the folks who grew up with FDR being replaced.

No, those are almost all dead already, Sol.  The ones dying off now are the follow generation (not the 'Greatest Generation', the 'Silent Generation', a Republican-leaning group).

I just thought of something - why don't they cancel Social Security checks during the shutdown?  I honestly think that would swing the olds D hard, and I think they're the sort to remember (at least till they die).

You want Democrats to cut off social security checks so that people receiving social security will vote more in favor of Democrats? You want people to not eat in some cases for the sake of your party winning? First of all, if Democrats cut off social security checks they'd be the ones to suffer. Secondly, I don't know what year you live in but those are set up automatically and have been for a decade or two now. No one really receives paper checks anymore. It happens but rarely. Why do you want suffering for the benefit of your party?
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2013, 03:08:11 PM »

Actually, the Floridian olds are less D-friendly than they used to be- It's the folks who grew up with FDR being replaced.

No, those are almost all dead already, Sol.  The ones dying off now are the follow generation (not the 'Greatest Generation', the 'Silent Generation', a Republican-leaning group).

I just thought of something - why don't they cancel Social Security checks during the shutdown?  I honestly think that would swing the olds D hard, and I think they're the sort to remember (at least till they die).

You want Democrats to cut off social security checks so that people receiving social security will vote more in favor of Democrats? You want people to not eat in some cases for the sake of your party winning? First of all, if Democrats cut off social security checks they'd be the ones to suffer. Secondly, I don't know what year you live in but those are set up automatically and have been for a decade or two now. No one really receives paper checks anymore. It happens but rarely. Why do you want suffering for the benefit of your party?

Cheesy

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