2004 Democratic Primary

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I doubt Sharpton would run as an independent, but, who knows?  He would run for anything-I think he ran for Mayor of the city a few times.  Personally-I just think he is in there for the fun of it.

Sharpton's a jerk, but you can't tell me that he isn't funny.

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Mississippi: Barbour beats out Musgrove by 2-10%.  But, I really don't care.

Louisiana: 50% chance of either a GOP or a DEM win.  Again, I don't care.

Kentucky: GOP wins.  Period.

I don't care, because, well, none of these states are relatively close to me, and none of them are battlegrounds for 2004 with the unlikely exception of Louisiana.

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Darthkosh-did you catch the line "unlikely exception?  Lol...

Jindal and Balco should be an interesting race, Kentucky is GOP, and Musgrove may actually stand a chance in Mississippi?

I won't stay up on election night waiting to hear the results, that's for sure.

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The conservative southern dem has lived for a long time.  George wallace, Zell Miller, Ralph Hall, and to a lesser extent John Breaux and such.

They are just segregation-times hangover that refuse to call themselves Republicans, I guess, I'm not really an expert on the south.

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Key battlegrounds:

Minnesota-GOP made big gains in the 2002 midterms but the DFL usually churns out narrow Dem victories in presidential elections.  Lean Democrat.

Florida-Lean Bush.

Arkansas-A fairly liberal state, but a northerner couldn't carry it.  Edwards would, though.

California-This state is the biggest battleground in 2004.  62% of the votes in the Recall went to Republicans, so this poses a problem for my party.  Lean Democrat.

New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania-lean Bush.

Illinois is solid Dem.

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Final Prediction before I go and vote for Steve Levy for County Exectutive here in Suffolk....

GOP wins in Kentucky and Lousiana, and Musgrove wins in the state house in Mississippi.

Levy!  Levy!  Levy!

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I see that both of you have done wondeful reasarch (Realpolitik and Observer).  It is a project that I am simply too lazy to do.. nice work.

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CNN just said exit polls in Mississippi show race as too close to call, and fletcher in a big lead in Kentucky.

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Right, and so since both sides think the media is biased against them, that would seem to be pretty good evidence that the media is right in the middle.

What Nym90 fails to understand is that FOX NEWS NETWORK IS THE FARTHEST TO THE RIGHT THAT ANY MEDIA OUTLET could possibly be. They are no where near-Moderate or Center.

No, he understands.

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Howard Looks like he will be the Tory leader.  And he got no votes here?  Was it a good decision.  I don't see how it will help...

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The results!

EDIN  37.6%   222 seats
KPRF  12.6%     51 seats
LDPR  11.5%     36 seats
R-NPS 09.0%     37 seats
Yab.    04.3%      4 seats
SPS     04.0%      3 seats
APR     03.6%      3 seats
NPRF   01.2%    16 seats
Ind.        -          67 seats
Oth.    16.2%    11 seats

Is that a good thing or a bad thing?

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Hugh Grant is very good.  I liked Nine Months. and About a Boy.  That kid Marcus was great also....

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I would rather have Putin in charge than the leftover Soviets.  So I guess I agree with Don.  We can't afford to let that part of the world turn back to communism.

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Well for one thing the market always goes up during an election year.  which makes sense as with all te spending going on by both parties and others.

Didn't it go down in 2000?

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Martin is going to win in 2004, but he'll crash and burn as nothing but an echo of the Cretien legacy (sorry for the spelling of his name, but I never get it right and i've stopped trying).

Agreed.

C-H-R-E-T-I-E-N

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CHRETIEN...got it....

nah, that's not gonna stuck.  The one good thing about AMerican politics is that I can spell the candidate's names easier ;-)

Je ne parl pa!

Paul Martin is easy enough to spell.

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I would think that Martin is too right wing for that to happen, but the NDP could be a threat in 4 years time IF(and it's a big if) they can tap into Western and Eastern alienation from the dominance of Central Canada(Ontario+Quebec)

Martin isn't that right wing, but he is to the right of Chreiten.  
The NDP will not be a threat nationally for a long, long, long time.

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I said it's a BIG if.
They certainly won't win an election in 4 years time, but IF(big if) they can tap into the alienation of the West and the East they could give Martin a scare.
But won't beat him.

The NDP has success in Nova Scotia, right?

But I just don't see them being a national threat.

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I can't either. But it's a possibility.

Isn't the NDP popular in Nova Scotia?  

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The NDP never have been anything but a vote splitter.  It is possible that they could take away some federal support for the liberals across the country and help the Conservatives down the road by damaging the liberals (for example, in interior Toronto).

However, I still think that Canadians will soon get tired of the Liberals and move to the Conservatives (as much as I'd hate to admit it).  They won't care how right winged Martin is, but rather just turn for a fresh face.  Martin will be the death of the liberal party, mark my words.

I agree.  Good post.  the NDP splits the lib vote.  Without the NDP, the Libs would have broken 60% in the Ontario Provincial election this October.

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Maybe Canada needs some sort of Electoral College to balance things out

Oh I know.
Ontario has over 100 seats. Sask has 14.
I was reflecting on the irony of politics in the Praries

Don't try spreading your mess to unsuspecting neighbours!

LOL...

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ru from Canada, or just an observer?  

I have a second cousin originally from B.C who later moved to Manitoba.
I also have an interest in mining regions, so I've always liked Cape Breton.
Oh I'm also part Viking

Realpolitik pays attention to elections in every country.  scary, really.

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How many Inderpendents are in office?

1-Bernie Sanders of vermont, who is a socialist.

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How many Inderpendents are in office?

1-Bernie Sanders of vermont, who is a socialist.

That tells you alot about Vermont.

Why's that?  You think vermont is a commie hideout?

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VT- bernie sanders socialist

Sen Leahy, next best thing to Bernie

Sen Jumping Jim Jeffords, Independant to give Dem power


Civil union laws

Howard Dean

enough said about VT and its lefties

How is Jeffords a lefty?  He is an anti-GOP centrist libertarian.  McCain hates his own party too, and he isn't a lefty.