2015 Canadian federal election-Official Predictions Thread Competition

[Poirot]

Liberals 158 seats
Conservatives 112 seats
NDP 60 seats
Bloc 6
Green 2

[Panhandle Progressive]

The movement from the NDP to the Liberals is still continuing.

My prediction:

Lib - 191 (including a majority of Quebec seats, incl. Outremont and Laurier-Ste Marie)
Cons - 98
NDP - 34
BQ - 12
Green - 2 (+Victoria)
Ind - 1 (Rathgeber)

Congrats to Krago! Very accurate prediction. Job well done.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I didn't make a prediction, but I can safely say I would have been way off in Francophone Quebec, mostly.

[DC Al Fine]

Just going with round numbers:

Lib: 135
Con: 125
NDP: 70
Bloc: 7
Green: 1

And PV:
Lib: 35%
Con: 32%
NDP: 24%
Bloc: 5%
Green: 4%

I will now accept my heckling

[Boston Bread]

I was far, far off in Quebec. 30 seats too many for the NDP. But outside of Quebec my predictions were acceptable. I got the Conservative number correct in Ontario, but overestimated them in BC and the Atlantic.

[VPH]

LIB: 132
CPC: 115
NDP: 85
BQ: 5
Green: 1

Wow. Underestimated the Liberals and the BQ, overestimated Tories and NDP. That wasn't even close to what I expected. I figured the NDP would at least break 55 seats.

[jaichind]

CPC   133
LPC   126
NDP    71
BQ       7
GRN     1

My prediction was way off but I am proud that my BQ call which was based a consequence of the fall of the NDP vote in Quebec came closer than average to getting the right seat count for BQ. 

[2952-0-0]

152 103 79 2 2

We all underestimated the Trudeaumania, but no one imagined it reaching Francophone Quebec.

[Hatman 🍁]

Very amusing. Also, my predictions from a month ago weren't that far off...

[adma]

We all underestimated the Trudeaumania, but no one imagined it reaching Francophone Quebec.

Though I didn't make predictions, t/w the end *I* was imagining that possibility...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

[Mr. Morden]

I think Richard Nixon should be declared winner of this competition, since he predicted the result 40 years ago:

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/20/justin-trudeau-anointed-by-richard-nixon-at-four-months-old

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Lol at the bolded part.

[Barnes]

^ Yes, indeed.  The Trudeau-Nixon relationship is highly amusing all around.

[Antonio the Sixth]

It's pretty impressive that Liberals won the PV in every Province (and Territory!) except AB and SK. Goes to show that, even in the Harper era, Canada is still not nearly as geographically polarized as the US.

[Barnes]

It's pretty impressive that Liberals won the PV in every Province (and Territory!) except AB and SK. Goes to show that, even in the Harper era, Canada is still not nearly as geographically polarized as the US.

The elasticity of the Canadian electorate is highly refreshing from an American perspective.

[Hash]

This is not the results thread, folks.