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Author Topic: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 1.0  (Read 324453 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1250 on: August 31, 2015, 12:20:29 AM »

New internal ÖVP-poll for the Upper Austria state election (M&R):

39% ÖVP (-8%)
28% FPÖ (+13%)
20% SPÖ (-5%)
10% Greens (+1%)
  3% NEOS (+3%)
  0% Others (-4%)

http://www.heute.at/news/oesterreich/ooe/art23653,1205111

http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/landespolitik/wahl2015/So-stark-dass-sich-schwarz-Gruen-nicht-mehr-Ausgeht;art174240,1956980

...

This is close to my prediction of 37% ÖVP, 30% FPÖ, 19% SPÖ, 10% Greens, 3% NEOS, 1% Others (KPÖ, CPÖ).
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1251 on: August 31, 2015, 03:17:28 AM »

Meanwhile, Austria has implemented border controls at the border crossing with Hungary on the highway to Vienna, starting last night.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1252 on: August 31, 2015, 06:25:49 AM »

Meanwhile, Austria has implemented border controls at the border crossing with Hungary on the highway to Vienna, starting last night.

Those are not real border controls though ...

54 police officers are waving out some foreign trucks that are coming in and search them for illegals and smugglers.

54 officers along a 100 mile border ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1253 on: August 31, 2015, 02:00:56 PM »

The 71 dead migrants from the truck in Eastern Austria were mourned today by the "official Austria" (politicians+church):





And 20.000 people turned out to welcome thousands of migrants who came from Budapest to Vienna via trains today and called for a humane treatment of these migrants:











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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1254 on: August 31, 2015, 06:17:13 PM »

How very dare they!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1255 on: September 01, 2015, 02:40:44 PM »

The "election cabin" (Wahlomat/Wahlkabine) is now online for Vienna:

http://wahlkabine.at/app/ltw2015wien

...

My results:



"Andas" is short for "Wien Anders", the left-wing SYRIZA-like platform of KPÖ/Pirates/Real Greens etc.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1256 on: September 01, 2015, 02:49:16 PM »

This is something that could drag the Vienna-ÖVP below the joke-level of 10% in the state election:

Stenzel defects to FPÖ for Vienna election

Quote
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http://www.thelocal.at/20150901/ursula-stenzel-aligns-with-fpoe-for-vienna-election
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1257 on: September 02, 2015, 12:26:28 AM »

ANDAS 257
Grüne 226
SPÖ 117
NEOS 101
FPÖ 9
ÖVP -58

I just wonder what TTIP and gay marriage has to do with a city election.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1258 on: September 02, 2015, 03:00:05 AM »

ANDAS 257
Grüne 226
SPÖ 117
NEOS 101
FPÖ 9
ÖVP -58

I just wonder what TTIP and gay marriage has to do with a city election.

Well, the questions always ask "Should the Vienna city government work to sway federal politicians to implement gay marriage/implement a referendum on TTIP ?"

The issues of TTIP and gay marriage are often used in any "election cabin" because these are important issues for people.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1259 on: September 02, 2015, 03:49:03 AM »

A new Vienna state election poll would be great ...

There has been none for the past 5 weeks and it's possible that the FPÖ has already overtaken the SPÖ there.

I'd like to see a OGM poll, which is usually the best.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1260 on: September 02, 2015, 04:07:27 AM »

The state government of Upper Austria is handing out a free newspaper subscription for any of the ca. 80.000 first time voters in the coming state election. First time voters can choose any Austrian newspaper for 1 month to inform themselves about the election.

The initiative is coming from the Greens, who are in the state government together with the ÖVP.

The initiative was also done ahead of the 2009 election and it was strongly used by young voters.

This could be good news for turnout, which is already high in Upper Austria (82% in 2009).

On the state government page, there's also a voting app for young voters to inform themselves.

http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/4801157/Land-Oberosterreich-bezahlt-Erstwaehlern-ein-Zeitungsabo
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1261 on: September 02, 2015, 11:19:25 AM »
« Edited: September 02, 2015, 11:21:35 AM by DavidB. »

FPÖ 163
ÖVP 160
NEOS 83
SPÖ -136
Grüne -160
ANDAS -245

How much of an issue is the abortion thing really? Will the left truly make it a lot easier/cheaper? That would probably decide whether I'd vote for NEOS or ÖVP.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1262 on: September 02, 2015, 11:46:33 AM »

FPÖ 163
ÖVP 160
NEOS 83
SPÖ -136
Grüne -160
ANDAS -245

How much of an issue is the abortion thing really? Will the left truly make it a lot easier/cheaper? That would probably decide whether I'd vote for NEOS or ÖVP.

The abortion issue is not a real issue in Vienna. The question is in the "election booth" on a regular basis because it's a social issue.

The question asks: "Should the city of Vienna provide abortions in hospitals, covered by social security ?"

Austria is one of the few countries in which abortion is not covered by social security carriers and women who want to perform an abortion have to pay it themselves (usually between 400-1000€). This is mostly because of the ÖVP, who does not consider abortion a "sickness" and therefore abortions are exempt from being covered by the social security system. Outside Vienna and the capital cities, only a handful of hospitals perform abortions.

wahlkabine.at offers the parties positions on the issue:

SPÖ, Greens, NEOS and Wien Anders are in favour of abortions being covered
ÖVP, FPÖ are against

(question 17)

http://wahlkabine.at/ltw2015wien/standpunkte

To your question:

Which means indeed, the Left would make it easier and more widely available to have an abortion, and with the higher availability it would also be cheaper. Or they would simply draft a law that it's covered by the SocSecuritySystem.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1263 on: September 02, 2015, 12:23:36 PM »

FPÖ 163
ÖVP 160
NEOS 83
SPÖ -136
Grüne -160
ANDAS -245

How much of an issue is the abortion thing really? Will the left truly make it a lot easier/cheaper? That would probably decide whether I'd vote for NEOS or ÖVP.

The abortion issue is not a real issue in Vienna. The question is in the "election booth" on a regular basis because it's a social issue.

The question asks: "Should the city of Vienna provide abortions in hospitals, covered by social security ?"

Austria is one of the few countries in which abortion is not covered by social security carriers and women who want to perform an abortion have to pay it themselves (usually between 400-1000€). This is mostly because of the ÖVP, who does not consider abortion a "sickness" and therefore abortions are exempt from being covered by the social security system. Outside Vienna and the capital cities, only a handful of hospitals perform abortions.

wahlkabine.at offers the parties positions on the issue:

SPÖ, Greens, NEOS and Wien Anders are in favour of abortions being covered
ÖVP, FPÖ are against

(question 17)

http://wahlkabine.at/ltw2015wien/standpunkte

To your question:

Which means indeed, the Left would make it easier and more widely available to have an abortion, and with the higher availability it would also be cheaper. Or they would simply draft a law that it's covered by the SocSecuritySystem.
I knew what the question meant but frankly didn't know about the situation in Austria in general. Thanks for explaining Smiley I did the quiz on my mobile phone so I didn't see any specifics about parties, but it doesn't surprise me that FPÖ and ÖVP are against it. This would probably convince me to vote ÖVP instead of NEOS. #babylivesmatter
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1264 on: September 04, 2015, 06:28:59 AM »

The FPÖ has now reached 30% for the first time in 15 years in a Gallup poll as well:



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-erstmals-bei-30Prozent/202956050

Not long ago, pollster Unique Research had the FPÖ at 31% ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1265 on: September 04, 2015, 11:41:15 AM »

Today was the deadline to submit signatures for the Vienna state election on Oct. 11, for which the following parties have qualified:

STATEWIDE candidacy (8, by ballot order)

* SPÖ
* FPÖ
* ÖVP
* Greens
* NEOS
* WWW ("Wir wollen Wahlfreiheit", "We want freedom of choice" - TS/BZÖ backed list)
* ANDAS ("Wien Anders", "A different Vienna" - a leftist list)
* GFW ("Gemeinsam für Wien", "Together for Vienna" - a Turkish list)

Only in some electoral districts

* FREIE ("Free Democrats", in the electoral district Zentrum)
* SLP ("Socialist Left Party", in the electoral district Brigittenau)
* WIFF ("We for Floridsdorf", in the electoral district Floridsdorf)
* M ("Men's Party", in the electoral district Donaustadt)

https://www.wien.gv.at/rk/msg/2015/09/04012.html
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Cranberry
TheCranberry
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« Reply #1266 on: September 04, 2015, 12:15:34 PM »

Doing the Wahlkabine thing:

ANDAS  408
Grüne  340
SPÖ  182
NEOS  82
FPÖ -157
ÖVP -184

DavidB, mine is exactly yours in reverse Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1267 on: September 04, 2015, 12:52:28 PM »

New IMAS poll for Upper Austria (n=750, taken between Aug. 24-28):



Link
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1268 on: September 04, 2015, 01:30:10 PM »
« Edited: September 04, 2015, 06:01:37 PM by DavidB. »

Doing the Wahlkabine thing:

ANDAS  408
Grüne  340
SPÖ  182
NEOS  82
FPÖ -157
ÖVP -184

DavidB, mine is exactly yours in reverse Tongue
Lol! At least we have almost the same score for moderate hero party NEOS Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1269 on: September 05, 2015, 12:35:23 AM »

A new Gallup poll for Vienna continues to show a close race:



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-vs-Haeupl-Duell-um-Wien/203089144
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1270 on: September 05, 2015, 12:55:39 AM »

The FPÖ and Strache have officially launched the battle for Vienna yesterday evening, with an event at the Viktor Adler Square:



Strache said: "Let's exchange our politicians, before they exchange our population."

http://diepresse.com/home/panorama/wien/4814054/FPOWahlkampfauftakt_Tauschen-wir-unsere-Politiker-aus
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1271 on: September 07, 2015, 12:45:36 PM »

New Upper Austria poll (Unique Research for "Heute"):



http://www.heute.at/news/oesterreich/ooe/art23653,1208172
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1272 on: September 07, 2015, 05:12:23 PM »

Meanwhile, the Austrians have given up on their short-lived efforts to protect the border. The controls at the Hegyeshalom/Nickelsdorf border crossing, the main crossing with Hungary, have been abolished.
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #1273 on: September 07, 2015, 06:41:21 PM »

The FPÖ has now reached 30% for the first time in 15 years in a Gallup poll as well:



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-erstmals-bei-30Prozent/202956050

Not long ago, pollster Unique Research had the FPÖ at 31% ...

So what would the resulting government likely be if the results were to come out like that?
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Cranberry
TheCranberry
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« Reply #1274 on: September 08, 2015, 06:00:57 AM »

I'd say, from today's POV, a 50/50 or maybe 40/60 chance of either FPÖ/ÖVP or SPÖ/ÖVP/Greens. Depends probably on how much the ÖVP would get its way in the three-party coalition, because they'll obviously play the "if you don't want to we'll take Strache"-card. Yes, that's exactly how horrible the ÖVP is.
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