German Elections & Politics

[Helsinkian]

What did the exit polls have for RLP in terms of vote transfers.  On paper it seems like Green->AfD but that seems unlikely and it is much more likely it was Green->SPD and SPD->AfD.

Exactly what I was thinking. It would be hard to believe that there are many Green -> AfD voters (maybe a few pure protest voters who don't think much about ideologies).

[Helsinkian]

AfD has now officially been expelled from the ECR group in the EP.

[Helsinkian]

Justice Minister Heiko Maas's May Day speech didn't exactly go according to plans: YouTube: "Get out, Traitor!" - German People chases Minister of Justice Heiko Maas to his Armored Mercedes

[Helsinkian]

why did merkel voted against gay marriage? is germany so homophobic that she decided to vote against because of election, or is it just because of her homophobia?

This is interesting, don't you think:

A person who thinks that gay people should be allowed to have civil unions but not marriage rights, would have been...

- A radical in the 1950s
- A liberal in the 1970s
- A moderate in the 1990s
- A conservative in the 2010s
- A reactionary in the 2020s

A phobia is defined as an irrational fear. Claiming that all people opposed to gay marriage are afraid of homosexuals is a ridiculous argument.

[Helsinkian]

Prediction:

CDU/CSU 35%
SPD 21%
AfD 14.5%
FDP 10.5%
Linke 8.5%
Greens 5.5%
Other 5%

[Helsinkian]

So, it seems that the CSU will get around 6 percent of the votes. What would they do in the future if they were in danger of falling below 5 percent nationally? Would they start running in other states, or would they be integrated with the CDU?

[Helsinkian]

So, Bernd Lucke's party (the one that split from AfD) did not participate in this election at all? I can't find them in the results?

[Helsinkian]

All parliamentary parties above 10% in new poll:

Germany, Civey poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 29% ↓
SPD-S&D: 20% ↓
AfD-EFDD: 14%
FDP-ALDE: 11%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 10%
https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/931500567867817984

[Helsinkian]

Germany's FDP would support a minority Merkel government, Bild reports,

What’s the FDP endgame here? Why would they support a minority government but not become coalition partners?

Presumably because they are afraid of a repeat of what happened the last time they were Merkel's coalition partners: having their support nosedive. In a support role outside the government they might have a more independent image.

[Helsinkian]

I suppose Frauke Petry would be the single biggest loser from a new election; doubtful she can renew her direct mandate now that she's left the AfD.