So is Boehner's job really in danger?
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  So is Boehner's job really in danger?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: What happens to Speaker John Boehner now?
#1
Boehner will be ousted by Republicans within a month		  
#2
Boehner will be ousted by the end of January		  
#3
Boehner will be ousted later in 2014 but before the midterms		  
#4
Republicans will replace Boehner after the midterms		  
#5
Boehner will be replaced after Democrats retake the House in 2014		  
#6
Boehner will remain Speaker after the 2014 midterms		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: So is Boehner's job really in danger?  (Read 3589 times)
SteveRogers
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« on: October 16, 2013, 09:53:35 PM »
So the shutdown is over. The deal passed the House with 87 Republicans voting in favor. That's more than a lot of people would have thought, but that still means almost two-thirds of Boehner's caucus are at least pretending to be upset over how this thing turned out. During this whole debacle everyone has been talking about how this would be the end of Boehner's speakership. So should we actually expect a leadership challenge in the near future, or will Republicans wait until after the 2014 midterms to try to replace Boehner?
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2013, 10:01:05 PM »
I'm in an optimistic mood tonight, so I'll vote option 5.
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badgate
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2013, 10:02:41 PM »
« Edited: October 17, 2013, 01:10:52 AM by badgate »
I've expected Option 4 (Republicans will replace Boehner after the 2014 Midterms) for a while. I still think it is most likely.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2013, 10:04:23 PM »
No, even prominent defunders like Huelskamp and Labrador are very happy with him. Plus no one wants the job, and anyone who did wouldn't do much better.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2013, 10:07:27 PM »
Option 6
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2013, 10:09:43 PM »
Option 6. While possible, it's highly unlikely the Dems retake the House in 2014 and no one else wants the job right now.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2013, 10:29:01 PM »
The only way he's losing his job is if he retires or the Dems win back the House.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2013, 10:39:24 PM »
As long as the GOP holds the majority, he can last until his national favorability numbers tank so much that even the swing district members turn against him.
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Cory
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2013, 11:13:14 PM »
Republicans will replace Boehner after the midterms. Word has it that Boehner is going to step down after 2014 anyways so I don't see the proper motive for launching a risky and politically costly "coup" attempt. That and who would replace him? Cantor I guess. *shudders*
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Fritz
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2013, 11:16:55 PM »
You forgot the option that says John Boehner won't be re-elected to his House seat in 2014.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2013, 12:54:46 AM »
Probably option 6, but I would like a replacement.
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2013, 05:21:35 AM »
Options 5 or 6.
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J. J.
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2013, 06:22:01 AM »
Quote from: Lіef on October 16, 2013, 10:29:01 PM
The only way he's losing his job is if he retires or the Dems win back the House.

This. 
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windjammer
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2013, 06:53:56 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 17, 2013, 06:22:01 AM
Quote from: Lіef on October 16, 2013, 10:29:01 PM
The only way he's losing his job is if he retires or the Dems win back the House.

This. 
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Mechaman
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2013, 06:57:42 AM »
Quote from: Fritz on October 16, 2013, 11:16:55 PM
You forgot the option that says John Boehner won't be re-elected to his House seat in 2014.
You mean the one where he got reelected to with 64%.  In 2006?
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2013, 09:31:50 AM »
I suspect he'll voluntarily step down as Speaker.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2013, 09:45:46 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 17, 2013, 06:22:01 AM
Quote from: Lіef on October 16, 2013, 10:29:01 PM
The only way he's losing his job is if he retires or the Dems win back the House.

This. 

This.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2013, 10:02:22 AM »
Quote from: Snowstalker on October 17, 2013, 09:31:50 AM
I suspect he'll voluntarily step down as Speaker.


I agree. I see him following in the footsteps of the three preceding Republican speakers (incl. Livingston, the almost-speaker) and deciding to ditch the Speakership and probably Congress altogether mid-term. He has the potential to earn a huge amount of money any time he wants to start.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2013, 10:20:34 AM »
Quote from: Fritz on October 16, 2013, 11:16:55 PM
You forgot the option that says John Boehner won't be re-elected to his House seat in 2014.

Technically this has no bearing on any of the poll options because you don't have to be in Congress to be Speaker.

Quote from: Communists For McCain on October 17, 2013, 06:57:42 AM
Quote from: Fritz on October 16, 2013, 11:16:55 PM
You forgot the option that says John Boehner won't be re-elected to his House seat in 2014.
You mean the one where he got reelected to with 64%.  In 2006?

A loss from a primary challenge would be more likely than a loss in the general election, IMO. Not that either will happen.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2013, 01:45:50 PM »
No doubt dems will retake the house.
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2013, 02:04:43 PM »
Quote from: Snowstalker on October 17, 2013, 09:31:50 AM
I suspect he'll voluntarily step down as Speaker.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2013, 02:15:52 PM »
38% of people think the House will flip D in 2014....

Really?
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #22 on: October 17, 2013, 02:20:24 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 17, 2013, 02:15:52 PM
38% of people think the House will flip D in 2014....

Really?

Do you wanna bet?
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2013, 04:04:23 PM »

At even odds, I'd certainly take the GOP.  Heck, even at a 3:2 payout it's pretty much a cinch bet ecept I really don't care to make shortshot bets.

The Dems have a chance of taking the House, but it's still very slim.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2013, 04:05:44 PM »
Option 4.  GOP will lose half a dozen or so seats and use it as an excuse to punish Boehner.
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