Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide

[jaichind]

Renzi has to resign even if he gets pressure "for the good of the country" if he is going to get blown out by 18-20 points.

[Phony Moderate]

YES 42-46%
NO 54-58%

Exit Poll Rai News

Changed to
YES 40-44%
NO 56-60%

And again:
YES 39-43%
NO 57-61%

It's just getting worse and worse for Renzi.

The provisional ballots will see Yes over the line o/c.

[jaichind]

EUR now down around 1%

[Beezer]

No vote ahead by around 100.000 votes right now with 1,329 of 61,551 precincts counted (I guess).

[Angel of Death]

Brexit, Trump, Renzi gone.  What a 2016 Hat-trick.

One of these things is not like the others, being that governments falling in Italy is like the national sport and all.

[jaichind]

It is around 60-40 for No with a bit more than 2% of the sections coming in with results.

[jaichind]

Brexit, Trump, Renzi gone.  What a 2016 Hat-trick.

One of these things is not like the others, being that governments falling in Italy is like the national sport and all.

Yeah, but M5S coming to power which is the most likely scenario after a snap election is not the typical Italian government.

[jaichind]

LA7/EMG  projection is for No to win with 59.2% of the vote.

[Vosem]

The suggestion that a plurality of the popular vote should be sufficient to totally command the government is the same undemocratic lunacy that gave us Trump and it's terrific to see Italian voters rejecting it.

[Beezer]

No ahead by 150.000 votes now...when do we call it?

[Mike88]

If he resigns then what?? There's no freaking alternative in Italy!!!

I think he should continue as PM. I believe he still has margin to negociate some kind of reform.

[jaichind]

Bloomberg wire: "Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi is likely to meet President Sergio Mattarella early Monday"

Most likely to reign.

[jaichind]

Latest RAI projection.  No at 58-60.

[jaichind]

Wow.  I thought Renzi saying at the last minute he would resign if No won would have pushed the Yes vote up.  I guess not.

[jaichind]

t is around 59-41 for No with a bit less than 10% of the sections coming in with results.

[DavidB.]

The suggestion that a plurality of the popular vote should be sufficient to totally command the government is the same undemocratic lunacy that gave us Trump and it's terrific to see Italian voters rejecting it.

Uh, what?

[jaichind]

RAI: Renzi's statement to country at Midnight delayed by 20 minutes.

[Beezer]

Italians and punctuality...

[jaichind]

Italians and punctuality...

Could be various factions are trying to convince Renzi to not resign.  With arguments like "You are handing power the the M5S lunatics"

[Mike88]

RAI: Renzi's statement to country at Midnight delayed by 20 minutes.

Well, the margin is drop by drop narrowing but i really hope he's not resigning.

[Zinneke]

The suggestion that a plurality of the popular vote should be sufficient to totally command the government is the same undemocratic lunacy that gave us Trump and it's terrific to see Italian voters rejecting it.

Uh, what?

He;s right, just 30% of the British public actually vote and endorse a tory government that has full control over Brexit. I prefer our system where all strands of society are represented.

[jaichind]

RAI: Renzi's statement to country at Midnight delayed by 20 minutes.

Well, the margin is drop by drop narrowing but i really hope he's not resigning.

That seems to be a function of Tuscany and Emilia-Omagna are over reporting.

[jaichind]

Tecne projection.  No at 59.4%

[jaichind]

My prediction:

59.7% No
40.3% Yes

Turnout: 53.3%

Wow, what a projection.  Congrats.

[jaichind]

it is around 59.2-41.8 for No with around 17% of the sections coming in with results.